NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 3 - Half the height we want

I'd like to see the rotation before I consider JDB. Flanagan mentioned in commentary last year that he thought JDB was playing too many minutes in which case he is probably appropriately valued. If he starts with 2x 80 minute games he probably comes into my team very quickly

Someone mentioned a Flanagan commentary when he spent a while talking about how jdb was overplayed.

I think he's probably right too, but either way put Simon at a risky category for me.

Murray is tempting but bad by schedule makes him much less so.

Where is the Haas fast start talk coming from?

Probably only matters if you are looking to trade him to another gun after x weeks anyway

But last year he went: 63,62,65 which is pretty much bang on what he’s priced now. Then 3 70s which is great but hardly getting away from you

2022: 85 is bang, but then 58,64
2021 (from R4): 52,77,56
2020 played 80 mins each week so bot really relevant

It’s just his standard scoring innit? Which is fine

Even if it was above average, is “fast starts” actually a real thing. There would be loads of factors coming into a run of high scores, and being the opening rounds of the season could just be coincidental

Jinx! Personal Jinx!

multiple.scoregasms wrote:I'd like to see the rotation before I consider JDB. Flanagan mentioned in commentary last year that he thought JDB was playing too many minutes in which case he is probably appropriately valued. If he starts with 2x 80 minute games he probably comes into my team very quickly

JdB like Hopgood can play 80 but absolutely should not play 80

robelgordo wrote:

Hopgood can play 80

Triggered

robelgordo wrote:Where is the Haas fast start talk coming from?

Probably only matters if you are looking to trade him to another gun after x weeks anyway

But last year he went: 63,62,65 which is pretty much bang on what he’s priced now. Then 3 70s which is great but hardly getting away from you

2022: 85 is bang, but then 58,64
2021 (from R4): 52,77,56
2020 played 80 mins each week so bot really relevant

It’s just his standard scoring innit? Which is fine

Even if it was above average, is “fast starts” actually a real thing. There would be loads of factors coming into a run of high scores, and being the opening rounds of the season could just be coincidental

Haas first six games averages for each season in his career:

2023: 68
2022: 70
2021: 66
2020: 72
2019: 64

He starts fast. Yes, one of those seasons (2020) was with mainly 80 minute games, and one (2019) was his debut year with slightly lower minutes. Other factors could include tighter forward-oriented games at the beginning of the season, him not being beaten up yet, and the Origin period consistently lowering his season averages,

NRL casualty ward: Rabbitohs young gun Tyrone Munro out for two months with shoulder injury

South Sydney has been hit with another injury set back after young winger Tyrone Munro suffered a shoulder injury that is expected to sideline him for Round 1 in Las Vegas.

The 19-year-old flyer’s injury comes after centre Campbell Graham was sidelined for six months due to sternum surgery.

The Rabbitohs are waiting on scan results on Cody Walker’s calf but they remain hopeful he’ll be fit to face Manly in Las Vegas for the season opener next month.

Souths will be desperate for him to play as they are already under strength for the historic clash due to big name recruit Jack Wighton being unavailable due to suspension.

I have a feeling that every other Haas tackle is going to be called a hip drop somewhere on the forum this year.

rhinoceroo wrote:

Haas first six games averages for each season in his career:

2023: 68
2022: 70
2021: 66
2020: 72
2019: 64

He starts fast. Yes, one of those seasons (2020) was with mainly 80 minute games, and one (2019) was his debut year with slightly lower minutes. Other factors could include tighter forward-oriented games at the beginning of the season, him not being beaten up yet, and the Origin period consistently lowering his season averages,

It does look better with 6 games than 3

I think the takeaway is there’s not a lot of downside. So unless some other gun MID emerges as clearly better value, or you want to take a swing at the Cleary/Hynes double act, than he’s a pretty obvious pick.

I think I'd have Tino locked in if it wasn't for the awkward bye. If Campbell is out then might still do it. Doesn't have the same pedigree but getting better and better each year, fun to watch.

Does Murray have a kid due soon?

robelgordo wrote:

Even if it was above average, is “fast starts” actually a real thing.

No. Or if there is, the sample size we look at is so small that its impossible for us to distinguish between actual fast starts and statistical variation.


Humans are not very good at analysing data, and love seeing patterns that don't exist.

rhinoceroo wrote:I have a feeling that every other Haas tackle is going to be called a hip drop somewhere on the forum this year.

Do you think the scorers are going to be dudding JDB a lot?

Milchcow wrote:

Do you think the scorers are going to be dudding JDB a lot?

Can't believe Flanagan is making him pass before the line so much. All he had to do was keep running and it was a try.

robelgordo wrote:

JdB like Hopgood can play 80 but absolutely should not play 80

Starting with both and gonna stop reading there. See you at the top of the ladder

Nathan Brown upgraded to top 30. Interesting to see if he starts and plays that link role.

the_great_wobbler wrote:I think I'd have Tino locked in if it wasn't for the awkward bye. If Campbell is out then might still do it. Doesn't have the same pedigree but getting better and better each year, fun to watch.

Does Murray have a kid due soon?

big tino is like tapine they start slow & around rds 6-7 is when they start hitting their straps

rhinoceroo wrote:

Haas first six games averages for each season in his career:

2023: 68
2022: 70
2021: 66
2020: 72
2019: 64

He starts fast. Yes, one of those seasons (2020) was with mainly 80 minute games, and one (2019) was his debut year with slightly lower minutes. Other factors could include tighter forward-oriented games at the beginning of the season, him not being beaten up yet, and the Origin period consistently lowering his season averages,

I'm pretty sure I know the answer to this one; (opening 6 game averages for the next 5 years DONE!)

2028: 64
2027: 72
2026: 66
2025: 70
2024: 68
2023: 68
2022: 70
2021: 66
2020: 72
2019: 64