by mattnz Tue Mar 14, 2023 2:50 pm
robelgordo wrote:
Legit question (for everyone, not just Matt) - do you reckon it's late to the party, or too late to the party? Was thinking too late, but not a considered opinion
Quick analysis for 2 scenarios:
1. Starts this week for a 50, the next 2 weeks off the bench for 30, with Matterson also playing some MID to give Hopgood a rest.
Gains $70k this week, still has a negative BE the following week, gaining approx $40k, then $20k.
Net gain of quick cash for 3 weeks of $130k - decent!
2. Keeps his starting spot until round 6-8 - add another $150-200k to the price rises and good scoring for cheap.
Depends on the alternative buy in instead, but would suggest that he is a buy this week still. I would rate scenario 2 as 80%+ likely for huge upside and scenario 1 as a not bad worst case situation.