NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 2 - pareto weighted moving average

robelgordo wrote:

Yeah no value in Sullivan, but he isn't named this week (like most of the likely R1 starters) and Amone is, which I think is a fair indicator that Sullivan is ahead for #6.

robelgordo wrote:

A few hours/pages late, but definitely agree with this. Could see him getting a good run at centre when one of them inevitably injures themselves.

The Pascoe Fiasco wrote:
I’ve had Koula as my 21st player for a while, only because I can’t believe Turbo won’t soon slip in the shower again.

Milchcow wrote:
I wouldn't be too concerned about Aitken being named at centre for the first few weeks

Mild concern is mid game injuries. Personally I am not too worried about this as it can happen to heaps of players. David Fifita had a stint at centre during a game last year

Bigger concern is what happens when Tohu comes back. If Aitken keeps his edge spot he's a top tier centre and you keep him all year. If he moves back to centre or bench, then he's not really worth the price you are paying for him.

Milchcow wrote:
I wouldn't be too concerned about Aitken being named at centre for the first few weeks

Mild concern is mid game injuries. Personally I am not too worried about this as it can happen to heaps of players. David Fifita had a stint at centre during a game last year

Bigger concern is what happens when Tohu comes back. If Aitken keeps his edge spot he's a top tier centre and you keep him all year. If he moves back to centre or bench, then he's not really worth the price you are paying for him.

Chewie wrote:

I agree with Milch, it's unlikely Aitken is going to be a season keeper, it's also unlikely for him to make the $150k in price rises to justify a trade.
However, he will probably provide some xtra points for your team in the early rounds.

Milchcow wrote:
If we are going to discuss group think on selections, its important to distinguish between popular players and group think buys.

People buying the best player in the game to be their captain isn't group think. Everyone can quite comfortably come to that decision independently.

Lots of people buying or avoiding Johnny Trapcow because a bunch of forum members are vocal about his (lack of) skills is group think.

Mulvy wrote:

Can't find John Trapcow, has he been added to fantasy?  

Camo123 wrote:Warriors assistant coach Justin Morgan on Talking League Pod has said Tohu is on track for R5-10

So it looks like NRL Physio early diagnosis of R3 might be too early

Also seems to be talking about DWZ as CTR option more than Aitken

my tv broke wrote:

Maybe it is the year that Katoa kicks on. Has all the potential.

I thought he had typically played on the left. Unsure if right side suits him better ?

He is 10pts underpriced if he starts and plays 50mins+ based on his history there.. and achieving 44 avg isnt too outrageous

sgdragons10 wrote:

sullivan is injured, will see mins in charity shield

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

I don' think wondering why they are not more popular has much to do with the narrative. I was responding to the question about who was missed because of groupthink. Mahoney is a prime example. I think people not going with a top-priced undervalued player like McInnes or Papalli over a top-priced overvalued person like Cleary is groupthink. I have solid reasoning for not picking up Cleary Round 1 but nobody will hear of it because they are thinking last year instead of this year.

mattnz wrote:
A few days ago NRL Physio was saying R4-6 for Tohu.

easytiger wrote:

Mulvy wrote:

Can't find John Trapcow, has he been added to fantasy?  

easytiger wrote:
To be fair to NRL Physio, pretty sure he said at the earliest Tohu could be back R4-6, but ultimately it's the clubs call as to how quickly they bring him back and more time is usually better.

It may simply be that the Warriors are prepared to be patient with a scheduled return
A few days ago NRL Physio was saying R4-6 for Tohu.