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    2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

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    No Worries
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    2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by No Worries on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:47 am

    Spreadsheets
    BE:







    2017 Stats Breakdown (Current up to round 3)
    https://www.mediafire.com/?guprpt6xuiq9dpm

    2016 Stats Breakdown
    https://www.mediafire.com/?t8gqrkac3r1tomk

    2015 Stats Breakdown
    http://www.mediafire.com/file/fkxlw0139cvc529/2015_Prozone_stats.xlsx

    Price Predictor
    http://www.mediafire.com/file/urcieiozcujhuvo/Price_predictor%282%29.xlsx






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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by No Worries on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:47 am

    COMMON ABREVIATIONS

    LT: Team list Tuesday. The most important day in the Fantasy week
    POD: Point of difference. A player with a low % ownership
    BE: Break even. A players break even point. If they score above this their price increases. If they score below this their price decreases
    KOD: Kiss of death
    DPP: Duel Position Player

    FORUM POSTERS:

    MF: Mighty Fishes
    Milchy: Milchcow
    Revs: Revraiser
    SI: Standard Issue

    PLAYERS:

    Api/Koro: Apisai Koroisau
    ARey: Adam Reynolds
    Aubs: Mitchell Aubusson
    BJ: Joey Leilua
    BMoz: Brett Morris
    Bunt: Ben Hunt
    Carty: Bryce Cartwright
    CHN, TPG: Corey Harawira-Naera
    Claw: Chris Lawrence
    Claw: Chris Lawrence
    CMat: Chanel Mata'utia
    Coops: Gavin Cooper
    CS9: Cameron Smith
    CWalker: Cody Walker
    DCE: Daly Cherry-Evans
    Duges: Josh Dugan
    DWalker: Dylan Walker
    ET: Elijah Taylor
    Faufusi: Felise Kaufusi
    Fergo: Blake Ferguson
    Fifi: Andrew Fifita
    Frankenstein: Frank Winterstein
    Friz: Tyson Frizell
    GI: Greg Inglis
    Gurgess: George Burgess
    Gutho: Clint Gutherson
    Hodko: Trent Hodkinson
    Hopa: Will Hopoate
    Hungry Jacks: Ryley Jacks
    JAC: Josh Addo Carr
    JBrom: Jesse Bromwich
    JDB: Jack De Belin
    JFH: James Fisher-Harris
    JJ: Josh Jackson
    JMoz: Josh Morris
    JRey: Josh Reynolds
    JT: Johnathan Thurston, Jason Taumalolo, Jason Taylor
    JTrbo: Jake Trbojevic
    JWH: Jarea Waerea-Hargreaves
    KBrom: Kenny Bromwich
    Klem: David Klemmer
    Leipana: Joey Leilua & Jordan Rapana
    LG: Kane Elgey
    Macca: Andrew McCullough
    Manners: Simon Mannering
    MCK: Michael Chee-Kam
    Milf: Anthony Milford
    Moose: Josh McGuire
    NAS: Nelson Asofa-Solomona
    Niko: Kodi/Jayden Nikorima
    Nofo: David Nofoaluma
    PG13: Paul Gallen
    PMat: Peter Mata'utia
    PODene: Bodene Thompson
    Rapa: Jordan Rapana
    RTS: Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
    Sauce: Josh Mansour
    Seggy: James Segyaro
    Siro: Curtis Sironen
    SJ: Shaun Johnson
    SKD: Shaun Kenny-Dowall
    SMat: Sione Mata'utia
    Soli: Sia Soliola
    SST: Sio Siua Taukeiaho
    Surgess: Sam Burgess
    Teddy: James Tedesco
    TMM: Te Maire Martin
    TPJ: Tevita Pangai Junior
    Trex: Tony Williams
    TTrbo: Tom Trbojevic
    Turgess: Tom Burgess
    YOLO: Jason Taumalolo
    YT: Young Tonumaipea


    Last edited by No Worries on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:57 am; edited 1 time in total
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    luckynumber8

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by luckynumber8 on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:51 am

    I had a great Charlie Murphy GIF ready to go to pay respects to him. pale

    lukeaye

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by lukeaye on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:51 am

    FIRSTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTt
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    Milchcow
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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Milchcow on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:52 am


    @Rabbit wrote:

    Why not? The successful teams run 80 minute edge forwards. Souths have lacked that until now.

    Very few forwards play 80 minutes every single week. Last year I believe Ryan Hoffman was the only forward to play every single minute.

    Whether its HIA, other injury or just needing a rest every now and then. Everyone gets time off at some point.

    With the obsession over minutes played some peopl ehave here I just thought it was worth pointing out.
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    Johnny B Goode

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Johnny B Goode on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:54 am

    @Milchcow wrote:


    Very few forwards play 80 minutes every single week. Last year I believe  Ryan Hoffman was the only forward to play every single minute.

    Whether its HIA, other injury or just needing a rest every now and then. Everyone gets time off at some point.

    With the obsession over minutes played some peopl ehave here I just thought it was worth pointing out.


    Elliott Whitehead was also notable for playing every single minute of every single game. For the minutes played stat he came out on top in 2016
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    Fortitude

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Fortitude on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:57 am

    @Johnny B Goode wrote:
     

    Elliott Whitehead was also notable for playing every single minute of every single game. For the minutes played stat he came out on top in 2016

    Think he missed two minutes or something trivial.

