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    The Betting thread part 2

    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sat Sep 04, 2021 5:16 pm

    absolutely love condon and luki stuff on 365 for this next game.
    hess 151 fts neds &paseka fts 2nd half 67 neds look like fun bets to follow too. good luck everyone!
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sat Sep 04, 2021 7:03 pm

    Fuck yes, condon at 9s!
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    Post by Rooster Booster Sat Sep 04, 2021 8:40 pm

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:Fuck yes, condon at 9s!

    Well done mate, you also got Milf as ATS @ $4 right ?

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    Post by Rooster Booster Sat Sep 04, 2021 8:43 pm

    Finally picked Turbo to score a Hat Trick after missing the last few, was only @ $5.50 but it all counts.
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sun Sep 05, 2021 8:19 am

    @Rooster Booster wrote:

    Well done mate, you also got Milf as ATS @ $4 right ?


    Yeah mate, I mentioned before but as I post in a few diff fb groups I just copy the chunk of text I use for reasoning for the tips everywhere so the formatting isn't amazing but it was on the last page.

    Condon and milford yday. But really hoping to finish the regular season with a bang today. Curran at 51s fts and dfifita ats 2.30ish will likely be the main plays for today!
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sun Sep 05, 2021 11:29 am

    Last day of the 2021 regular season! The Titans game will be really exciting with them needing to win by 12 or more to make the finals and we've got 6/7 of our value plays there too!As always, check out the Edge portal on the sporttechdaily site to find the best price for your favourite players yourself & put your own tips in the comments. Reasoning at the bottom of the post.
    https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl

    Titans v Warriors, 2pm
    First Try Scorer - Josh Curran 51, Bet365.
    First Try Scorer - Mo Fotuaika 81, TAB.
    Anytime Try Scorer - Rocco Berry 4, SB.
    Anytime Try Scorer - Euan Aitken 3.75 SB & Playup.
    Anytime Try Scorer - Josh Curran, 6 Bet365.
    Anytime Try Scorer - David Fifita, 2.37 Topsport.

    Wests Tigers v Bulldogs, 4.05pm
    First Try Scorer - Tommy Talau 15 Bet365.

    Reasoning:
    Josh Curran FTS & ATS - priced as a middle when he plays on the right edge at least to start the game. Great price for an in-form player.

    Fotuaika will need to step up for the Titans as they need to win by 12+ & the price for him means he's good value according to our model & much better price than on other sites.

    Berry & Talau are purely model picks - two good young gun attacking centres at great prices.

    David Fifita & Euan Aitken aren't great value according to our model but we know these guys are runners and don't like to pass. It's hard to imagine Titans winning this game by 12+ without at least one destructive Fifita try. Aitken's been in great try scoring form since moving to the 2nd row and the $3.75 is a great price for him.
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sun Sep 05, 2021 1:03 pm

    Sam McIntyre starting 2nd row for the Titans, $51 first try scorer & 8.50 anytime tryscorer on Neds!
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sun Sep 05, 2021 3:15 pm

    Jack Hetherington - starting 2nd row
    81 first try scorer
    9 anytime try scorer
    both on tab
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sun Sep 05, 2021 6:32 pm

    Awesome 24 hours. Condon & Hetherington get up at 9s and I also checked and actually had bet on hetherington fts 2nd half as well! On top of that had Fotuaika LTS too. So two wins at 9s and two wins at 81s in 24 hours!

    Hopefully a few of you guys got the Hetherington news in time?
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    Post by Revraiser Sun Sep 05, 2021 6:38 pm

    Phenomenal run mate
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:11 pm

    @Revraiser wrote:Phenomenal run mate

    Now that the regular season is over I'll check how I'm going on the tips since end of May. I started posting on trypod punters tips forum since then so wanted to be accountable for the tips on there. Will put the results in here too!
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    Post by Rooster Booster Sun Sep 05, 2021 9:06 pm

    @Dttragic2016 wrote:Awesome 24 hours. Condon & Hetherington get up at 9s and I also checked and actually had bet on hetherington fts 2nd half as well! On top of that had Fotuaika LTS too. So two wins at 9s and two wins at 81s in 24 hours!

