2018 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 2

Welshy wrote:After what round did Moses start playing for Parra?

I think round 11 was his first game for the Eels.

rhinoceroo wrote:Going off Supercoach stats, where forced drop-outs are worth 6 points. Those scoring 60 or over.

Widdop 162
Green 150
Moses 126
ARey 126
Townsend 126
ATaylor 126
DCE 114
Norman 114
Morgan 102
Cleary 96
SJ 96
Frawley 78
Norman 78
BHunt 78
Cronk 72
Keary 72
Moylan 72
Pearce 66

Cheers mate. You have Norman twice. I see Moses high on that list plus he'll be goal kicker.

Alfie wrote:

I'm very concerned about his injury. I think his missed tackles will increase and tackles will decrease. Two stats that were already shockingly bad in 2016. I will definitely avoid

I'm not sure about JT either & when you consider his first 4 games are Sharks, Broncos, Storm, Panthers who are all probable top 6 teams it's not promising defensively for JT.

White Lightning wrote:

Cheers mate. You have Norman twice. I see Moses high on that list plus he'll be goal kicker.

Would Moses kick when Gutherson is fit?
He was never a crash hot kicker for the Tigers

White Lightning wrote:

Cheers mate. You have Norman twice. I see Moses high on that list plus he'll be goal kicker.

Good spot. The first Norman (114) is Norman, the second Norman (78) should be Milford on 96.

White Lightning wrote:

Cheers mate. You have Norman twice. I see Moses high on that list plus he'll be goal kicker.

Norman on 114 is the correct value.

Missing Milford on 96

White Lightning wrote:

I could be wrong but didn't Mitchell Moses get a few forced dropouts in 2017. I vaguely remember reading a list of all players who produced forced dropouts. It may not of been on this site but I saw it somewhere.

@Milchcow posted a list on page 15 of thread 1

I wouldn't expect anything less from Milch

JT is in my team, he's a proven gun underpriced... and he's the king of the forced drop out...

Chewie wrote:

@Milchcow posted a list on page 15 of thread 1

I wouldn't expect anything less from Milch  

JT is in my team, he's a proven gun underpriced... and he's the king of the forced drop out...

Is it one or two points for forced drop outs?

Welshys Player Profiles



Player: David Nofaluma
Club: Wests Tiger
Position: WFB
Cost: $659,000
2017 average: 45
2016 average: 45
2015 average: 39
2017 minutes average: 80
Handsomeness rating: 3/5 Mitch Aubbussons

Nofo is a tackle busting machine on the Tigers wing, with a season high last year of 14 TBs in a single game! Wowsers! He had 8 games where he had 7 or more TBs. He loves coming in off his wing looking for work and always runs hard and with purpose on every play, whilst suspect under the high ball Nofo is a decent option to start the season with in the backline

2017 high score R1 83 (no try) 2017 Low score R14 11

Wrap up
Nofo finished in the top 5 of fantasy WFB last season, he sits  a tier below Tedesco and Rapana, Nofos upside is the fact he only scored 8 tries in 2017, any score uptick will need to come from here and the extra attacking points like TBs and LBs that come with them. No Tedesco in the Tigers attack this year so Nofo may come into play more in the attacking third, a candidate to shave some cash over Teddy and Rapa to put in your team at seasons start and hope he goes bananas before jumping onto one of the top level WFBs or emerging cows or pick and stick because he won’t let you down and will be near the cream of the WFB crop come seasons end

predicted 2018 avg - 45-48 points

   
3/5
Welshy Beers

Welshy wrote:Welshys Player Profiles



Player: David Nofaluma
Club: Wests Tiger
Position: WFB
Cost: $659,000
2017 average: 45
2016 average: 45
2015 average: 39
2017 minutes average: 80
Handsomeness rating: 3/5 Mitch Aubbussons

Nofo is a tackle busting machine on the Tigers wing, with a season high last year of 14 TBs in a single game! Wowsers! He had 8 games where he had 7 or more TBs. He loves coming in off his wing looking for work and always runs hard and with purpose on every play, whilst suspect under the high ball Nofo is a decent option to start the season with in the backline

