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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 3 - Half the height we want

    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Mon Feb 12, 2024 1:52 pm

    I'd like to see the rotation before I consider JDB. Flanagan mentioned in commentary last year that he thought JDB was playing too many minutes in which case he is probably appropriately valued. If he starts with 2x 80 minute games he probably comes into my team very quickly
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:00 pm

    Someone mentioned a Flanagan commentary when he spent a while talking about how jdb was overplayed.

    I think he's probably right too, but either way put Simon at a risky category for me.

    Murray is tempting but bad by schedule makes him much less so.
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:00 pm

    Where is the Haas fast start talk coming from?

    Probably only matters if you are looking to trade him to another gun after x weeks anyway

    But last year he went: 63,62,65 which is pretty much bang on what he’s priced now. Then 3 70s which is great but hardly getting away from you

    2022: 85 is bang, but then 58,64
    2021 (from R4): 52,77,56
    2020 played 80 mins each week so bot really relevant

    It’s just his standard scoring innit? Which is fine

    Even if it was above average, is “fast starts” actually a real thing. There would be loads of factors coming into a run of high scores, and being the opening rounds of the season could just be coincidental
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    Post by L-Jimmy Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:00 pm

    Jinx! Personal Jinx!
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:01 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:I'd like to see the rotation before I consider JDB. Flanagan mentioned in commentary last year that he thought JDB was playing too many minutes in which case he is probably appropriately valued. If he starts with 2x 80 minute games he probably comes into my team very quickly

    JdB like Hopgood can play 80 but absolutely should not play 80
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:04 pm

    robelgordo wrote:

    Hopgood can play 80

    Triggered
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:07 pm

    robelgordo wrote:Where is the Haas fast start talk coming from?

    Probably only matters if you are looking to trade him to another gun after x weeks anyway

    But last year he went: 63,62,65 which is pretty much bang on what he’s priced now. Then 3 70s which is great but hardly getting away from you

    2022: 85 is bang, but then 58,64
    2021 (from R4): 52,77,56
    2020 played 80 mins each week so bot really relevant

    It’s just his standard scoring innit? Which is fine

    Even if it was above average, is “fast starts” actually a real thing. There would be loads of factors coming into a run of high scores, and being the opening rounds of the season could just be coincidental

    Haas first six games averages for each season in his career:

    2023: 68
    2022: 70
    2021: 66
    2020: 72
    2019: 64

    He starts fast. Yes, one of those seasons (2020) was with mainly 80 minute games, and one (2019) was his debut year with slightly lower minutes. Other factors could include tighter forward-oriented games at the beginning of the season, him not being beaten up yet, and the Origin period consistently lowering his season averages,
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:08 pm

    NRL casualty ward: Rabbitohs young gun Tyrone Munro out for two months with shoulder injury

    South Sydney has been hit with another injury set back after young winger Tyrone Munro suffered a shoulder injury that is expected to sideline him for Round 1 in Las Vegas.

    The 19-year-old flyer’s injury comes after centre Campbell Graham was sidelined for six months due to sternum surgery.

    The Rabbitohs are waiting on scan results on Cody Walker’s calf but they remain hopeful he’ll be fit to face Manly in Las Vegas for the season opener next month.

    Souths will be desperate for him to play as they are already under strength for the historic clash due to big name recruit Jack Wighton being unavailable due to suspension.
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:13 pm

    Shady2K wrote:NRL casualty ward: Rabbitohs young gun Tyrone Munro out for two months with shoulder injury

    South Sydney has been hit with another injury set back after young winger Tyrone Munro suffered a shoulder injury that is expected to sideline him for Round 1 in Las Vegas.

    The 19-year-old flyer’s injury comes after centre Campbell Graham was sidelined for six months due to sternum surgery.

    The Rabbitohs are waiting on scan results on Cody Walker’s calf but they remain hopeful he’ll be fit to face Manly in Las Vegas for the season opener next month.

    Souths will be desperate for him to play as they are already under strength for the historic clash due to big name recruit Jack Wighton being unavailable due to suspension.

    Please make me delete my account if I pick Izaac Thompson
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:18 pm

    I have a feeling that every other Haas tackle is going to be called a hip drop somewhere on the forum this year.
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:19 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    Haas first six games averages for each season in his career:

    2023: 68
    2022: 70
    2021: 66
    2020: 72
    2019: 64

    He starts fast. Yes, one of those seasons (2020) was with mainly 80 minute games, and one (2019) was his debut year with slightly lower minutes. Other factors could include tighter forward-oriented games at the beginning of the season, him not being beaten up yet, and the Origin period consistently lowering his season averages,

    It does look better with 6 games than 3

    I think the takeaway is there’s not a lot of downside. So unless some other gun MID emerges as clearly better value, or you want to take a swing at the Cleary/Hynes double act, than he’s a pretty obvious pick.
    the_great_wobbler
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    Post by the_great_wobbler Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:22 pm

    I think I'd have Tino locked in if it wasn't for the awkward bye. If Campbell is out then might still do it. Doesn't have the same pedigree but getting better and better each year, fun to watch.

    Does Murray have a kid due soon?
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:23 pm

    robelgordo wrote:

    Even if it was above average, is “fast starts” actually a real thing.

    No. Or if there is, the sample size we look at is so small that its impossible for us to distinguish between actual fast starts and statistical variation.


    Humans are not very good at analysing data, and love seeing patterns that don't exist.
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:24 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:I have a feeling that every other Haas tackle is going to be called a hip drop somewhere on the forum this year.

    Do you think the scorers are going to be dudding JDB a lot?
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Feb 12, 2024 2:28 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    Do you think the scorers are going to be dudding JDB a lot?

    Can't believe Flanagan is making him pass before the line so much. All he had to do was keep running and it was a try.
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Mon Feb 12, 2024 3:36 pm

    robelgordo wrote:

    JdB like Hopgood can play 80 but absolutely should not play 80

    Starting with both and gonna stop reading there. See you at the top of the ladder
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    Post by Honey Badger Mon Feb 12, 2024 3:55 pm

    Nathan Brown upgraded to top 30. Interesting to see if he starts and plays that link role.
    White Lightning
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    Post by White Lightning Mon Feb 12, 2024 4:07 pm

    the_great_wobbler wrote:I think I'd have Tino locked in if it wasn't for the awkward bye. If Campbell is out then might still do it. Doesn't have the same pedigree but getting better and better each year, fun to watch.

    Does Murray have a kid due soon?

    big tino is like tapine they start slow & around rds 6-7 is when they start hitting their straps
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Mon Feb 12, 2024 4:25 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    Haas first six games averages for each season in his career:

    2023: 68
    2022: 70
    2021: 66
    2020: 72
    2019: 64

    He starts fast. Yes, one of those seasons (2020) was with mainly 80 minute games, and one (2019) was his debut year with slightly lower minutes. Other factors could include tighter forward-oriented games at the beginning of the season, him not being beaten up yet, and the Origin period consistently lowering his season averages,

    I'm pretty sure I know the answer to this one; (opening 6 game averages for the next 5 years DONE!)

    2028: 64
    2027: 72
    2026: 66
    2025: 70
    2024: 68
    2023: 68
    2022: 70
    2021: 66
    2020: 72
    2019: 64
    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Mon Feb 12, 2024 4:58 pm

    Is that the same field the NRL games are being played at in Las Vegas?

      Current date/time is Fri Jul 19, 2024 11:34 am