    Hopefully a few of you guys got the Hetherington news in time?

    Great tip today on Hetho mate !

    The Odds on SB when I got on were a lost less but I still put a bet on Hetherington to score a try in the first half @ $11, but we all know what happened there, could have got better odds for him to score a try in the 2nd Half but I backed out for whatever reason.

    Also just missed out on Aitken to score anytime @ $3.75 but managed to snag Fifita to score a meat pie in the second half @ $3.10.

    In some season long bets I pickup AJ @ $7 for Top Try Scorer, Manly to make the Top 4 @ $4.50, plus had a couple of bets on The Storm to win The Minor Premiership @ $6.50 to help the overall account balance.

    Look forward to any tips over the next few months DT so keep up the great work.




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    Post by Rooster Booster Sun Sep 05, 2021 9:44 pm

    For those interested here's the market for the Clive Churchill Medal on SB.

    https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-league/clive-churchill-medal/clive-churchill-medal-winner-2021-5830922
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:22 pm

    @Rooster Booster wrote:

    Great tip today on Hetho mate !

    The Odds on SB when I got on were a lost less but I still put a bet on Hetherington to score a try in the first half @ $11, but we all know what happened there, could have got better odds for him to score a try in the 2nd Half but I backed out for whatever reason.

    Also just missed out on Aitken to score anytime @ $3.75 but managed to snag Fifita to score a meat pie in the second half @ $3.10.

    In some season long bets I pickup AJ @ $7 for Top Try Scorer, Manly to make the Top 4 @ $4.50, plus had a couple of bets on The Storm to win The Minor Premiership @ $6.50 to help the overall account balance.

    Look forward to any tips over the next few months DT so keep up the great work.

    Nice work mate, especially on the futures stuff. I always spend a few bucks on top try scorers at $151s and stuff but always too scared to go big on the favourites and wait 7 months for a pay out haha. The Condon and Hetherington wins (bot at $9 ATS) felt so good - especially Hetherington cos a shitload of people got on on the Trypod FB group!

    Will have some try scorer tips for the finals tonight, a couple of sites are just a bit slow getting their prices up!
    And yep we'll have data tools setup for T20 cricket for the T20 WC next month and BBL so will definitely have a few more tips from me over the next few months!



    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Wed Sep 08, 2021 9:03 pm

    Hey everyone, decided to do a betting preview for each week in the finals. Will include the links to the article & updated data tool below. Unfortunately the big multi of the week which I was excited about has already been ruined by Bet365 but the rest of them are good value, especially if you agree with the teams that I think will do well this week.

    https://sporttechdaily.com/our-insights/nrl-finals-week-1-betting-preview/
    https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Sep 10, 2021 5:51 pm

    Odds across all 6 bookies & model odds updated!
    Edge: https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl

    I was so confident on Manly +7.5 but with Croker ruled out and Lawton having to play close to 80 mins I'm nervous. What do you guys think about tonight's game?
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    Post by Krump Fri Sep 10, 2021 6:15 pm

    Playing it safe and taking Melbourne straight out into Turbo ATS
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Sep 10, 2021 7:01 pm

    @Krump wrote:Playing it safe and taking Melbourne straight out into Turbo ATS

    This a great bet imo. Croker out is pretty important. Not that he's great but lawton at dummy half for close to 80 mins is a significant disadvantage that the Storm should be able to take advantage off.

    Gone big on Turbo and Garrick ats and fts. Fingers crossed!
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    Post by Revraiser Fri Sep 10, 2021 7:10 pm

    Can't see anything other than a Storm win, Pappy double
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    Post by Revraiser Fri Sep 10, 2021 7:10 pm

    Good reading DT, in the links I mean. Cheers

      Current date/time is Sat Dec 04, 2021 3:22 pm