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    The Betting thread part 2

    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:30 am

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:An update on Wade -he is likely going to bat at 5. The original 10+ runs bet is still great value at 1.60 but 20 and 50+ etc not as good
    https://www.espncricinfo.com/series/australia-in-bangladesh-2021-1270832/bangladesh-vs-australia-1st-t20i-1270834/match-preview

    Unibet has him priced as an opener still, under 23.5 runs is 1.82 on there! Be careful of going big on either side (neds and unibet) as they might limit the bets etc.
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    Post by No Worries Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:20 am

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:

    What were the legs mate? nice win though!

    It was actually $7,14 to $4,52 ( I was close)

    Gold Coast Titans @ 1.26
    Head to Head
    Void
    Canterbury Bulldogs v Gold Coast Titans - Bets voided due to Venue Change
    Sat 31/07/21 12:12
    South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.08
    Head to Head
    Void
    St George/Illa Dragons v South Sydney Rabbitohs - Bets voided due to Venue Change
    Sat 31/07/21 13:13
    Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.16
    Head to Head
    Void
    Cronulla Sharks v Manly Sea Eagles - Bets voided due to Venue Change
    Sat 31/07/21 16:05
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Tue Aug 03, 2021 7:11 pm

    **Value Tryscorer Plays Round 21**

    The better odds on value tryscorers disappear over a few hours on a Tuesday night so wanted to make sure I got this post up ASAP. As always, to look at every player and get the odds comparison + our model's projected odds and their career strike rate converted into odds so you can find the value bets yourself check out the Edge portal on the sporttechdaily site - https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl

    FTS
    Enari Tuala - 11 Topsport. Left edge winger for the Knights, Ponga's favoured side. Staggs out and Pearce in describes my personal feelings about this game in 5 words. Coming off a hattrick against a better team last round too. Great value according to the model + better odds than other sites.

    ATS
    Euan Aitken - 4.33 SB - chance he shifts into centre and Katoa starts so could end up being even better value. Currently great value according to model odds & other sites.

    Joseph Manu - 3.40 SB - 2nd best value pick of the week, has been on the ball a lot more recently and if Cleary ends up not playing this weekend (in #21 atm) this would be really good value for a Roosters team coming off a great win and a Panthers team that's not looking the same without Cleary!
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    Post by Rooster Booster Wed Aug 04, 2021 6:57 pm

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:

    Unibet has him priced as an opener still, under 23.5 runs is 1.82 on there! Be careful of going big on either side (neds and unibet) as they might limit the bets etc.

    Didn't see this until too late, but keep em comin on the cricket too as the Aussies tend to struggle on turning wickets.
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Thu Aug 05, 2021 9:44 am

    **Aus v BD Game 3, Friday 10pm Value Play**

    Mitch Marsh 20.5 RUNS overs on Neds. 1.83.
    Mitch Marsh 43.5 PP unders on 365, 1.72

    Marsh is in great form with the bat, hitting 45 in both games so far. He has only bowled 1 over across both games and 365 has his PP marked as if he'll be bowling. Could get unlucky with a catch or a wicket (if he does bowl) but high chance of hitting 1 of these 2 even in that scenario.

    Be careful with staking, I'm capped on Neds so was only about to get around $60 on
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Thu Aug 05, 2021 9:45 am

    @Rooster Booster wrote:

    Didn't see this until too late, but keep em comin on the cricket too as the Aussies tend to struggle on turning wickets.

    Will do mate. Obviously the NRL stuff I'm a lot more confident with, but just looking across all sites you can pretty easily find some good bets on the cricket atm!
    Australia getting 120 in 20 overs batting first was crazy yesterday..just watched the highlights, anyone watch the game? What went wrong?
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Thu Aug 05, 2021 6:37 pm

    **Thursday Night Value Tryscorer Plays**

    Tonight's a tricky one because Tuala was an amazing play on Tuesday night but the value is gone for him (in from 11 to 8 FTS). Generally, I think the game will be dominated by the Knights left edge - Barnett, Best & Tuala. As always, check out our Edge portal (https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl) on the sporttechdaily site to check out the odds for every player across 6 sites + our model odds & historical odds that show you a player's career strike rate!

    FTS
    Jordan Riki 41 SB. Has been in great form last couple of weeks, model absolutely loves these odds (we've priced him at 28) & if the Broncos do show some fight early he'll be right at the heart of it.

