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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread

    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:07 am

    wolfking wrote:

    I think I'll hold Bula too.  Will trade VTW over him I think.

    Yeah Bula with Knights this week and Dragons next week if still holding gives me hope that he could score well and not lose much cash. Trading green dots in these situations normally bites me in the ass too. VTW unlikely to play this week and bye next, so shouldn't get burned there.
    Spectre
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    Post by Spectre Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:08 am

    Aardvark wrote:

    The only reason to hold Simpkin is if Api is a late out....his scores off the bench are the very definition of dogshit (or fantasy definition anyway). Cash that motherfucker in.
    I completely agree. I just don’t think the money I’ll earn from cashing him is needed/worth a trade. Outside of this week I can dump him in the reserves until seasons end.

    Aardvark
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    Post by Aardvark Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:11 am

    Spectre wrote:
    I completely agree. I just don’t think the money I’ll earn from cashing him is needed/worth a trade. Outside of this week I can dump him in the reserves until seasons end.


    Fair enough, if trades are short then that's probably a good plan (I didn't go hard enough at the byes so have a few up my sleeve)

    Average of 11 in games under 40 mins is pretty disheartening...
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:18 am

    SJ extends for 2024
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:23 am

    Warriors extending Johnson in preparation for the Sharks. I hear the eyes are their weakness, so probably a wise strategy
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:24 am

    Where my Booze at?

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Funny-weather


    Last edited by WT Winfield on Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:28 am; edited 1 time in total
    Finch
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    Post by Finch Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:25 am

    WT Winfield wrote:Warriors extending Johnson in preparation for the Sharks. I hear the eyes are their weakness, so probably a wise strategy

    I think Warriors lose this one tbh, Sharks are due for a top 8 win and we are mid-bottom of the top 8
    Finch
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    Post by Finch Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:26 am

    Also some speculation this was timed for today because the ABs are playing this weekend at Mt Smart and named their team earlier, so now Warriors are back in the news too
    ynot
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    Post by ynot Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:30 am

    Little bit of analysis for the afternoon:

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Image11

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Image12

    These will update automatically each week on https://dash.yafss.com.

    I've also added some filters for positions, bye weeks and updated the table extension, so it all runs a bit faster.
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:34 am

    Lock in Bula vs Knights affraid
    lukeayee
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    Post by lukeayee Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:45 am

    WT Winfield wrote:Lock in Bula vs Knights affraid

    With Api back in, i think Bula is fine to stay in the team rest of the season. Tigers look a different team with him in.

    I'm going to hold.

    Aardvark
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    Post by Aardvark Thu Jul 13, 2023 11:58 am

    mmmm.....if I hold Bula for one more week I can manoeuvre a world where both Fifita and Cleary come in this week

    Tomorrow decision
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:03 pm

    lukeayee wrote:

    With Api back in, i think Bula is fine to stay in the team rest of the season. Tigers look a different team with him in.

    I'm going to hold.


    Yeah I've been considering upgrading him to Dedwards or some other gun, but could look at Drink to Dedwards soonish and afford to keep Bula as WFB cover/loop option. Future week's problem though, seems like a luxury trade this week.
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:05 pm

    WT Winfield wrote:

    Yeah Bula with Knights this week and Dragons next week if still holding gives me hope that he could score well and not lose much cash. Trading green dots in these situations normally bites me in the ass too. VTW unlikely to play this week and bye next, so shouldn't get burned there.
    Just seen in an do VTW to DCE instead of Bula. Food for thought
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:10 pm

    Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    Just seen in an do VTW to DCE instead of Bula. Food for thought

    Sounds good to me mate. Gives you a chance to loop Bula and confirm DCE is in. I'm confident he'll back-up, but can't hurt to be sure. Bula might drop 10-20k I guess, so consider it a fee for ensuring you're not trading a pretty decent green dot to a potential red dot.
    mrbrownstone
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    Post by mrbrownstone Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:12 pm

    ynot wrote:Little bit of analysis for the afternoon:

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Image11

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Image12

    These will update automatically each week on https://dash.yafss.com.

    I've also added some filters for positions, bye weeks and updated the table extension, so it all runs a bit faster.

    Exceptional work as ever.

    My takeaways:

    - Kris has the third best run home for FBs, hopefully can keep sneaking decent scores out of him.
    - DCE even more tempting after seeing that
    - Not encouraging for Hopgood for those considering selling
    - Trade Haas at your own risk; less encouraging for Tapine reinforcing my decision to sell
    - Encouraging for those considering Piakura as a cashdown
    - The three most popular gun hookers (Grant, Cook, Robson) all have negative runs home; Koro could be exceptional value
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:27 pm

    Bula could go alright according to that chart. 

    Koroisau at 524k looking nice. May have to find a way
    lukeayee
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    Post by lukeayee Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:28 pm

    ynot wrote:Little bit of analysis for the afternoon:

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Image11

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread - Page 2 Image12

    These will update automatically each week on https://dash.yafss.com.

    I've also added some filters for positions, bye weeks and updated the table extension, so it all runs a bit faster.

    Love the enthusiasm and innovation in this analysis.

    However, without trying to be too negative, I'm not sure how statistically significant your findings are.

    There are a lot of independent variables that effect the players scores. That analysis only looks at performance of X player against Y team. How much of the variation in score could be explained by who's playing, who's injured, weather, momentum of team performance etc etc.

    I'm sure there is a correlation of some kind between the teams played, but I really don't think it's as strong as everyone makes out.
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:29 pm

    WT Winfield wrote:Warriors extending Johnson in preparation for the Sharks. I hear the eyes are their weakness, so probably a wise strategy

    Absolute trollop !
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Thu Jul 13, 2023 12:40 pm

    Happy Birthday Random!!! cheer

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