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    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 7

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow on Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:43 pm

    MTBs Site - Stats, BE, Match Centre, Interchange Times, Price Predictor[/b]
    http://www.footystatistics.com/

    MTB's team builder
    http://footystatistics.com/team_planner_2020.php


    Excel links


    Milchcow's excel solver
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/kcuwhduwp4n227e/2020_Fantasy_Solver_v1.0.xlsm/file

    Milchcow's team planner
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/pj9xsl5oxf2rgwd/2020_Team_Planner_v0.1.xlsx/file

    arsen's excel
    http://www.mediafire.com/file/3tr3at0u11gg7mo/NRL_Fantasy_2020.xlsx/file

    mattnz's excel sheet
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/ez4a4ipfe11s4h5/2020_players_updated.xlsx/file

    Steve Nicholls (RNGD Analytics) excel database
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/mxuesns6qcmu9qc/RFS_2014-19_Data_%28v1.0%29.xlsm/file


    2020 BYE PLANNER

    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 7 MXmc9V9

    Player Prices  

    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1127-2020-prices

    Price change formula

    New Price = 0.75 * old price + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

    Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

    G1 = most recent game
    G2 = game before that
    G3 = game before that
    Etc

    Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow on Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:53 pm


    So if Angus Crichton plays centre in the WCC/round 1 TLT and gets DPP as a result, who will start with him?

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    Post by WT2K on Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:53 pm

    Cronulla Sharks have signed Royce Hunt (Ex-Raiders), Mawene Hiroti (Ex-Rabbitohs) and Siosifa Talakai (Ex-Rabbitohs) for 2020 season
    https://twitter.com/WackosWhispers/status/1229613182278234112?s=19
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking on Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:56 pm

    @Milchcow wrote:
    So if Angus Crichton plays centre in the WCC/round 1 TLT and gets DPP as a result, who will start with him?


    I don't know if I could go through the heart palpitations ever TLT seeing his name at Centre. Wanting him to play second row and seeing him at centre every week is too much. I went through that late last year with Cordner's injury.
    Pookus McFly
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    Post by Pookus McFly on Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:57 pm

    Anyone bothering with bye planning this year? Last year I didn’t take byes into account at all when making my initial team, but I was mindful of preferring 1st bye round players on trade-ins. Then I saved some trades and max traded between byes to try and maximise both bye rounds. I believe I had 16 + 13 and the strategy worked pretty well. I will no doubt so the same again this year. I actually miss the old bye system just from a fantasy point of view, it was always a challenge to navigate that part of the year and would sort out well planned teams from the rest
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer on Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:58 pm

    @Milchcow wrote:
    So if Angus Crichton plays centre in the WCC/round 1 TLT and gets DPP as a result, who will start with him?


    More to my earlier question I've put Aubo at CTR after this news

    Didn't realise Black Widow played last 10 at 2RF. 47 avg 12 above starting price. Must have at CTR with Crichton news?
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:01 pm

    @Pookus McFly wrote:Anyone bothering with bye planning this year? Last year I didn’t take byes into account at all when making my initial team, but I was mindful of preferring 1st bye round players on trade-ins. Then I saved some trades and max traded between byes to try and maximise both bye rounds. I believe I had 16 + 13 and the strategy worked pretty well. I will no doubt so the same again this year. I actually miss the old bye system just from a fantasy point of view, it was always a challenge to navigate that part of the year and would sort out well planned teams from the rest

    I always try to without detriment to team. Already started spreadsheet and filled in early draft team players in rd12
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:05 pm

    I think McInnes's injury will help my team. I am going to forgo Smith and Cook so looking like a lineup ft. Koro, Brailey, Friend, Grant (pending switch). Gives me a lot more money to spend elsewhere.
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:06 pm

    LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

    1 Jack Bird
    2 Herbie Farnworth
    3 Kotoni Staggs
    4 Jesse Arthars
    5 Xavier Coates
    6 Anthony Milford
    7 Brodie Croft
    8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
    9 Jake Turpin
    10 Payne Haas
    11 Alex Glenn (c)
    12 Ethan Bullemor
    13 Patrick Carrigan
    Interchange
    14 Jamayne Isaako
    15 Richie Kennar
    16 Tesi Niu
    17 Tom Dearden
    18 Cory Paix
    19 Thomas Flegler
    20 Joe Ofahengaue
    21 Rhys Kennedy
    22 Jamil Hopoate
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    Post by Camo123 on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:08 pm

    Afoa injury confirmed as ACL
    castlecrag sweethearts
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    Post by castlecrag sweethearts on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:08 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

    1 Jack Bird
    2 Herbie Farnworth
    3 Kotoni Staggs
    4 Jesse Arthars
    5 Xavier Coates
    6 Anthony Milford
    7 Brodie Croft
    8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
    9 Jake Turpin
    10 Payne Haas
    11 Alex Glenn (c)
    12 Ethan Bullemor
    13 Patrick Carrigan
    Interchange
    14 Jamayne Isaako


    15 Richie Kennar
    16 Tesi Niu
    17 Tom Dearden
    18 Cory Paix
    19 Thomas Flegler
    20 Joe Ofahengaue
    21 Rhys Kennedy
    22 Jamil Hopoate

    Patrick Carrigan.... Get in my team!!!


