2019 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 5

RNGD Analytics wrote:I tried to get a POD team and wisdom of crowds team going on the website in the past but it didn't quite follow the vision I had but I'd love to see someone go about it. One of the things about PODs is it can be difficult to judge true PODs, by this I mean there's 100k teams but most of us really only care about the top 1k, because ownership levels are based on all the teams it doesn't really do a good job of telling us the PODs that could impact us.

Verbal Kint wrote:Apologies, a bit of a side question. Do we know if ranked leagues are coming back?

RNGD Analytics wrote:I tried to get a POD team and wisdom of crowds team going on the website in the past but it didn't quite follow the vision I had but I'd love to see someone go about it. One of the things about PODs is it can be difficult to judge true PODs, by this I mean there's 100k teams but most of us really only care about the top 1k, because ownership levels are based on all the teams it doesn't really do a good job of telling us the PODs that could impact us.

Milchy wrote:

Our forum ranked leagues?

https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t774-2019-nrl-fantasy-leagues-registration-thread

Fortitude wrote:Article on raiders has weight on saying chk,  oldfield and bailey simmonson are training well at fullback. I hope that doesn’t mean abbey is going on rapannas Wing.

Fortitude wrote:Article on raiders has weight on saying chk,  oldfield and bailey simmonson are training well at fullback. I hope that doesn’t mean abbey is going on rapannas Wing.

Milchy wrote:

Its possible that CNK/Oldfield whoever doesn't get fullback will get wing, and Abbey misses out altogether

Krump wrote:Wasn't there someone a few years ago who was getting the data on ownership % in the top 100? Arsen maybe?

Mulvy wrote:

Oh no, I was busted stealing your work!

mattnz wrote:

Just one issue, when he was without slater he was playing fullback, not 5/8. That is why his scores increased.

RNGD Analytics wrote:

Haha. I've always found that whether a player is a pod is too far up the list of considerations which is why I always push back on it. All things being equal it matters but normally all things aren't equal.

Really liked reading some of Matt's stuff particularly his decision making model. I wanted to try to build a model a few years ago when I had access to a decision making tool for work called 1000minds. In the end I was too lazy so I just kept it based on my forecast return and my assessed level of risk. One thing decision making models can do is remove the bias or prejudice we have in built. Someone mentioned Croft, there's some decent reasons to be interested in him, basically he has four bad fantasy games in his career, but those four games came when we all owned him so now people won't touch him. Those decision making models can help avoid some of those inefficiencies.

RNGD Analytics wrote:

Haha. I've always found that whether a player is a pod is too far up the list of considerations which is why I always push back on it. All things being equal it matters but normally all things aren't equal.

Really liked reading some of Matt's stuff particularly his decision making model. I wanted to try to build a model a few years ago when I had access to a decision making tool for work called 1000minds. In the end I was too lazy so I just kept it based on my forecast return and my assessed level of risk. One thing decision making models can do is remove the bias or prejudice we have in built. Someone mentioned Croft, there's some decent reasons to be interested in him, basically he has four bad fantasy games in his career, but those four games came when we all owned him so now people won't touch him. Those decision making models can help avoid some of those inefficiencies.

1000minds NRL test site:

Verbal Kint wrote:

1000minds NRL test site:

RNGD Analytics wrote:I tried to get a POD team and wisdom of crowds team going on the website in the past but it didn't quite follow the vision I had but I'd love to see someone go about it. One of the things about PODs is it can be difficult to judge true PODs, by this I mean there's 100k teams but most of us really only care about the top 1k, because ownership levels are based on all the teams it doesn't really do a good job of telling us the PODs that could impact us.