2017 high score R1 83 (no try) 2017 Low score R14 11

Wrap up
Nofo finished in the top 5 of fantasy WFB last season, he sits  a tier below Tedesco and Rapana, Nofos upside is the fact he only scored 8 tries in 2017, any score uptick will need to come from here and the extra attacking points like TBs and LBs that come with them. No Tedesco in the Tigers attack this year so Nofo may come into play more in the attacking third, a candidate to shave some cash over Teddy and Rapa to put in your team at seasons start and hope he goes bananas before jumping onto one of the top level WFBs or emerging cows or pick and stick because he won’t let you down and will be near the cream of the WFB crop come seasons end

predicted 2018 avg - 45-48 points

   
3/5
Welshy Beers

great photo Welshy

Alfie wrote:

great photo Welshy

Was going to put pick me arrrgghhhh on there! but didn't want him to sound like a pirate

Welshy wrote:

Was going to put pick me arrrgghhhh on there! but didn't want him to sound like a pirate

Do you know how to post GIFs Welshy? Just so I'm prepd for the next P51 Partae

Alfie wrote:Do you know how to post GIFs Welshy? Just so I'm prepd for the next P51 Partae

no sorry mate, my pc skills don't go that far I'm afraid! haha

Welshy wrote:

no sorry mate, my pc skills don't go that far I'm afraid! haha

all good

Welshys Player Profiles




Player: Dylan Edwards
Club: Penrith Panthers
Position: WFB
Cost: $670,000
2017 average: 45.7 (46)
2017 minutes average: 80
Handsomeness rating: 2.5/5 Mitch Aubbussons

Whilst covering injury Edwards shot onto fantasy coaches radars last year with a 52 score in R2 from the wing, he followed that up with a R6 37 but those were the only games he played until R13 where he finished out the season playing in the No.1 shirt. Edwards was a fantastic addition to the fantasy WFB group and was a joy to watch often calmly securing bombs before steadying himself and gliding through opposition defences, after half a year in the top grade tearing through NRL backlines Edwards stands to relevate into the WFB elite this season

2017 average discounting injury affected R 25: 48.5
2017 high score R14 84 (no try) low score R19 27

Wrap up
Edwards only scored 2 tries in his 14 games last season so there is plenty of scope for a major improvement fantasy wise in that area. He can rack up TBs (even though I thought he was duped in games last year) averaging 6 a game. Edwards for me personally is a gut call, but I reckon he goes close to the top averaging WFB this season!

predicted 2018 avg - 48-52 points


4/5
Welshy Beers

Supercoach is opened

rhinoceroo wrote:Going off Supercoach stats, where forced drop-outs are worth 6 points. Those scoring 60 or over.

Widdop 162
Green 150
Moses 126
ARey 126
Townsend 126
ATaylor 126
DCE 114
Norman 114
Morgan 102
Cleary 96
SJ 96
Milford 96
Frawley 78
BHunt 78
Cronk 72
Keary 72
Moylan 72
Pearce 66

This just says to me teams that have big forward packs but no creativity on attack force a lot more drop outs than teams that can actually score points. e.g Roosters (Pearce) and Storm (Cronk) were top two teams vs Dragons (Widdop) and Manly (Green and DCE to an extent). Even the Eels (Norman and Moses) and Rabbitohs have a forward orientated power game but sometimes struggled to score points.

I feel Hunt will take some off Widdop, Moses and Reynolds I would expect to be up there along with Ash Taylor but the guy that could improve the most on this stat taking their partner out would be DCE. I wouldn't be pick Thurston just based on this stat as most dominant halves will gain a 2 point average gain per game ( average of 1 dropout per game)

Alfie wrote:

Is it one or two points for forced drop outs?

2 points

White Lightning wrote:Apparently Suli has come back to pre season training 18kg over weight (yes that is not a typo) & has been training with the reserve grade squad.
Fonua has been training on the wing & has been training very hard.
fb Lolohea - left edge Naiqama/Fonua - right edge Milne/Nofo
also Naiqama has been alternating between ctr & fb

I read this on nrlsupercoachtalk from someone in the know re Wests backline in pre season training.

Is    "in the know" short for he attended the members open training session yesterday arvo ?

I know you're passing it on in good faith, but I love people talking themselves up like this.

And yes Suli wasn't at the training session.

Not to mention on our injury list

Young gun Moses Suli is struggling to overcome stress fractures in his ankle. He and fellow youngster Jacob Liddle (shoulder) are unlikely to start the season.

Jacob Liddle (Shoulder, Indefinite)

Moses Suli (Ankle, Indefinite)

Chris McQueen (Neck, Trials)


Go back and call the tosser out