    ATS
    Kobe Hetherington 9 SB & Playup - his style of play is perfectly suited to tryscorer bets! We had him for FTS a couple of weeks ago and he did score, just not at the right time for us. Hoping going ATS on him at great value can work out for us this time.
    Mitch Barnett 4 SB & Playup - going back to my thoughts on the game in the preview. Knights left edge is looking hot since Ponga's return to form and Barnett is a good hole runner.
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Thu Aug 05, 2021 7:11 pm

    Lachlan Fitzgibbon is starting for the Knights, available at $4 on SB. Will take Barnett's spot.
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    Post by Krump Thu Aug 05, 2021 7:45 pm

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:Lachlan Fitzgibbon is starting for the Knights, available at $4 on SB. Will take Barnett's spot.
    Thanks!
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Thu Aug 05, 2021 9:21 pm

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:**Thursday Night Value Tryscorer Plays**

    Tonight's a tricky one because Tuala was an amazing play on Tuesday night but the value is gone for him (in from 11 to 8 FTS). Generally, I think the game will be dominated by the Knights left edge - Barnett, Best & Tuala. As always, check out our Edge portal (https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl) on the sporttechdaily site to check out the odds for every player across 6 sites + our model odds & historical odds that show you a player's career strike rate!

    FTS
    Jordan Riki 41 SB. Has been in great form last couple of weeks, model absolutely loves these odds (we've priced him at 28) & if the Broncos do show some fight early he'll be right at the heart of it.

    ATS
    Kobe Hetherington 9 SB & Playup - his style of play is perfectly suited to tryscorer bets! We had him for FTS a couple of weeks ago and he did score, just not at the right time for us. Hoping going ATS on him at great value can work out for us this time.
    Mitch Barnett 4 SB & Playup - going back to my thoughts on the game in the preview. Knights left edge is looking hot since Ponga's return to form and Barnett is a good hole runner.

    Barnett gets over! Felt lucky but need to take the wins!
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    Post by BCT05 Thu Aug 05, 2021 9:54 pm

    @Revraiser on the PGA front, I reckon your boy Louis might finally get his long overdue win this week
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    Post by Revraiser Thu Aug 05, 2021 11:15 pm

    @BCT05 wrote:@Revraiser on the PGA front, I reckon your boy Louis might finally get his long overdue win this week

    Hey mate, yeah he deserves a win. It's a hot field hey, all in there.
    U like any others or Louis time ?
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    Post by BCT05 Fri Aug 06, 2021 6:32 am

    @Revraiser wrote:

    Hey mate, yeah he deserves a win. It's a hot field hey, all in there.
    U like any others or Louis time ?

    Yeah very hot field. Like Casey too and hard to go past Berger with his course history.

    Some mildly surprising names at the top after rd1 though
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Aug 06, 2021 12:45 pm

    Cleary ruled out according to NRL physio. These were already good value plays for Roosters players but becomes even better with the marketing probably about to adjust for Cleary being 100% out.
    Tedesco @ $3 & Manu at $3.5 our official plays but the edge portal will have some other good plays including the ones in the photo here. Good luck!
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    Post by BCT05 Fri Aug 06, 2021 1:44 pm

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:Cleary ruled out according to NRL physio. These were already good value plays for Roosters players but becomes even better with the marketing probably about to adjust for Cleary being 100% out.
    Tedesco @ $3 & Manu at $3.5 our official plays but the edge portal will have some other good plays including the ones in the photo here. Good luck!

    Fancy that to be a close game and could see the Roosters winning.

    The underdog I do like this week though is the Warriors, fancy their chances and will be having a dabble on em
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    Post by Revraiser Fri Aug 06, 2021 5:14 pm

    Feel a Wighton double tonight. Roll that into Matterson anytime ts.
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Aug 06, 2021 5:45 pm

    Tips for tonight below, will put in others throughout the night. https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl


    First Tryscorer
    Hudson young 23 sb
    Tom burgess 76 sb
    Anytime Tryscorer
    Maika sivo 2.05 neds
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Aug 06, 2021 5:48 pm

    @Revraiser wrote:Feel a Wighton double tonight. Roll that into Matterson anytime ts.
    Like both picks. Wighton needs to step up, been a couple of weeks since Origin now so hopefully he's fresh!
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    Post by No Worries Fri Aug 06, 2021 6:53 pm

    @Revraiser wrote:Feel a Wighton double tonight. Roll that into Matterson anytime ts.

    That's 1 everyone riding Wighton in the 2nd half.
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    Post by Revraiser Fri Aug 06, 2021 6:58 pm

    @No Worries wrote:

    That's 1 everyone riding Wighton in the 2nd half.

    All 4 of us ? Lol.

    He gets one of a bomb, his Johnny on the spot ability, if he can run it at the line inside the Dragons 20 or support a break away player in the 2nd half its coming up rose's for the degens.

      Current date/time is Sat Dec 04, 2021 3:44 pm