NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 1 - Gates are open, come on in

Who kicks goals for the Tigers now that Brooks has departed? Sezer??

Mulvy wrote:Who kicks goals for the Tigers now that Brooks has departed? Sezer??

That seems the most likely (generally an 80% kicker, so an improvement on what they've had)

Api likely the backup kicker

Milchcow wrote:

There is almost zero chance Brooks is a better fantasy buy though. He's more than twice the price of Weekes

Weekes is enticing because he is barely above base price, and expected to start. We'll all have him in our 21 if he does start

Alfie wrote:
I don’t think a player of MS’ ilk was considering Brooks

Pretty sure MS was just suggesting that even if Brooks averages under 40 because he's playing next to a dominant DCE, he'll still average more than Weekes...

Don't think there was any suggestion that Brooks is more fantasy relevant

From memory the average fantasy score for starting five-eighths last year was only around 36, so to suggest a 1 game rookie (who had a shocker) will be in the upper echelon was a pretty hot take

Mulvy wrote:

Torn pec in origin 2 wasn't it?  Cook came on and played centre.

Apologies, I confused that injury with his one in 2022 which was a dislocated shoulder. 2023 was that pec in Origin

ET's notes on the smaller field reduces TTurb's attractiveness a little.

Probably not enough to change my mind, because I'm a damn idiot who keeps buying the fragile fucker at every opportunity.

But, you know, smart people might be less inclined to start with him

It was bizarre how tame Tom was to begin the season but he seemed to regain form the game before Origin, with big games against the Raiders and the Dolphins after game 1. 2021 will never be matched by anyone ever but if he can miraculously stay fit, he could easily hit a 60 average. It’s a matter of when not if he gets injured again though unfortunately

Alfie wrote:It was bizarre how tame Tom was to begin the season but he seemed to regain form the game before Origin, with big games against the Raiders and the Dolphins after game 1. 2021 will never be matched by anyone ever but if he can miraculously stay fit, he could easily hit a 60 average. It’s a matter of when not if he gets injured again though unfortunately

A positive is that the shoulder injury and the torn pec are more of the freak injury kind, rather than the serial weak hammies or whatever. He seemed to benefit from the overseas sojourn though.

Mulvy wrote:

A positive is that the shoulder injury and the torn pec are more of the freak injury kind, rather than the serial weak hammies or whatever. He seemed to benefit from the overseas sojourn though.

I can’t help thinking he has some sort of soft tissue disorder. Most of his injuries over the years have occurred with very little pressure. His injury history is quite unbelievable really, can’t recall many players to have gone through such a variety of injuries.

2016 ankle
2017 ankle/knee
2018 ankle
2019 hammy
2019 pec
2020 hammy
2020 shoulder
2021 hamstring
2022 shoulder
2023 hamstring
2023 pec

Alfie wrote:

I can’t help thinking he has some sort of soft tissue disorder. Most of his injuries over the years have occurred with very little pressure. His injury history is quite unbelievable really, can’t recall many players to have gone through such a variety of injuries.

2016 ankle
2017 ankle/knee
2018 ankle
2019 hammy
2019 pec
2020 hammy
2020 shoulder
2021 hamstring
2022 shoulder
2023 hamstring
2023 pec

I just love the guy. Had him for his massive run in 2021. I've been burned too, but not enough to dismiss outright. I haven't done any WFB analysis, I usually go top to bottom. So, hookers, Jayden Brailey stands out to me.

Mulvy wrote:

I just love the guy. Had him for his massive run in 2021. I've been burned too, but not enough to dismiss outright. I haven't done any WFB analysis, I usually go top to bottom. So, hookers, Jayden Brailey stands out to me.

Hasn’t left my draft at any point haha. The reward still outweighs the risk tenfold and as a Manly tragic, it’s double the dopamine if he goes on a tear  
Love the look of Brailey too

Mulvy wrote:

I just love the guy. Had him for his massive run in 2021. I've been burned too, but not enough to dismiss outright. I haven't done any WFB analysis, I usually go top to bottom. So, hookers, Jayden Brailey stands out to me.

Crossland being on the Knights bench has me wary of Brailey. If we knew for sure that he would play lock instead of hooker off the bench, then I would be planning to own Brailey.

Bethany_B wrote:

Crossland being on the Knights bench has me wary of Brailey. If we knew for sure that he would play lock instead of hooker off the bench, then I would be planning to own Brailey.

I have Robson at hooker currently. Same concern for me re Brailey.

Anyone keen on Moses Suli at centre? Around that 450k mark has been above 550k before.

Bethany_B wrote:

Crossland being on the Knights bench has me wary of Brailey. If we knew for sure that he would play lock instead of hooker off the bench, then I would be planning to own Brailey.

Crossland was really good, but Brailey was always an 80 minute guy, potential for 50+ scores and fabulous byes. He's in the running for mine.

Milchcow wrote:

There is almost zero chance Brooks is a better fantasy buy though. He's more than twice the price of Weekes

Weekes is enticing because he is barely above base price, and expected to start. We'll all have him in our 21 if he does start

Alfie wrote:
I don’t think a player of MS’ ilk was considering Brooks

easytiger wrote:
Pretty sure MS was just suggesting that even if Brooks averages under 40 because he's playing next to a dominant DCE, he'll still average more than Weekes...

Don't think there was any suggestion that Brooks is more fantasy relevant

From memory the average fantasy score for starting five-eighths last year was only around 36, so to suggest a 1 game rookie (who had a shocker) will be in the upper echelon was a pretty hot take

You all pretty much nailed it. Weekes is much more fantasy relevant and will be in my 21 if he starts but I have very tempered expectations. If he gets the 6 spot he could easily score like rookie year Ilias. At fullback he probably projects as a Sloan-esq scorer requiring big plays in a likely bottom 4 team

That still sees low-mid 30s as an average but there could be some very down week(e)s

Bethany_B wrote:

Crossland being on the Knights bench has me wary of Brailey. If we knew for sure that he would play lock instead of hooker off the bench, then I would be planning to own Brailey.

I think Brailey and Elliott will both be good fantasy value despite Crossland's existance.

Crossland grew into the role last year but peak Brailey is a much better player

Camo123 wrote:

Barry Toohey said likely time share to start season

Put a pencil through Brailey in that case. Needs high base to score well

Might be trying too hard to find a fantasy relevant Dolphin due to byes but any love for SOS

Averaged 45.5 when next playing next to Milford last year. Averaged 50 as a starting half in 2022 playing as Cleary-lite. Even his Warriors stint in 2021 was near 50 average including 1 absolute stinker

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

I think Brailey and Elliott will both be good fantasy value despite Crossland's existance.

Crossland grew into the role last year but peak Brailey is a much better player

Elliott hasn't left my pencilled team yet, and that's despite fiddling with the team every other day.

rhinoceroo wrote:

Elliott hasn't left my pencilled team yet, and that's despite fiddling with the team every other day.

One of the few guys that can make 150k and be a borderline keeper

Could easily get back to the scores we saw at Raiders now that he has a full preseason