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    Chewie

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Chewie on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:57 am

    Why do you guys think they moved Turner to the front row?
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    hymenbustas

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by hymenbustas on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:58 am

    Whats does everyone think of Foran? Haven't heard much of him on this forum.

    Im looking to trade out guth. My options are: Milf, Frawley (if starting), or Foran
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    Johnny B Goode

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Johnny B Goode on Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:58 am

    If I'm going to upgrade to a gun HLF who should I pick when I have SJ? I was tossing up between the Rabbitohs halves for the bye coverage but are other options like Pearce or Cleary more reliable?

    I was looking at Adam Reynolds but I'm a bit turned off by the fact in games where his team isn't performing he's scoring closer to mid 40's.
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    Fortitude

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Fortitude on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:06 am

    Was going to go Elgy to Frawley and leave it at that.

    Now with Guth on the fritz I'm less confident.

    My options are:
    A) Elgy to Frawley
    Guth to Crichton

    B) Elgy to Hampton
    Guth to Nofo

    Stating to think that the B is a safer, more economic option.

    Elgy to Hampton.

    More of a cash out option, to someone I can use over Origin if desperate, less likely to be there at end of year as an AE so saves me trading him out again (like you'd do with Frawley eventually)

    Guth to Nofo

    Nofo a keeper. plays Rd 15. Set and forget. Already have two gun Hooks so no desperate need to have a war chest at this stage.

    Thoughts?
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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Milchcow on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:10 am

    @Johnny B Goode wrote:
     

    Elliott Whitehead was also notable for playing every single minute of every single game. For the minutes played stat he came out on top in 2016

    yeah, Whitehead missed 2 minutes (and also played 2 games in the halves which may have led me to discount him)

    There were about 10 or so forwards that played almost every minute.
    Whitehead, Cam Smith, Josh Papalii, Gavin Cooper, Wade Graham, Joel Thompson, Bodene Thompson, Matt Gillett all missed minimal game time.

    After that it gets to player like Josh Jackson who played 4 games under 60 minutes and 6 others under 80. Big minutes, but not 80 every week.


    But you'll notice that other than Cam Smith, none of those players were in the ideal final 17 last year (maybe a few would be around as PODs), showing that it is better to focus on points scored than minutes played.


    All this said, I'm still keen on bringing Crichton in this week.
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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Milchcow on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:24 am

    @hymenbustas wrote:Whats does everyone think of Foran? Haven't heard much of him on this forum.

    Im looking to trade out guth. My options are: Milf, Frawley (if starting), or Foran

    Foran has traditionally not been a good fantasy scorer. Long term you are looking at around a 40 average, which would make him slightly overpriced right now

    So the main question would be whether the move to the Warriors will provide a positive effect on his scoring. Hard to say based on just 2 (admittedly well scoring) rounds. But I think he'll drop a little from his high start
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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Spectre on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:39 am

    @Chewie wrote:Why do you guys think they moved Turner to the front row?

    Probably because he is a crap edge runner
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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Spectre on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:40 am

    Is it too late to jump in the Ponga conga?
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    Klemhammer

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Klemhammer on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:43 am

    What to do

    Smith Brailey
    JWH Musgrove Wallace Felise
    ET Kbrom Siro Hess CWH
    Norman Lamb Elgey Jacks
    Smat Cotric Kelly Moga
    Tturbo RTS Slater Rennings Ponga

    CITB: 570k
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    Garbo

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Garbo on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:49 am

    @Klemhammer wrote:What to do

    Smith Brailey
    JWH Musgrove Wallace Felise
    ET Kbrom Siro Hess CWH
    Norman Lamb Elgey Jacks
    Smat Cotric Kelly Moga
    Tturbo RTS Slater Rennings Ponga

    CITB: 570k

    If I had that kind of cash sitting there I'd get an established gun in 2RF and FRF (unless your 6th 2RF that you've missed is a gun already).

    JWH/Musgrove --> Graham
    ET/KBrom --> Gallen/Mannering/Surgess

    Or if you want to get Crighton in you could hold on the FRF and do JWH/Musgrove to Crighton (if you have a DPP).
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    Fortitude

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Fortitude on Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:52 am

    @Klemhammer wrote:What to do

    Smith Brailey
    JWH Musgrove Wallace Felise
    ET Kbrom Siro Hess CWH
    Norman Lamb Elgey Jacks
    Smat Cotric Kelly Moga
    Tturbo RTS Slater Rennings Ponga

    CITB: 570k

    You have one gun.

    Start double trading!!

    Musgrove to Graham
    Lamb to SJ
    Kbrom, Siro to JDB, Gallen, Surgess, Whitehead etc

    take your pick.

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    Johnny B Goode

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Johnny B Goode on Thu Apr 13, 2017 11:02 am

    Think I might trade Brock Lamb out this week for a gun HLF. Who to pick?

    Pearce, Cleary, Walker, A Reynolds or DCE
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    Spectre

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    Re: 2017 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

    Post by Spectre on Thu Apr 13, 2017 11:06 am

    @Johnny B Goode wrote:Think I might trade Brock Lamb out this week for a gun HLF. Who to pick?  

    Pearce, Cleary, Walker, A Reynolds or DCE

    I sold Lamb for Cleary a couple weeks back and he's been underwhelming since

      Current date/time is Sat Nov 25, 2017 3:53 am