by Teeth Eater Fri Feb 21, 2020 11:13 am
Boozecluez wrote:Enjoying the thread so far
Pools, Wages, Politics, Player firsts, Team changes every hour .....It has everything
Now for a wall of text haha
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Just something to add which may have been touched on
Base price Rookie bench forwards V Rookie Backs
Predicting minutes let alone a rookie off the bench is tough.
The thing is if you miss these bench forwards you can pick them up easier than where a rookie back who nabs 2 tries gets expensive fast.
If you miss the back, do you buy them in the following week and hope they score a couple more tries for you, or pass on them?
You are behind the 8 ball now and your expectations are high based on this.
Common mistakes are you buy them in then they score a few low scores for you, so then you trade only for them to score high again...
We all make this mistake and you see people get frustrated when this happens to them resulting in 2 wasted trades and no $$$ gain.
Sivo is a good example here from last year.
Chances are they will get a few weeks themselves to start the year so worth a gamble each week to be honest, regardless who they are they just need pass the eye test and some luck.
If after 2-3 weeks they look like a dud, there is probably someone else you can swap out easy enough, but at least you owned a lotto ticket.
A forwards points are more reliable but they need a base amount of minutes to put up a score to give you the cash boost early on or hope for an injury or a role change.
Though it doesn't help cash generation when they score well every other week and slowly burn.
Who knows if the coach sits them on the bench most of the game the following week and kills their scoring. It doesn't effect real life much but it sure does effect Fantasy.
Sure you might start with a player for 4 weeks with a minor increase on the hope they bust a big score, but these role players are usually to run hard and make tackles so steady and slow points.
They are less likely to be on the end of a try scoring pass.
They rely on a role changes (which simply means extra minutes of more running hard and tackling) and they start scoring big because of this
Remember you can easily trade them in too once this happens as you don't get an award for all those who started with them
Mentally as well, a back plays 80mins each week so nothing really to look at further, its just a calculated gamble as their points are very boom bust. They play the same role each week, its mostly luck here.
So start with the cheap back and see what happens, you can always grab that bench forward later
Also don't be afraid of playing them in your starting WFB, you aren't paying much (Points per $$ as well) and as long as you spend the saved money elsewhere well, then they can easily score as good as a mid ranged WFB.
TLDR So start with a cheap back and see what happens, you can always grab that bench forward later and don't be afraid of starting them in CTR/WFB position to start the year
Thanks for that, really good post. This forum is great for ideas and gauging what direction to take based on what others are doing, and also what they're not doing.
But this is just straight up good advice and I'll admit I currently have seven second and front rowers as my cheapies and that's going to change. It was always dependent on TLT, but I'm certainly going to keep your post in mind when I see who gets named, possibly adjusting the way I think.
I'll admit I wasn't even going to consider the likes of Saab, but I will now. Starting with Sivo last year I'm embarrassed that I didn't figure this out myself, but thanks for putting it out there.
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