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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread

    danseels1985
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    Post by danseels1985 Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:25 pm

    TU:Cook to Grant/DCE and hold Bula
    TD: Trade Bula as well to bring in both
    Finch
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    Post by Finch Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:28 pm

    Shady2K wrote:Any interest in Matto as a cheaper mid option? At 663k

    Not while he's starting from the bench
    Finch
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    Post by Finch Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:28 pm

    Batman wrote:

    I thought players were banned from talking to media?
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:31 pm

    The use of the word reeling has just had its stocks nosedive.
    BBowler
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    Post by BBowler Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:33 pm

    Finch wrote:

    I thought players were banned from talking to media?

    I think it only applies on game days!
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:35 pm

    Finch wrote:

    I thought players were banned from talking to media?

    The blackout is only on game days, I think.
    danseels1985
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    Post by danseels1985 Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:36 pm

    Finch wrote:

    Not while he's starting from the bench

    To be honest he’s actually done well the times he’s had to play from the bench if he gets 50+ mins,he just needs to not be 5/8th haha
    GarethEllisismyDad
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    Post by GarethEllisismyDad Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:45 pm

    watching the U19 state of origin ready for next years cheapies!
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:46 pm

    LATE MAIL: Penrith coach Ivan Cleary has a big decision to make and reportedly is mulling over whether to rest his representative stars Stephen Crichton, Brian To’o, Liam Martin and Isaah Yeo. “We’ve got a system in place and some contingencies around that as well. We’ll make the decisions later,” Cleary said. The Panthers coach is confident though that son Nathan Cleary will return from a hamstring injury. “There’s a pretty good chance (he’ll play) I reckon … he’s tracking really well,” Ivan said on Wednesday. “No, not fast-tracking. This was the weekend that he was always aiming to play in. He’s gone well in his rehab, so we just have to see how the week goes.”
    No Worries
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    Post by No Worries Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:47 pm

    BBowler wrote:
    Finch wrote:

    I thought players were banned from talking to media?

    I think it only applies on game days!

    Only days that dont end in Y. The RLPA is a joke, the players don't even know why there is a ban
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:59 pm

    Camo123 wrote:

    Who were you looking at trading to Fifita? If it’s Boyd, you can pivot to Cleary/Grant anyway if we hear by 24hr cut as Boyd to Fifita would be 1 trade that you should be able to reverse if on bench
    Mate I’m thinking now maybe Brimson to Fifita how does that sound?

    Bula to Edwards
    AJ to M. King
    Brimson to Fifita

    Leaves 143k spare. Then hope SJ plays otherwise I can’t go SJ to Cleary in 1 trade I’m 21k short I’d have to get DCE this week.

    Then go…

    Hopgood to Murray
    Robson/Boyd to Grant
    SJ to Cleary next week

    If SJ is out this week then as I said get DCE then Preston to Cleary becomes the move next week but burns an extra trade leaving me just 4 left yikes!

    Either way I have to sacrifice somewhere and to get Fifita, Edwards, Grant and Cleary ultimately I think I’ll have to sacrifice SJ.

    With trading Brimson I still have Lemu, Penis and Manu so Manu can shift to WFB if Teddy or Ponga are out as my only other cover would be Kris.

    Thoughts on all this mate? It’s been doing my head in. Been thinking about it the last 2 hours.

    Would leave me 4 or 5 trades left and

    Grant
    Haas JDB Horse
    Fifita Bateman
    Cleary Hynes
    Penis Manu
    Teddy Edwards Ponga

    Boyd/Robson Preston/DCE Murray Matto
    M. King Lemu Hands Kris


    Then hold tight and hope for no injuries
    BCT05
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    Post by BCT05 Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:01 pm

    Pretty unsure what to do this week myself. I have two pretty much locked in trades in Tapine to Yeo and Boyd to Cleary assuming he is good to go. 

    But then I'm not sure if I should just keep going and go big. There is an option where I make 4 trades this week and 2 next week and then hang on for dear life from there with 3 trades left. 

    It would involve binning both Null and Bula and I'm really not sure how I feel about each of them, Null in particular. Feels weird trading out a CTR playing 80 at second row. Some poor scoring lately but we also know he can go big. Maybe Penis is a better trade out with the late bye to come...


    Last edited by BCT05 on Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:29 pm; edited 1 time in total
    ytsb
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    Post by ytsb Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:12 pm

    Does Liddle play out the season as a 50ish min hooker with Sullivan out for the year? Considering keeping Liddle over Bula as my backup hooker and going Robson to DCE...
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:15 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:
    Mate I’m thinking now maybe Brimson to Fifita how does that sound?

    Bula to Edwards
    AJ to M. King
    Brimson to Fifita

    Leaves 143k spare. Then hope SJ plays otherwise I can’t go SJ to Cleary in 1 trade I’m 21k short I’d have to get DCE this week.

    Then go…

    Hopgood to Murray
    Robson/Boyd to Grant
    SJ to Cleary next week

    If SJ is out this week then as I said get DCE then Preston to Cleary becomes the move next week but burns an extra trade leaving me just 4 left yikes!

    Either way I have to sacrifice somewhere and to get Fifita, Edwards, Grant and Cleary ultimately I think I’ll have to sacrifice SJ.

    With trading Brimson I still have Lemu, Penis and Manu so Manu can shift to WFB if Teddy or Ponga are out as my only other cover would be Kris.

    Thoughts on all this mate? It’s been doing my head in. Been thinking about it the last 2 hours.

    Would leave me 4 or 5 trades left and

    Grant
    Haas JDB Horse
    Fifita Bateman
    Cleary Hynes
    Penis Manu
    Teddy Edwards Ponga

    Boyd/Robson Preston/DCE Murray Matto
    M. King Lemu Hands Kris


    Then hold tight and hope for no injuries

    Sounds all good, similar with Boyd and Brimson you can reverse if Fifita is out as same game/team

    If you’re able to, can you check my tracker for my conundrum
    BCT05
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    Post by BCT05 Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:16 pm

    ytsb wrote:Does Liddle play out the season as a 50ish min hooker with Sullivan out for the year? Considering keeping Liddle over Bula as my backup hooker and going Robson to DCE...

    I don't think Sullivan being out makes any difference as he appeared to have the halves spot. Mbye has been coming off the bench to spell Liddle the last couple weeks. But yes regardless no reason Liddle shouldn't continue to play at least 50mins at hooker.
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:16 pm

    ytsb wrote:Does Liddle play out the season as a 50ish min hooker with Sullivan out for the year? Considering keeping Liddle over Bula as my backup hooker and going Robson to DCE...

    They could still do Amone 5/8 and Mbye utility
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:17 pm

    The u19 blues don't get origin either
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:19 pm

    Gagai out in 24hr cut, not sure if anyone on here has him (same foot injury)
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:22 pm

    Looking for game scores then realise is tomo. Yay another day to ponder
    ynot
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    Post by ynot Thu Jul 13, 2023 8:22 pm

    Thanks for all the feedback everyone.

    It is definitely some pretty basic descriptive analytics, I should probably investigate how useful it actually is though. I thought it was interesting how little the advantage is for the "best" run home, e.g. 2 points per 80 is nothing.

    I have built some models using xgboost and a whole bunch of lagged time series features, but didn't think they weren't better than historical PPM x expected minutes.

    Some great ideas here, thanks again.

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