NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 70 - the Happy Birthday Random thread

wolfking wrote:

I think I'll hold Bula too.  Will trade VTW over him I think.

Yeah Bula with Knights this week and Dragons next week if still holding gives me hope that he could score well and not lose much cash. Trading green dots in these situations normally bites me in the ass too. VTW unlikely to play this week and bye next, so shouldn't get burned there.

Aardvark wrote:

The only reason to hold Simpkin is if Api is a late out....his scores off the bench are the very definition of dogshit (or fantasy definition anyway). Cash that motherfucker in.

I completely agree. I just don’t think the money I’ll earn from cashing him is needed/worth a trade. Outside of this week I can dump him in the reserves until seasons end.

Spectre wrote:
I completely agree. I just don’t think the money I’ll earn from cashing him is needed/worth a trade. Outside of this week I can dump him in the reserves until seasons end.

Fair enough, if trades are short then that's probably a good plan (I didn't go hard enough at the byes so have a few up my sleeve)

Average of 11 in games under 40 mins is pretty disheartening...

SJ extends for 2024

Warriors extending Johnson in preparation for the Sharks. I hear the eyes are their weakness, so probably a wise strategy

Where my Booze at?

WT Winfield wrote:Warriors extending Johnson in preparation for the Sharks. I hear the eyes are their weakness, so probably a wise strategy

I think Warriors lose this one tbh, Sharks are due for a top 8 win and we are mid-bottom of the top 8

Also some speculation this was timed for today because the ABs are playing this weekend at Mt Smart and named their team earlier, so now Warriors are back in the news too

Little bit of analysis for the afternoon:





These will update automatically each week on https://dash.yafss.com.

I've also added some filters for positions, bye weeks and updated the table extension, so it all runs a bit faster.

Lock in Bula vs Knights

WT Winfield wrote:Lock in Bula vs Knights

With Api back in, i think Bula is fine to stay in the team rest of the season. Tigers look a different team with him in.

I'm going to hold.

mmmm.....if I hold Bula for one more week I can manoeuvre a world where both Fifita and Cleary come in this week

Tomorrow decision

lukeayee wrote:

With Api back in, i think Bula is fine to stay in the team rest of the season. Tigers look a different team with him in.

I'm going to hold.

Yeah I've been considering upgrading him to Dedwards or some other gun, but could look at Drink to Dedwards soonish and afford to keep Bula as WFB cover/loop option. Future week's problem though, seems like a luxury trade this week.

WT Winfield wrote:

Yeah Bula with Knights this week and Dragons next week if still holding gives me hope that he could score well and not lose much cash. Trading green dots in these situations normally bites me in the ass too. VTW unlikely to play this week and bye next, so shouldn't get burned there.

Just seen in an do VTW to DCE instead of Bula. Food for thought

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Just seen in an do VTW to DCE instead of Bula. Food for thought

Sounds good to me mate. Gives you a chance to loop Bula and confirm DCE is in. I'm confident he'll back-up, but can't hurt to be sure. Bula might drop 10-20k I guess, so consider it a fee for ensuring you're not trading a pretty decent green dot to a potential red dot.

ynot wrote:Little bit of analysis for the afternoon:





These will update automatically each week on https://dash.yafss.com.

I've also added some filters for positions, bye weeks and updated the table extension, so it all runs a bit faster.

Exceptional work as ever.

My takeaways:

- Kris has the third best run home for FBs, hopefully can keep sneaking decent scores out of him.
- DCE even more tempting after seeing that
- Not encouraging for Hopgood for those considering selling
- Trade Haas at your own risk; less encouraging for Tapine reinforcing my decision to sell
- Encouraging for those considering Piakura as a cashdown
- The three most popular gun hookers (Grant, Cook, Robson) all have negative runs home; Koro could be exceptional value

Bula could go alright according to that chart. 

Koroisau at 524k looking nice. May have to find a way

ynot wrote:Little bit of analysis for the afternoon:





These will update automatically each week on https://dash.yafss.com.

I've also added some filters for positions, bye weeks and updated the table extension, so it all runs a bit faster.

Love the enthusiasm and innovation in this analysis.

However, without trying to be too negative, I'm not sure how statistically significant your findings are.

There are a lot of independent variables that effect the players scores. That analysis only looks at performance of X player against Y team. How much of the variation in score could be explained by who's playing, who's injured, weather, momentum of team performance etc etc.

I'm sure there is a correlation of some kind between the teams played, but I really don't think it's as strong as everyone makes out.

WT Winfield wrote:Warriors extending Johnson in preparation for the Sharks. I hear the eyes are their weakness, so probably a wise strategy

Absolute trollop !