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    2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 25

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:01 pm


    Break Evens 
    BREAKEVENS FOR ROUND 5: 

    2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 25 RNPJ5nS[/spoiler]



    Spreadsheets

    2017 Stats Breakdown (Current up to round 3)
    https://www.mediafire.com/?guprpt6xuiq9dpm

    2016 Stats Breakdown
    https://www.mediafire.com/?t8gqrkac3r1tomk

    2015 Stats Breakdown
    http://www.mediafire.com/file/fkxlw0139cvc529/2015_Prozone_stats.xlsx

    Price Predictor
    http://www.mediafire.com/file/urcieiozcujhuvo/Price_predictor%282%29.xlsx





    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:03 pm


    Part 25 last year started n the 18th April, so we are on track to beat last years post number.

    Here is a quote from page 1 of that thread

    Clack Bocks wrote:On my McInnes comment, he's already expensive, forget that. In hindsight though, is likely to be best hooker cash cow. Who would have thought?

    Still somewhat applicable this year
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:07 pm


    Everyone trading in CHN

    Would you be happy if he played 1 game, made $40k, and then never played again?
    I think you have to be prepared for that possibility. And if you don't think that helps your team, then think seriously about the trade.
    manlybeaver
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    Post by manlybeaver Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:09 pm

    which is the better trade

    hayne - cleary

    or

    brailey to macca
    TheWeapon
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    Post by TheWeapon Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:11 pm

    manlybeaver wrote:which is the better trade

    hayne - cleary

    or

    brailey to macca

    I prefer Brailey to Macca for coverage of the rd 12 bye
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:16 pm

    sorry guys for all those NSFW GIFs... I'll try and post from a different Sauce next time
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    Post by SoylentGreen Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:17 pm

    Rank top 5 from: Brailey, Musgrove, Yates, Sironen, Smat, Jacks, Elgey, Suli & Kelly?

    Also, would you play Suli or Kelly ahead of Cotric?
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:18 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Everyone trading in CHN

    Would you be happy if he played 1 game, made $40k, and then never played again?
    I think you have to be prepared for that possibility. And if you don't think that helps your team, then think seriously about the trade.

    He is one of my 10 second rowers... I'm sure I can manage with only 9 playing
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:19 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Everyone trading in CHN

    Would you be happy if he played 1 game, made $40k, and then never played again?
    I think you have to be prepared for that possibility. And if you don't think that helps your team, then think seriously about the trade.

    I posted essentially this on Renegades and has generated over 160 comments
    manlybeaver
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    Post by manlybeaver Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:19 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Everyone trading in CHN

    Would you be happy if he played 1 game, made $40k, and then never played again?
    I think you have to be prepared for that possibility. And if you don't think that helps your team, then think seriously about the trade.

    same thing can be said if what happens if he plays 2 - 4 more games he will make over 100k plus if he scores some tries even more. you could dissadvantage your self not picking him up like the people who didnt get hess those players will be a gun behind because of the money he has made. you are right if he plays one game he could cause trouble as i see the end game being 1 hooker 3 2rf as reserves
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:20 pm

    SoylentGreen wrote:Rank top 5 from: Brailey, Musgrove, Yates, Sironen, Smat, Jacks, Elgey, Suli & Kelly?

    Also, would you play Suli or Kelly ahead of Cotric?

    I'm a little bit concerned about Cotric playing against the Eels... at least he's not facing Jennings and Radradra on his side of the field
    TheWeapon
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    Post by TheWeapon Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:22 pm

    Moving Lamb on to one of:

    Gutherson (DPP, good byes)
    Bunt (plays rd 12)
    A Rey (good byes)

    Leaning towards Gutherson or A Rey....
    Warriors
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    Post by Warriors Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:22 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Everyone trading in CHN

    Would you be happy if he played 1 game, made $40k, and then never played again?
    I think you have to be prepared for that possibility. And if you don't think that helps your team, then think seriously about the trade.

    You are probably right with this one but everyone else has nearly as much risk and aren't bottom price no more. Stimson, Capewell and Simpkins spring to mind. Come to think of it mostly all players currently under $200K in the forwards have struggled to make any more than 40K across 4 weeks (hence why they are under $200K , and are near peak now. So worse case scenario he sits there and you have made $40-$50K of him just as you would picking up others.

    Capewell probably the best option for byes but he isn't playing anymore. I will get him later or closer to origin hopefully.
    Mearcats
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    Post by Mearcats Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:23 pm

    I wish he was matched up against those two. Defensively he's solid and Parra will send most of their attack down that side so no chance he'd go missing for a whole half a la last week.
    White Lightning
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    Post by White Lightning Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:25 pm

    SoylentGreen wrote:Rank top 5 from: Brailey, Musgrove, Yates, Sironen, Smat, Jacks, Elgey, Suli & Kelly?

    Also, would you play Suli or Kelly ahead of Cotric?

    Sironen, Sione, Elgey, Yates (if he starts), Musgrove

    I wouldn't play Suli or Kelly ahead of Cotric.
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:25 pm

    Mearcats wrote:I wish he was matched up against those two. Defensively he's solid and Parra will send most of their attack down that side so no chance he'd go missing for a whole half a la last week.

    Fair point
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    Post by difO Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:28 pm

    clearly looks good and has stabilised in price lower end. I'm bringing him in for lamb and he's going to the moon.

    have to bring in CHN as he will.make some cash this week and chances are get a couple more games this season. It's not like there are a lot of solid, secure cash cows anyway.
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:29 pm

    Warriors wrote:

    You are probably right with this one but everyone else has nearly as much risk and aren't bottom price no more. Stimson, Capewell and Simpkins spring to mind. Come to think of it mostly all players currently under $200K in the forwards have struggled to make any more than 40K across 4 weeks (hence why they are under $200K , and are near peak now. So worse case scenario he sits there and you have made $40-$50K of him just as you would picking up others.

    Capewell probably the best option for byes but he isn't playing anymore. I will get him later or closer to origin hopefully.

    Well unless you trade him out again, you don't actually make any money.

    And just because others are worse doesn't make him good.
    Saving the trade is always a possibility

    I am concerned he'll be like Jaydn Su'a last year - make a little cash but not enough to be of much use.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:29 pm

    Weather's turned a bit crazy in Bundy now Soylent.
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 30, 2017 12:30 pm


    Don't know why people are so down on Suli.

    Even discounting his big score against 1-leg Inglis, he's had 1 crap game and 2 good ones in a period where the Tigers have sucked. As far as rookie wingers go, he's about as good as you can hope for.

    I'm comfortable with my decision to play him over Cotric this week.

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