Camo123 2023 Thoughts

Camo123 wrote:Bit torn on trades (44k ITB)

Option 1:
R8: Carty to TPJ
R9: Warbrick, Katoa to Moses/Dunster or Brown/Feldt (WFB bye cover) - may be able to afford Loiero to Manu depending on prices but ideally keep Loiero until R13 and miss Manu until R14

Option 2:
R8: Carty + Alamoti to Manu + Host
R9: Katoa, Warbrick, Loiero + Moses/Dunster/604k or Brown/Feldt/621k

Current team before trades (25 trades, 44k)
Robson
Haas Murray Ford
Katoa Frizell
Cleary SJ
Bird Alamoti
Teddy Miller Walsh

BSmith Preston Loiero Carty
Katoa Warbrick Nikorima Thompson

Is there an option for no trade - Carty still has money to make and TPJ will score well but may not jump in price too much over the coming weeks

I would go Option 2 if given the choice but you also have the luxury of making no trades - which seems to be more appropriate - they will be better spent during the bye rounds

R8: 903 (rank 43)

Pros: CTRs scoring 132 between them (Manu and Bird)
Cons: Carnage for R9, Katoa HIA ruining trades planned, Host (avoided score though)

Trade in options: ARey/DBrown, JDB/Horsburgh/Cotter, Bula
Trade out options: Katoa, Loiero, Thompson/Alamoti

big score bro, and superb rank! nice work

other than being cheap Dbrown has done nothing to impress me, he is obviously historically decent,

JDB is solid, cotter exciting (though in my mind a cert for origin) Hors is one ive not made my mind up on yet, his minutes are enticing, but do you trust ricky?

GarethEllisismyDad wrote:big score bro, and superb rank! nice work

other than being cheap Dbrown has done nothing to impress me, he is obviously historically decent,

JDB is solid, cotter exciting (though in my mind a cert for origin) Hors is one ive not made my mind up on yet, his minutes are enticing, but do you trust ricky?

My preferred is definitely ARey and Cotter but budget means it’s ARey + Horse vs DBrown + JDB 

Think I’ll be looking at first option given extra game for the HLF. 2 big ifs though of ARey staying fit and Horse keeping lock role of high mins

Final trades (38k, 20 trades)
Katoa to Cotter
Loiero to Horse (5k short of JDB   ) - May reverse depending on EMG
Thompson to Bula

Robson
Murray Cotter Ford
Frizell Preston
Cleary SJ
Bird Manu
Teddy Miller Walsh 

Cheese Horse IKatoa Alamoti
Haas* Host Bula Nikorima

Camo123 wrote:Final trades (38k, 20 trades)
Katoa to Cotter
Loiero to Horse (5k short of JDB   ) - May reverse depending on EMG
Thompson to Bula

Robson
Murray Cotter Ford
Frizell Preston
Cleary SJ
Bird Manu
Teddy Miller Walsh 

Cheese Horse IKatoa Alamoti
Haas* Host Bula Nikorima

I like the trades mate, looking at doing a similar thing.

Really like the play of reversing the loiero trade if EMG goes ok.

I want Cotter if he get`s over 60mins but don`t want him if he get`s under 60 mins.

Tough to call which one he will get, what are you thinking in regards to mins?

R9: 778 (rank 391)

Pros: Lol get fucked (only pro was Bula)
Cons: Everything

Trades (not waiting until TLT)
Murray, Alamoti, Cotter to Horse, Hopgood, Lemeulu
Can afford up to 620k for last player but Lemeulu is probably now or never

R10: 995 (rank 225)

Pros: Cleary captain, trade ins were good
Cons: Rage trade Cotter backfired, benched Smith 52 instead of backing myself and playing Bula over Nikorima

Looking at Ford + Katoa to DBrown + Oloapu post TLT

Leaves team (21k, 16 trades)

Robson
Haas Horse Hopgood
Frizell Loiero
Cleary SJ
Bird Manu
Miller Teddy Walsh

Smith Brown Preston Lemeulu
Oloapu Bula Host Nikorima

Great looking team, Jealous of Frizell
One of those players you wish you grabbed but each week something else pops up
Te Whare next week and you have every base covered with a strong squad

R11: 946 (rank 255)

Pros: Walsh returning to form and probably not making Origin
Cons: Teddy awful

Trade out options: Teddy is gone, Manu depending on injury length
Trade in options: Cow

Camo123 wrote:R11: 946 (rank 255)

