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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 7 - Game day!!!!!

    RandomSil
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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 7 - Game day!!!!! Empty NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 7 - Game day!!!!!

    Post by RandomSil Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:32 pm

    Stats, Breakevens and more
    https://footystatistics.com/

    2023 Team planner
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/e1ovaxv0tqj6lhz/2023+Team+Planner+v0.1.xlsm/file

    Bye chart
    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 7 - Game day!!!!! Byes10

    Round one magic number 14491

    R2 BEs
    tba


    2023 Autofill
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2068-2023-autofill-league

    2023 Community team
    tba

    2023 Fantasy Draft
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2069-nrlff-2023-fantasy-draft-league

    2023 Fantasy Fantasy
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2088-fantasy-fantasy-2023


    Last edited by RandomSil on Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:34 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:33 pm


    Its past midnight here in the real world, Random. Game day it is
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    Post by RandomSil Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:34 pm

    ... fuck.

    It's better now.
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    Post by Milchcow Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:35 pm


    What odds are people giving that Cleary is a late withdrawl this week?

    I want to captain someone from the Thursday game, just to maximise tinkering ability on Friday. Should I captain someone like Haas just in case Cleary goes down in the warmup, or just let it roll on Hopgood (who'd probably be an acceptable VC choice anyway)
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    Post by Guest Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:35 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    What odds are people giving that Cleary is a late withdrawl this week?

    I want to captain someone from the Thursday game, just to maximise tinkering ability on Friday. Should I captain someone like Haas just in case Cleary goes down in the warmup, or just let it roll on Hopgood (who'd probably be an acceptable VC choice anyway)

    Would make my year if he’s out round 1
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    Post by Milchcow Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:38 pm


    Ando wrote:
    mattnz wrote:
    Talau covers 2 positions but only takes up 1 spot in that cheap ctr/wfb wasteland, also a history of single digit scores that you don't want stinking up your 17.

    Yeah I've delved deeper into his centre scoring and it's not pretty. I'd be happy switching HSS into the 17, but not history of scoring at centre makes it harder.

    No option for a R1 loop and don't really want to change the whole team around to accommodate a better centre... Ah the joys of fantasy

    My plan for Talau is that he gets a few 30+ in the opening 5 weeks and that he can be upgraded ASAP to someone half decent.

    He can get his single digit scores after his bye once we've all traded him out

    The Tigers first 3 rounds aren't bad - Titans, Newcastle, Dogs. That's as good as it gets for the reigning wooden spooners

    Also, I have no plans to actually play him in my 17 unless injury forces it, or he's getting looped in.
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    Post by Welshy Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:50 pm

    @mattnz

    Seriously don't overthink Doorey.

    Even at your floor projection he's making 200k
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    Post by rhinoceroo Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:54 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    What odds are people giving that Cleary is a late withdrawl this week?

    I want to captain someone from the Thursday game, just to maximise tinkering ability on Friday. Should I captain someone like Haas just in case Cleary goes down in the warmup, or just let it roll on Hopgood (who'd probably be an acceptable VC choice anyway)

    Unless you've heard something specific, the odds of Cleary withdrawing before the game are very long. And approximately the same odds as Haas withdrawing before the game.

    Think you're seeing unnecessary shadows here leading to a -EV play, but if you have to do this makes more sense to go Hopgood or if you have him Grant
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    Post by Ando Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:56 pm

    Milchcow wrote:


    My plan for Talau is that he gets a few 30+ in the opening 5 weeks and that he can be upgraded ASAP to someone half decent.

    He can get his single digit scores after his bye once we've all traded him out

    The Tigers first 3 rounds aren't bad - Titans, Newcastle, Dogs. That's as good as it gets for the reigning wooden spooners

    Also, I have no plans to actually play him in my 17 unless injury forces it, or he's getting looped in.

