NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 7

Iron Mike wrote:

We will know by before lockout which makes Grant the perfect foil for loophole in round 1. Storm play sunday also. Could allow you to have two bites at the 4th reserve for week 1.

my tv broke wrote:

Lawrie was starting though. Admittedly, he was on the bench in round 1, but the bench consisted of Latimore, Leilua, and Dufty - it was pretty clear he was the main bench middle ie big role.

If you are picking a bench forward you would want to be sure he is that #1 bench forward, the first interchange that is on after 20 mins and plays out the middle of the game. Otherwise you're getting dud scores, which I htink was the point.

Iron Mike wrote:

I don't agree with this, your decision should be based on the individual player and not what position they are. Sivo maxed out last year at $532k after round 11. Lawrie maxed out at $577K after round 9. Lawrie hit $539K after round 7. Don't just stack your reserves with outside backs because they are playing 80 minutes and have a high chance of scoring a try. Trick is to pick the 40 minute bench forwards and not the 15-20 minute ones.

Look for backs that can break tackles like Sivo and then when they don't score tries they will still score high enough to hold.
I would prefer a 35-40 minute Musgrove over Saab, who isn't even assured of a spot over Pereira, Ravalawa and Sailor.

my tv broke wrote:

We should have a pretty good idea whether its happening, but i doubt we get anything official until the end of round 1.

Iron Mike wrote:

Tell that to the teams that went with Host over Lawrie because Host was starting.
Like I said, its player dependent, but I ain't just going to pick a back because they play 80. I think that general advice is not that helpful to improving teams.

my tv broke wrote:

2020 drink is Leleisuiuao

Milchcow wrote:

That's pretty much my team at the moment, so I approve

Jumping Marlin wrote:Mulling over a version of the “how much is a trade worth” and “cows and guns strategy”.  Looks to me that the fanhub tax has lead to a lot of draft teams having more mid rangers than normal.  Mine too.

A question I asked myself:  if things go according to plan, how many of my initial 21 man squad will I keep all year.  My draft team had max of 6 (Friend, Lolo, Fifita, Cleary, Aubo, Pap) but only 3 certain keepers. So, I have set up my team with a plan/requirement to make 18 trades.  That leaves 16 for injuries, byes, further cash generation.

I made a few changes to a more guns/cows strategy eg Luai into starting half.  I now have 8 who could stay in the team all year and 6 I’d call keepers.  Hey presto, I’ve just saved 3 trades!

Upside is trades are gold.

The downsides are:  

1:  I have weakened the point scoring of team (in Moga/Luai, out Aubo, JMK).  I reckon it might cost me, initially 10-20points per week.  
2: I have potentially limited cash generation
3: I have had to make calls on which guns to take a punt on, and may miss getting them cheaper later.

An aside to this: is starting with Haas effectively a 1 trade tax on yourself as you can convert him and a mid ranger to two keepers?

Sorry, just a ramble of thinking.  

Boozecluez wrote:

It’s easier for the average player to select an 80min starting Wfb than pick the next 40min+ Lawrie.
There lies the example, what if you guess wrong and get a host who was meant to be the extra beneficiary (for some) of these extra minutes. How discussed was that?

Musgrove is a good example, career avg of 29 off 39mins and out of the game for 2 years in a stacked Tigers team notorious for chopping and changing forward rotations.
Would you be happy with this?
I didn’t mention Saab as you chose this example, will be interesting how this plays out.
If Crichton starts for the Panthers  can I choose him instead?

mattnz wrote:

Need to consider origin too. Last year I started with no origin players, this year it seems everyone will have some. Hard to avoid Haas, Fifita, Friend, Cleary for a start.

mattnz wrote:

I think it will be grant actually

Iron Mike wrote:Just had another look at things trying to reduce players priced between 30 and 40 points (roughly 450K to 600K). Trying to get back to cows and guns team.

Api (493K but obvious value)
Hass (C), Carrigan
Lolo, NBrown, DFifita
Cleary (VC), Mann
Capewell, Lomax
Papenhuyzen, Drinkwater, Aekins

JWilliams (472K but obvious value if starting lock), BBrailey, Musgrove, Magoulias

Luai, Curran, Rudolf, Leleisiuao.