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multiple.scoregasms wrote:
I think with May you need to consider the upside risk and the downside risk
Upside risk is you are getting a cut price keeper for 574k.
Downside risk he probably averages low 40s, which is about where where he is priced. This is still a very playable score and byes are favourable to hold right up until round 19
Cut priced keepers are the guys that you cannot miss or it will be very costly. If everyone else pays 600k for a final 17 player where you have to pay 800k that takes a few trades and some great cash gen to make up for. I'd be surprised if any team that missed SJ last year ended up anywhere near the top 1000
I feel like the upside risk is well worth possibly burning 2 trades on the downside risk
I didn't get on to SJ until Round 17, $849k was top 200 at round 23 but ultimately ran out of trades and finished at 577. I still think about what could have been if I had jumped on him earlier. I put it down to being a long time warriors supporter with scars and burns.
So if you miss a cut price keeper you can still have a nice season but you have to do it the hard way and at a disadvantage to everyone else.
Top 2 season killers imo: missed cut price keepers and poor trade management.
Anything else to add to the list?
Luckily I am a genius and kept Kini so I don't have to do the Salmon/Hutch shuffle this week
Milchcow