Pros: Walsh returning to form and probably not making Origin
Cons: Teddy awful

Trade out options: Teddy is gone
Trade in options: Cow

Post TLT

Looking at Teddy to HEdwards

Don’t need other cash cows right now as only missing piece is a R13 WFB but not exactly keen on most options there and already have surplus WFBs

Leaves team as (283k, 16 trades)
Robson
Haas Horse Hopgood
Frizell Loiero
Cleary Katoa
Bird Lemeulu
Miller Walsh Bula

HEdwards Preston Cheese Tatola
Host SJ Manu Nikorima

Leaves 12 for R13 pending Origin (with Host surplus to requirements with below rough plan)

R12: As above
R13: Preston/Loiero to Tohu
R14: Nikorima and Host to Oloapu and IPap

R12: 907 (rank 406)

Pros: Captain Cleary, Nikorima, Bula, Hopgood and Horse avoided Origin
Cons: Panic trade of Teddy to Billy Smith lost me over 60 points, Frizell and Walsh missing R13

Trade out options: Cheese (injured), Frizell (missing 3 of next 4 now with Origin), Katoa (lost mins to Milford), Loiero (peaked)
Trade in options: Drinkwater, Tohu, Moses, Oloapu

Post TLT

Cheese to Tohu
Miller to Ponga 
Frizell to X (Moses/EDG)

Will loop Nikorima and view score before deciding on Frizell trade. I don’t see myself trading in another WFB as I have 4 already so will have 11 players (after losing 3 in 1 week)

Robson
Horse Tohu Tatola
Hopgood Host
SJ Nikorima*
Bird Lemeulu
Ponga X X 

(Walsh, Bula, Cleary, Manu, Haas, Preston, Loiero, Katoa, Nikorima, Billy Smith)

Trades next week will be Katoa to Oloapu and Host to X (gun - depends on Frizell trade)

I’m really hoping Niko goes well tonight. Don’t have the money to bring in a Moses/Brown unless I trade out Carrigan and Tino this week. Probably makes sense but not sure I want to do it. 

Niko for 50

R13: 617 (rank 642)

Pros: Horse
Cons: Captain SJ 2nd lowest scorer, avoided WFBs who scored 70+

Trade outs: Host, Katoa
Trade in: Bateman, Oloapu

Trades (228k, 10 trades left after trades)

Host to Bateman
Katoa to Oloapu
Bird to Liddle

If Walsh is rested I probably have to do Walsh to WFB. Most likely Edwards.

Robson
Haas Horse Harris
Bateman Preston
Cleary SJ
Smith Lemeulu
Manu Walsh Bula

Tatola Loiero Liddle Hopgood
Nikorima Oloapu Ponga Moses

Have a fairly strong 21 but just going backwards every week. Plan next week is to go Nikorima + Loiero to Fainu + Hynes/Fifita (tired of fucking around with subpar players and Hynes and Fifita are well above the rest of their position barring players I have, I suspect Hynes may be dropped from Origin as well)

R14: 848 (rank 493)

Pros: Finally a rank rise. SJ and Bateman top scorers for round, Bula and Nikorima making bulk cash
Cons: Cleary C ruining good score and out for 6 weeks

Trade out options: Cleary, Tatola?
Trade in options: Matterson if fit, Fainu, Edwards

Deep dive into seeing if I have enough cash/trades to afford ideal finishing team

Keepers: Robson, Haas, Horse (?), Tohu, Bateman, SJ, Moses (effectively until final round), Lemeulu, Ponga, Bula, Walsh (?), Hopgood (?), Preston (?)

Keepers to target: Grant, Cleary, Hynes, Fifita, Yeo/JDB/Matterson, Bird, Edwards (?)

Trade outs:
Money ITB 228k
Cleary 993k
Tatola 491k
Liddle expected price 600k
Nikorima expected price 520k
Loiero expected price 620k
Billy Smith expected price 445k
Oloapu expected price 400k

Total 4297k

Trade ins:
Grant expected price 710k
Cleary after injury expected price 940k
Hynes expected price 975k
Fifita expected price 800k
Bird expected price 680k
Yeo/JDB expected price 850k

Total approx 4955k - about 650k short on expected prices

Noting looking at my last year team tracker I look to be quite ahead at the same point as I was around 650k short including need for 2 cashouts and having additional trades this year (18 including extras vs 15)

Edit: Figures above are for 19 ubergun keepers so can fit cashouts in and minor downgrades (Yeo/JDB to Matterson for 100k less)