    Last edited by castlecrag sweethearts on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:09 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Pookus McFly
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    Post by Pookus McFly on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:09 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

    1 Jack Bird
    2 Herbie Farnworth
    3 Kotoni Staggs
    4 Jesse Arthars
    5 Xavier Coates
    6 Anthony Milford
    7 Brodie Croft
    8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
    9 Jake Turpin
    10 Payne Haas
    11 Alex Glenn (c)
    12 Ethan Bullemor
    13 Patrick Carrigan
    Interchange
    14 Jamayne Isaako
    15 Richie Kennar
    16 Tesi Niu
    17 Tom Dearden
    18 Cory Paix
    19 Thomas Flegler
    20 Joe Ofahengaue
    21 Rhys Kennedy
    22 Jamil Hopoate

    Carrigan ownership about to skyrocket whether this is the way it sit TLT or not
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:09 pm

    @Loomer wrote:

    More to my earlier question I've put Aubo at CTR after this news

    Didn't realise Black Widow played last 10 at 2RF. 47 avg 12 above starting price. Must have at CTR with Crichton news?

    Depends on how permanent move looks like being.

    Also if Crichton named at centre and Aubbs in second row, that may not necessarily be how they actually play during the game.

    Will need a close eye during WCC. But if Crichton can play a few games at CTR, get DPP and then move to second row, that would solve 1 problem for everyone.
    castlecrag sweethearts
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    Post by castlecrag sweethearts on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:10 pm

    @Pookus McFly wrote:

    Carrigan ownership about to skyrocket whether this is the way it sit TLT or not

    Don't worry PcFly you said it first. Honest!
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:12 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

    1 Jack Bird
    2 Herbie Farnworth
    3 Kotoni Staggs
    4 Jesse Arthars
    5 Xavier Coates
    6 Anthony Milford
    7 Brodie Croft
    8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
    9 Jake Turpin
    10 Payne Haas
    11 Alex Glenn (c)
    12 Ethan Bullemor
    13 Patrick Carrigan
    Interchange
    14 Jamayne Isaako
    15 Richie Kennar
    16 Tesi Niu
    17 Tom Dearden
    18 Cory Paix
    19 Thomas Flegler
    20 Joe Ofahengaue
    21 Rhys Kennedy
    22 Jamil Hopoate

    So full strength you'd expect Lodge and Fifita would start

    Assuming Lodge at starting prop, would TPJ go to 2nd row or lock?
    Fifita straight swap for Bullemor?

    And Ofahengaue at 20 - I assume he'd at least be in the 17 come round 1. Did he get any suspension or anything for his drink driving charge?
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    Post by my tv broke on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:14 pm

    @Milchcow wrote:

    So full strength you'd expect Lodge and Fifita would start

    Assuming Lodge at starting prop, would TPJ go to 2nd row or lock?
    Fifita straight swap for Bullemor?

    And Ofahengaue at 20 - I assume he'd at least be in the 17 come round 1. Did he get any suspension or anything for his drink driving charge?

    The rumour with OFA is that the Broncos are pissed off with him and he was going to be down the pecking order. Dunno how that plays out because winning football games will become more important pretty quick.

    Im really not sure whats going to happen with our lineup

    castlecrag sweethearts
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    Post by castlecrag sweethearts on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:15 pm

    @Milchcow wrote:

    So full strength you'd expect Lodge and Fifita would start

    Assuming Lodge at starting prop, would TPJ go to 2nd row or lock?
    Fifita straight swap for Bullemor?

    And Ofahengaue at 20 - I assume he'd at least be in the 17 come round 1. Did he get any suspension or anything for his drink driving charge?

    Fifita for impact off the bench?
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:15 pm


    Broncos are also not a club famous for making players miss competitive games for off field indescretions
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    Post by Pookus McFly on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:19 pm

    @castlecrag sweethearts wrote:

    Don't worry PcFly you said it first. Honest!

    Weird quip when it was you clambering desperately for Drinkwater cred.
    Let’s not start this again. We swapped those beaded anklets for a reason, remember!
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:20 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:BRONCOS TEAM LIST

    Can't believe how content I am this year with waiting for TLT until I look at my team. I put together a quick draft a few weeks ago and thats it. I will probably even just start from scratch when it comes to TLT

      Current date/time is Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:18 pm