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    2019 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 2

    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 3:47 pm

    Mearcats wrote:

    Hmmm, I will disagree here. And again, I'm not one to do so usually. But let's say that Macca hit's our "suggested" average of 55 and Luke only goes 49. That requires 6 more games out of Macca to make up the extra points. Of course, there's a lot of hypotheticals that go into that like MAcca not being rested, the assumption that Luke plays every game at his ripe old age etc but I don't think you can discount 50ish points when weighing the difference between two players who only have an average difference of 6ish.

    You lost me here..... If Macca misses the two origin games he plays 23 games at 55 = 1265 points. Luke only misses one game, so 24 games at 49 = 1176 points. So I'm saying if you're keeping them all season and you get the right players, preferably at a discount, you can hold them comfortably through the byes.
    Mearcats
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    Post by Mearcats Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:06 pm

    Mulvy wrote:

    You lost me here..... If Macca misses the two origin games he plays 23 games at 55 = 1265 points. Luke only misses one game, so 24 games at 49 = 1176 points. So I'm saying if you're keeping them all season and you get the right players, preferably at a discount, you can hold them comfortably through the byes.

    Oh, my bad, both would be a stepping stone (until straight after byes) for me so I'm discussing them as such. If you are to keep them both for the long run then the numbers make sense for sure, if you are doing what I would do if I was to go this way (I won't, as I've already said) then it's more imperative to make the right choice from the get go as Macca wouldn't have the time to make to the lost points.

    Long n short, I see neither as a keeper and season finisher so sorry for the confusion bro.

    Alfie
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:07 pm

    If Hodgson averages 48 even 50, he isn't a keeper. If Macca averages 55, he is. You're not picking either based on how much money they make, I don't understand the argument
    Mearcats
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    Post by Mearcats Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:12 pm

    Alfie wrote:If Hodgson averages 48 even 50, he isn't a keeper. If Macca averages 55, he is. You're not picking either based on how much money they make, I don't understand the argument

    Neither is a keeper if you play your cards right, ideally I'd wanna end up with two 60+ average players in Smith n Cook, not 55 avg players. There's no argument whatsoever, Mulv n I have bandied these discussions back n forth plenty of times before. May not benefit anyone else but gives me a different perspective so I'm ok with it.
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    Post by Mearcats Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:13 pm

    So, considering I don't see either (nor Friend or Luke et al for that matter) as keepers, then I am picking them based upon what revenue they can raise me.
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:16 pm

    Nah lad, no conflict here either :pp: Smith and Cook for shizzle. But thanks to the clowns at Fanhub you can have four hookers on the bench. I'll take a 55 avg Macca on top of Cook and Smith anyday
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    Post by Mearcats Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:27 pm

    Alfie wrote:Nah lad, no conflict here either :pp: Smith and Cook for shizzle. But thanks to the clowns at Fanhub you can have four hookers on the bench. I'll take a 55 avg Macca on top of Cook and Smith anyday

    Ah, and therein lies the rub... I wouldn't have Smith and Cook to start for sure, as I said earlier. The key is finding the balance between points and money garnered. I will likely start with Smith and/or Cook and a Mahoney/Egan combo as I said and hope that generates me the money to get Smith and Cook early enough to get ahead. These are the trains of thought that I enjoy discussing with our fellow fanatics.

    Unfortunately for me, it's 1:25am here (and -18 degrees) and I gotta be on a plane in 6 hrs so I'm off to bed. Looking forward to reading further tomorrow.
    Alfie
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:31 pm

    If Clifford pips TMM for Cows starting 5/8, do people think he kicks instead of Feldt?
    Alfie
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:38 pm

    Also, I think Drinkwater is in with a very sneaky chance to start at fullback looking at his stats in the ISC from 22 matches
    2nd in Tries-17
    1st in Linebreaks-21
    1st in Tacklebreaks-160
    1st in Try Assists-24
    1st in Linebreak Assists-22
    1st in Kick Return Metres-911
    5th in Support Runs-249
    Avg 133.8 Run Metres
    56.8 Fantasy Average bounce
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:45 pm

    Alfie wrote:If Clifford pips TMM for Cows starting 5/8, do people think he kicks instead of Feldt?

    I think yes. I've heard commentary that the fact he goal kicks well may strengthen his claim to start. But it is just that, commentary. I don't think it will factor in Green's decision. Could be important though, given the Cows are going to score around 10 tries a game this year Very Happy
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:46 pm

    Alfie wrote:Also, I think Drinkwater is in with a very sneaky chance to start at fullback looking at his stats in the ISC from 22 matches
    2nd in Tries-17
    1st in Linebreaks-21
    1st in Tacklebreaks-160
    1st in Try Assists-24
    1st in Linebreak Assists-22
    1st in Kick Return Metres-911
    5th in Support Runs-249
    Avg 133.8 Run Metres
    56.8 Fantasy Average bounce

    Bloody hell! study
    Alfie
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:48 pm

    Interesting Basketball
    Alfie
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    Post by Alfie Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:50 pm

    Mulvy wrote:

    Bloody hell! study

    Even though he's priced a tick under 40, he'll be very tempting if he's picked of course
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:54 pm

    Alfie wrote:Nah lad, no conflict here either :pp: Smith and Cook for shizzle. But thanks to the clowns at Fanhub you can have four hookers on the bench. I'll take a 55 avg Macca on top of Cook and Smith anyday

    Testify! cheer
    TheWeapon
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    Post by TheWeapon Wed Jan 23, 2019 5:03 pm

    Ah. My first time back since the end of last season. Happy new year fanatics! I enjoyed reading the 70 odd pages already from this season a little too much. Great stuff.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Wed Jan 23, 2019 5:04 pm

    Here's a thought. Would it be possible for a clever person like MTB or Milchy who have already ripped a list of prices and averages, add them all up and divide one by the other to get an average magic number? Or is it more complicated than that?
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    Kezza

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    Post by Kezza Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:33 pm

    G’day gents
    What are your thoughts on the following PODs - fullback position
    - Matt Moylan
    - Ben Barba
    - Connor Watson
    - Dylan Edwards

    I’d say Dylan Edwards would be a good option
    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:35 pm

    Dylan Brown gets the nod to start in the halves, he is only 18. https://outline.com/6CSzKp
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:36 pm

    My only worry with Edwards is that he does some sort of in-game timeshare at fb with DWZ, who was outstanding at fb for the kiwis.
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    Post by mattnz Wed Jan 23, 2019 6:38 pm

    Kezza wrote:G’day gents
    What are your thoughts on the following PODs - fullback position
    - Matt Moylan
    - Ben Barba
    - Connor Watson
    - Dylan Edwards

    I’d say Dylan Edwards would be a good option

    I doubt Barba will be a POD, seeing him in lots of draft teams, including mine

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