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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 24 - Stop! Banner Time

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:22 am

    Stats, Breakevens and more
    https://footystatistics.com/

    R5 BEs
    Spoiler:

    2022 Autofill
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1807-2022-autofill-league

    2022 Community team
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1809-community-team-2022

    2022 Fantasy Draft
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1810-2022-ff-nrl-fantasy-draft-league

    2022 Team planner
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/j8v638mr7d1ciz4/2022+Team+Planner+v1.0.xlsm/file

    2022 Player Prices
    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1787-2022-player-prices


    Last edited by Milchcow on Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:46 pm; edited 1 time in total
    ytsb
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    Post by ytsb Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:23 am

    First losers.

    I feel like this is a decent time to remind everyone of some data analysis that I believe ynot provided last year. There is pretty much no correlation between opposition difficulty and scoring, except for the backs. There was a weak negative correlation between scoring and opposition difficulty (as difficulty goes up, scoring goes down) for fullbacks, halves, wingers, and centres, in descending order of strength of correlation IIRC.


    Last edited by ytsb on Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:23 am; edited 1 time in total
    The Goat Boys
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    Post by The Goat Boys Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:23 am

    Just posted my first ever GIF in that party, I`ve been here for two years and never knew how to post a GIF.
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:24 am

    Lockout over for those who missed it
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:24 am

    The Goat Boys wrote:Just posted my first ever GIF in that party, I`ve been here for two years and never knew how to post a GIF.

    SI, your alts are getting sloppy
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:24 am

    ytsb wrote:First losers.

    I feel like this is a decent time to remind everyone of some data analysis that I believe ynot provided last year. There is pretty much no correlation between opposition difficulty and scoring, except for the backs. There was a weak negative correlation between scoring and opposition difficulty (as difficulty goes up, scoring goes down) for fullbacks, halves, wingers, and centres, in descending order of strength of correlation IIRC.

    Fuck, when I read that first line I thought the Pappy shit was coming again!
    Krump
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    Post by Krump Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:25 am

    With lockout over we get to see if Butters mythical BE's were right
    Daedalus
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    Post by Daedalus Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:26 am

    Lockout over and I’m 69th in the FOG cheer stop the count!
    ytsb
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    Post by ytsb Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:27 am

    wolfking wrote:

    Fuck, when I read that first line I thought the Pappy shit was coming again!

    lol! Beating Heart
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:29 am

    All the price rises are all over the place

    Says Thompson gained 73k going from 291k to 322k

    Pretty sure lockout isn’t over A+
    BCT05
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    Post by BCT05 Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:35 am

    Camo123 wrote:All the price rises are all over the place

    Says Thompson gained 73k going from 291k to 322k

    Pretty sure lockout isn’t over A+

    Looks normal for me, says he made $31k


    Last edited by BCT05 on Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:35 am; edited 1 time in total
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:35 am

    This could be a really dumb trade but I've gone Aitken --> Dylan Brown.

    I've never owned Brown before but fmd he has been great to start this year. Aitken hasn't been killing it either, probs doesn't warrant a trade out but I have exactly the right amount of cash to get Dyl brown in so it's a sign.

    Might change my mind later in the week on this trade, obviously very reactionary to Brown's points the last few weeks but his floor is just crazy good and clearly has improved his offence and is now taking upon more responsibility.

    (this also means I'll be able to keep Fifita)
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:36 am

    Just a wee blip. I don’t even want to look at my team
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:36 am

    That gif was creepy @Wolfking
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:38 am

    I lost a pt at lockout and I don’t know from where. 900 on the dot.
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    Post by TherealTimSimona Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:38 am

    Its definitely sideways but might as well get him while his BE is low and in form

    Fifita, Ilias > Dylan Brown, T.May

    118K left in the bank after
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:39 am

    Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:This could be a really dumb trade but I've gone Aitken --> Dylan Brown.

    I've never owned Brown before but fmd he has been great to start this year. Aitken hasn't been killing it either, probs doesn't warrant a trade out but I have exactly the right amount of cash to get Dyl brown in so it's a sign.

    Might change my mind later in the week on this trade, obviously very reactionary to Brown's points the last few weeks but his floor is just crazy good and clearly has improved his offence and is now taking upon more responsibility.

    (this also means I'll be able to keep Fifita)

    Aitken is 5th best averaging CTRs plays first bye and is not lazy potato like Fifita who's probably on course to drop another decent chunk
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    Post by Shady2K Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:41 am

    Before everyone asks, Cleary's official BE is 106
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:42 am

    Loomer wrote:

    Aitken is 5th best averaging CTRs plays first bye and is not lazy potato like Fifita who's probably on course to drop another decent chunk

    Sorry mate h2h player forgot to mention so byes don't affect me*

    And yeah Fifi is a lazy kient I'll probs piss him off sooner rather than later if he can't pull out a good score. Wanted to get rid of him this week but for now I won't
    mrbrownstone
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    Post by mrbrownstone Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:42 am

    Few interesting ones.

    Another 40 would see Ponga under $550, hard to turn down at that price.

    Dedwards at $526K also possibly worth a look.

    Brandon Smith under $600k.

    Nathan Brown under $600k putting up back to back 50s when mid looks tricky.

    McInness down to $645k now - ideally he loses a bit more, Mann makes a bit more, and it's a straight swap when (if?) he's back to playing big mins at lock.


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