NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 4 - A spawning salmon appears

B/L wrote:I have won draft cash leagues by picking wingers from free agents with easy match ups.

It has merits in certain positions in certain circumstances but certainly not guaranteed.

Alfie wrote:

Are people still picking players based on draws? How does that work out for you?

B/L wrote:I have won draft cash leagues by picking wingers from free agents with easy match ups.

It has merits in certain positions in certain circumstances but certainly not guaranteed.

SPOILER:

rhinoceroo wrote:

I was taking the piss.

However, as a rule it's still not a good idea to pick outside backs who have a run of games against teams that are better than them. Not relevant if Manly are good this year, but still worth bearing in mind. And that "rule" works ok for me, fantasy-wise.

mattnz wrote:

Turbo is priced almost $400k under his peak. Definitely upside potential if playing anywhere close to his uber-gun best that we saw in his Dally M season when he averaged 80 - priced at 47.

Was just showing that kind of form before getting injured last season (last 2 scores were 105 and 79). By all accounts was in that kind of form when playing in the trial earlier this season that wasn't televised, when Manly were basically at full strength.

Mulvy wrote:

Surely Kenny is pure middle now. Eh, unless he starts edge and moves to middle. Lemu and Aitken can't move to middle. If that's how it pans out, seems like Kenny could start edge, move to middle after 20, and Aitken/Null play out the game on edge. But 60 minutes wouldn't interest me. Just a take. Other thoughts?

GreenSchist wrote:

Wasn't Wayne's preference to play 2x 80 min Edges last season?
From what I have read, Aitken gets the spot because he's been 'training the house down' and Wayne has been really appreciative of his effort (sounds like a Wayne thing to do). It's also helped that Null Null was injured through a portion of the pre season, which probably allowed Aitken to separate himself somewhat.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Aitken named to start the season, in an 80 min role. It's just whether it lasts. A few Phin's losses on the trot and I could see Null Null brought back in - In saying that, once Kaufusi cops a suspension, both guys will have a clear path to minutes).

For whats its worth (not much being a trial), both Kenny and Null Null are named outside the 17 in the Reserves for this weeks match (but so are Kodi, Stone and Wallace).

robelgordo wrote:Yeah looks like Aitken ahead of Null, and I'd say Kenny is a MID now.

King Assassin wrote:With Schuster out round 1. Is Flanno gonna do enough kicking to be a decent scorer in the halves?

Alfie wrote:Taking Turbo out of the conversation, picking players based on their draw/opposition that week is bogus. Unless of course it’s a back playing the Tigers/Bulldogs (even then, there’s marginal utility). Not picking a quality player because they have a ‘tough’ draw is silly; often the quality players play even better against a quality foe.

Edit: Queue Milchy with a glorious spreadsheet proving the contrary.

rhinoceroo wrote:Raiders update. It's all pretty confusing, but my main takeaway is that Rapana is favourite to be fullback in R1, unless someone absolutely kills it in a trial against the full -strength Cowboys. Sucks for fantasy. Number 6 still a straight shoot-out. Cotric maybe on the outer or maybe not. No clarity on hooker.

https://archive.ph/2024.02.20-164351/https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8528064/canberra-raiders-pre-season-trial-team-named-to-face-cowboys/

Welshy wrote:
You can't pick a 2 game sample and say ahhh he was heading back to 2021 form.

King Assassin wrote:With Schuster out round 1. Is Flanno gonna do enough kicking to be a decent scorer in the halves?

rhinoceroo wrote:Anyway, never mind Turbo, the original Turbo (Jurbo) as an 80-minute prop? Not sure they'll go that way as they have Aloiai to come back as well, but seeing as some are talking about Nathan Brown playing lock and Jurbo prop, he's still never going to get substituted. Priced at 46, could push into the low/mid 50s just in base (and it would all be in base) without this passing the ball before the line nonsense.