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Random wrote:
HOK: C. King could be a risk but he helps set up the team elsewhere. Even under 80 minutes he doesn't look like he is going to make the jump to Keeper status but could certainly end up making $100k+ throughout the year. It just may take him halfway through the year and may not warrant being a solid scorer in your 17. However with the lack of cashcows at the moment having a slow burning CC isn't necessarily a bad option as long as you fill out the rest of your 17.
FRF: It was stated earlier during the preseason that George Burgess is over the niggling injury he carried throughout last season. However there have been conflicting reports on this, so trail games are essential to gauge where he is at with his injury. If he continues to carry the niggle throughout another season who could very well stay priced exactly where he is at. On the other hand this is a guy who is capable of scoring 60 points off the bench comfortably as he breaks tackles at will. Now he has always been an up and down, somewhat inconsistent player, however it would average out over the year. Last season he averaged 31 points with a niggling injury and before that he averaged 50 points (2015) 49 points (2014) and 48 points (2013). So there is every reason to believe last season was an outlier in a Rabbitohs outfit that had a poor season as a whole. So without a niggling injury the only other concern would be his minutes, but he has capabilities to score large in short stints. Simply put, keep an eye on his trial form.
2RF: Jack de Belin is coming off an incredibly impressive year. Both from a general playing stance and from a fantasy perspective. He had a massive end of year run with a string of 7 games straight above 60 points, which would make him a spot on Captain choice and great alternative over someone like Cameron Smith. The only concern would be him backing up an already impressive year, in 2015 he averaged 48 points. However I would say as long as he is the starting Lock playing 80 minutes or so he is definitely underpriced and could be a masterful pickup. The only other issue is how will someone like Tariq Sims joining the team affect the amount of minutes he will play. I think there are better options than Gillett around that price. He certainly has the ability to score high, the only issue is he isn't consistent with it. He shouldn't lose you money, but he has always been capable of having 60+ point matches and then follow them up with a 30 point match. Kevin Proctor was averaging 70 minutes last season. If Kenny Bromwich can transition from 40 minutes to 70 minutes that would be a sizable jump and enough for him to push into gun status. However that is almost double his playing time last season. I am not saying he can't do it, just that it is a leap of faith with a stacked backrow. Although for safety sake if he jumped to 55 minutes. Which is still a decent size bump to depend on he would improve his scores by around 10 points on average. Which wouldn’t push him to a true gun status, but would be a viable long-term keeper who will make you cash to make the trade up easier. He also shouldn’t lose cash. So you are hoping for a lot if you want him to be a gun, but he looks alright to be a mid-tier guy who you can make some money and be traded up. Just don’t expect 50 points games.
HLF: I am not too much of a Gutherson fan as he will be relying on his attacking stats to get him to score consistently and with Norman/French there they could impact on that as the attacking play may run through them more at times. I see his value though and why people would select him. I wouldn't grab DCE as we haven't seen what sort of impact Green will have on him. (He had a negative impact on Cronk of about 5 points a game on average iirc.) I also don't see value in Cleary. Not saying he wont hold his price, just that you could perhaps save some coin and look for someone with some upside to them. Otherwise Cleary should continue to be a gun.
CTR: Normally advocate for Sione to 2RF and grabbing another CTR cash cow, which could work well for you if you aren't sold on Kennedy or Arrow for the start of this year.
WFB: Nothing of note really, there is some news re Slater possibly not being named come Round 1 you may have to look at someone else. Though no one else around his price I would be keen on starting.
Overall: You need to find a way to replace Slater and I am not 100% sold on your mid-tier picks as i have reservations regarding guys like Arrow. I also am not that much of a fan of the Gillett pick, but if he starts like last season you could easily swap him to a more consistent gun over the Origin period. Your team is reasonably balanced and there isn't anything glaringly wrong with the squad.
Cheers mate, appreciate the time taken to give a detailed write-up.
