NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 1 - fire up the spreadsheets

Lchy wrote:Warriors, Raiders, Sharks, Panthers, Cowboys all with updated photos on the fantasy website. Fuck the season is so close i can almost taste it

my tv broke wrote:Why is Grant more appealing this season instead of last ? What will change at the Storm? is it just Finucane has left = more of Grant at "13" (in fantasy theory)?

my tv broke wrote:

That is just assuming Bellamy would move away from a tactic that worked extremely well in 2021. Guess we'll see.

my tv broke wrote:Why is Grant more appealing this season instead of last ? What will change at the Storm? is it just Finucane has left = more of Grant at "13" (in fantasy theory/hopium)?

I haven't looked at making a squad yet, trying to hold out until after TLT. I still don't know who some of the players being talked about are. Will be interesting to see if it avoids bias's for and against various players by not worrying about it until then. Tbh I don't think starting squad means too much unless you really overthink it and end up outsmarting yourself into silly decisions.

CLEAR EYES FULL HEARTS CANT LOSE

Milchcow wrote:
One problem with Cook is that he will miss games over origin - you'd probably want to trade him out and in again (this applies to Grant too)

The other one s that he seems to have been given a boost in price compared to his average. When buying a 60+ scoring player, you don't necessarily need value. But you also don't want to be paying overs for it.

Milchcow wrote:On the topic of pricing/value

If you pay for coach (or get the free trial) you can see projected scores for the first 3 weeks.
If you trust coach predictions (and why wouldn't you)

Here are the best players for the first 3 rounds

Name	Projected	Price	Value
Andrew Fifita	32.7	19.3	13.4
Reece Hoffman	30.0	19.3	10.7
Paul Turner	31.0	21.7	9.3
Taylan May	33.0	24.1	8.9
Jamal Fogarty	61.3	52.6	8.7
Will Smith	27.0	19.3	7.7
Jayden Berrell	25.0	17.7	7.3
Alec Tuitavake	25.0	17.7	7.3
Tyran Wishart	25.0	17.7	7.3
Christian Ma'anaima	25.0	17.7	7.3
David Hollis	25.0	17.7	7.3
Trey Mooney	25.0	17.7	7.3
Sione Fainu	25.0	17.7	7.3
Jonah Pezet	25.0	17.7	7.3
Kurt Falls	25.0	17.7	7.3
Ezra Mam	25.0	17.7	7.3
Lachlan Miller	25.0	17.7	7.3
Joshua Cook	26.0	19.3	6.7
Delouise Hoeter	26.0	19.3	6.7
Ashley Taylor	37.0	30.4	6.6

Milchcow wrote:On the topic of pricing/value

If you pay for coach (or get the free trial) you can see projected scores for the first 3 weeks.
If you trust coach predictions (and why wouldn't you)

Here are the best players for the first 3 rounds

 

Name	Projected	Price	Value
Andrew Fifita	32.7	19.3	13.4
Reece Hoffman	30.0	19.3	10.7
Paul Turner	31.0	21.7	9.3
Taylan May	33.0	24.1	8.9
Jamal Fogarty	61.3	52.6	8.7
Will Smith	27.0	19.3	7.7
Jayden Berrell	25.0	17.7	7.3
Alec Tuitavake	25.0	17.7	7.3
Tyran Wishart	25.0	17.7	7.3
Christian Ma'anaima	25.0	17.7	7.3
David Hollis	25.0	17.7	7.3
Trey Mooney	25.0	17.7	7.3
Sione Fainu	25.0	17.7	7.3
Jonah Pezet	25.0	17.7	7.3
Kurt Falls	25.0	17.7	7.3
Ezra Mam	25.0	17.7	7.3
Lachlan Miller	25.0	17.7	7.3
Joshua Cook	26.0	19.3	6.7
Delouise Hoeter	26.0	19.3	6.7
Ashley Taylor	37.0	30.4	6.6

Lchy wrote:I haven't seen too much chat on this forum about starting the season with Grant weirdly enough, would've thought that might have been a bigger talking point.

I've been playing around with some drafts with him in it and I think it's doable. In games where he has played 50-70 mins he averages 57 so just about breaks even worse case scenario. Best case he plays 80 where he averages 62 which makes him 5pts underpriced, possible given Finucane leaving. I think he's a no brainer if he was playing week 1 so I may just bite the bullet.

my tv broke wrote:

CLEAR EYES FULL HEARTS CANT LOSE

Clear eyes...:

my tv broke wrote:

should be working now.

looks ok on https://footystatistics.com/index.php?p=505972