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    2019 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 2

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:40 pm

    Mulvy wrote:Here's a thought. Would it be possible for a clever person like MTB or Milchy who have already ripped a list of prices and averages, add them all up and divide one by the other to get an average magic number? Or is it more complicated than that?

    Based on what we have seen so far, they have either changed the scoring slightly, or changed how they calculate starting prices. With the site launching next week I wasn't planning on spending too much time speculating on it
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:53 pm

    Milchy wrote:

    Based on what we have seen so far, they have either changed the scoring slightly, or changed how they calculate starting prices. With the site launching next week I wasn't planning on spending too much time speculating on it

    Good point! Like I said, you're a clever person!
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:00 pm

    Doing it again, can't look past Surgess in the front row, priced at 45 a down year for Slammin' Sam

    Lowest avg in the 5 years prior is 51. Dual. Thanks
    White Lightning
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    Post by White Lightning Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:01 pm

    Remember when Moylan was f/b at Panthers. He didn't get many kick return mtrs because he always offloaded to Munster. He didn't want to get the bash.
    Barba wait & see. New team, from esl, new spine, combinations gelling, etc. Even the mighty Tedesco took half a season before he was away running. Barba is no Teddy.
    I have both D. Edwards & Watson in my team. Panthers & Knights good early draws & both Edwards & Watson will capitalise. However my 3rd wfb is B. Morris. He's like a placeholder but he'll be on the end of the best backline in the nrl so he could get some tries so I could keep him.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:06 pm

    Barba's priced at 37.2. At the sharks he averaged 41.5. They won the comp that year. Could he do even better at the Cowboys? I hope so, but could be a stretch. Not quite keeper territory. I hope I'm wrong about that.
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:08 pm

    If I go without Teddy to start, I'll be grabbing Watson
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:09 pm

    Munster? Is there another that my mind is blanking?
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:10 pm

    Alfie wrote:Munster? Is there another that my mind is blanking?

    Mansour
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:11 pm

    Ah yes of course. Dots well connected
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:13 pm

    Surely you won’t be going without Teddy this year Welshy. If I’ve learnt anything over my three years playing fantasy, it’s that going without him is a dangerous decision
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:20 pm

    Alfie wrote:Surely you won’t be going without Teddy this year Welshy. If I’ve learnt anything over my three years playing fantasy, it’s that going without him is a dangerous decision

    Can't see it mate, would probably bypass JHughes and get Watson in over him and still grab Teddy
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:20 pm

    Alfie wrote:Surely you won’t be going without Teddy this year Welshy. If I’ve learnt anything over my three years playing fantasy, it’s that going without him is a dangerous decision

    There's a lot of talent at WFB though at that mid price. I like Edwards, Hughes, Mansour, Watson and Brimson. Others are suggesting Barba and Moylan. And that's before whatever cheapies pop up come TLT. Edit: Borris and Meaney are there too and maybe GI.
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:31 pm

    McCullough
    Tolman, Surgess
    Muray, Gillett, Stimson
    Morgan, Cleary
    Lomax, Capewell
    Tedesco, Watson, Edwards

    Mahoney
    Sorenson
    Harris-Tavita
    Rookie Eels half


    Vete
    Other rookie Eels half/Ctr
    $212
    $212

    I like the spread in that team, might be lacking some top level firepower, if there are some rookie halfs starting like planned I like likely go with starting one of them and dumping Cleary for Arrow, extra dpp would be a big help, so would probably start with that
    Honey Badger
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    Post by Honey Badger Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:40 pm

    Welshy wrote:McCullough
    Tolman, Surgess
    Muray, Gillett, Stimson
    Morgan, Cleary
    Lomax, Capewell
    Tedesco, Watson, Edwards

    Mahoney
    Sorenson
    Harris-Tavita
    Rookie Eels half


    Vete
    Other rookie Eels half/Ctr
    $212
    $212

    I like the spread in that team, might be lacking some top level firepower, if there are some rookie halfs starting like planned I like likely go with starting one of them and dumping Cleary for Arrow, extra dpp would be a big help, so would probably start with that

    Who would your captin be? Im sure lots of people planning not to start with cook and smith so captaincy choices will be interesting
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:42 pm

    Very strong starting 13. When I brought up Surgess everyone informed me that he was a has-been which I came to agree with. If Sorensen doesn’t start, Bukuya will so that’ll be an easy swap. Looking at CHT’s stats, he likes a missed tackle to be honest so I see a little risk in having him in the 17.
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:43 pm

    Honey Badger wrote:

    Who would your captin be? Im sure lots of people planning not to start with cook and smith so captaincy choices will be interesting

    Arrow or Macca in that scenario, Murray a week or so into season if playing 80 on edge or 60/65 at lock
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:47 pm

    Alfie wrote:Very strong starting 13. When I brought up Surgess everyone informed me that he was a has-been which I came to agree with. If Sorensen doesn’t start, Bukuya will so that’ll be an easy swap. Looking at CHT’s stats, he likes a missed tackle to be honest so I see a little risk in having him in the 17.

    Does CHT kick goals? I thought I read that somewhere?
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:49 pm

    Alfie wrote:Very strong starting 13. When I brought up Surgess everyone informed me that he was a has-been which I came to agree with. If Sorensen doesn’t start, Bukuya will so that’ll be an easy swap. Looking at CHT’s stats, he likes a missed tackle to be honest so I see a little risk in having him in the 17.

    Start of season so 4 reserves will be mainly hit and hope mate

    I've had real slow fantasy starts loading up with forwards who start the season slow, guns scoring high 30s/40s

    This year I'm going WFB heavy, hoping one or two will bang out a huge score to start season and cover a lighter packs 40s
    I see plenty of upside in Stimson/Gillett/Murray/Sorenson to play well above their avg and there's a few more around them with potnetial to match if they don't line up starting R1, so as you say mate easy swaps

    Issue is early captain choice as HB alluded to
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:54 pm

    Ughh Arrows minutes at end of last season are not the best

    Didn't go over 50 in final 4 games
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 7:59 pm

    Welshy wrote:Ughh Arrows minutes at end of last season are not the best

    Didn't go over 50 in final 4 games

    I think he was carrying an injury wasn't he? Can't remember what it was though, ongoing back or something else. I still want to try and get him into my team though.

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