    This was my initial thinking, the first 3 games could see a few tries with Doueihi feeding him. I'm just going to stick with that because I'm happy with the rest of my squad. Hope for a few price rises and then switch him out to Bird if playing 13.
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    Post by rhinoceroo Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:56 pm

    Welshy wrote:@mattnz

    Seriously don't overthink Doorey.

    Even at your floor projection he's making 200k

    Not if Carty rolls back to 2016 and makes himself undroppable Beer
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    Post by Rabbits21 Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:07 pm

    @Snatchpato you can call us Souffs if you like I know the feeling is mutual!
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    Post by Welshy Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:08 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    Not if Carty rolls back to 2016 and makes himself undroppable  Beer

    Mental mun! Coach even come out and backed him as starting edge
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    Post by Rabbits21 Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:10 pm

    Milchcow wrote:


    My plan for Talau is that he gets a few 30+ in the opening 5 weeks and that he can be upgraded ASAP to someone half decent.

    He can get his single digit scores after his bye once we've all traded him out

    The Tigers first 3 rounds aren't bad - Titans, Newcastle, Dogs. That's as good as it gets for the reigning wooden spooners

    Also, I have no plans to actually play him in my 17 unless injury forces it, or he's getting looped in.
    I have HSS currently just feel he’s got some better pedigree to score a bit better but the DPP may sway me back to Talau especially with the Tigers having a reasonable first game or 2. I am going cheap at centre I. Thompson locked in I’m sticking by him.
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    Post by Ando Wed Mar 01, 2023 11:04 pm

    The plot thickens. HSS scored an 85 at centre (1 Try) in NSW Cup 2021 round 1.
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    Post by Rabbits21 Wed Mar 01, 2023 11:33 pm

    Ando wrote:The plot thickens. HSS scored an 85 at centre (1 Try) in NSW Cup 2021 round 1.
    I’ve got him I’m backing my gut. Lock it in.

    On another note:

    TU: Haas and Ponga
    TD: Carrigan and Turbo

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    Post by Finger Puppet Mafia Wed Mar 01, 2023 11:42 pm

    Someone said that Talau had a good game in the second trial. Did anyone see this?
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    Post by Rabbits21 Wed Mar 01, 2023 11:44 pm

    3 cheapies in the back 3 is not me neither is 7 cheapies too risky playing with fire.
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    Post by Rabbits21 Wed Mar 01, 2023 11:45 pm

    Finger Puppet Mafia wrote:Someone said that Talau had a good game in the second trial. Did anyone see this?
    He played 80mins and scored 26 with a try so not too inspiring. Doesn’t excite me.
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    Post by Ando Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:08 am

    Rabbits21 wrote:
    I’ve got him I’m backing my gut. Lock it in.

    On another note:

    TU: Haas and Ponga
    TD: Carrigan and Turbo


    And now this. Even though Jersey Flegg he’s got pace & we know he can break a tackle. I have a feeling he will be like Koula last year.

    https://twitter.com/nswrl/status/1266149760785764352?s=46&t=6lFofmP3m_MCYPCLQ6lBTg

    Alamoti & HSS locked into the 13
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    Post by Rabbits21 Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:18 am

    Ando wrote:

    And now this. Even though Jersey Flegg he’s got pace & we know he can break a tackle. I have a feeling he will be like Koula last year.

    https://twitter.com/nswrl/status/1266149760785764352?s=46&t=6lFofmP3m_MCYPCLQ6lBTg

    Alamoti & HSS locked into the 13
    Yep and Raiders have Dolphins round 2 and Knights round 3 so could be potential to score well.

    I’ve got my 5 cheapies Warbrick, Alamoti, HSS, Doorey and Blore then a few guys a tick over the 300k mark in TMM, Thompson and Ford as most have. If they flop say 2-3 of them then Sloan, BMM, Preston and Katoa if he goes well at the Dolphins could be options etc……

    I’m staying fully away from AKP domt like his base.

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