NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 2 - What's the magic number ?

getting in one of Hynes/Clearly will be had enough so if your missing both then your liking spreading the cash over the rest of your team so only way to bring them in is dropping another high end guy.

I actually just dropped Murray down to Burton and now have Clearly Burton Hastings. It does mean ill likely end up having to go Burton/Hastings to Hynes at some point.

At this stage spending the cash to get Holmes at Centre so there is at least one safe spot then just need to rely on one of Alamoti/Talau/Te Ware and will likely be picking 2 of them needing one to play each week.

For captains Hasting round 3 v the dolphins could be a good option.

After typing that all out just decided to go Holmes Burton to Hammer Hynes.

At least Hammer should play and then I dont need to worry about finding the cash to bring in Cleary or Hynes.

Grant
Carrigan Hopgood Elliott
Katoa Garner
Cleary Hynes
Hammer Alamoti
Miller CNK Perham

Hastings
Cheese (Ho/M)
Makatoa
Doorey

Talau
Jennings
Sloan
Blore

Holzman wrote:After typing that all out just decided to go Holmes Burton to Hammer Hynes.


Hammer Alamoti
Miller CNK Perham
Sloan Jennings

I'm thinking about a similarly shite back 5 and backups, but Thompson over HTF.

They will all need trading by midseason, but enable guns elsewhere

Holy Moly wrote:Having a look at some bench hookers who might get some decent minutes and noticed that Fa’amanu Brown isn't in the system. Has he left the NRL?

I swear I heard he signed with the bulldogs

Lchy wrote:

I swear I heard he signed with the bulldogs

He is in predicted team lists and on the NRL site. Just not in the fantasy system.

Holy Moly wrote:

He is in predicted team lists and on the NRL site. Just not in the fantasy system.

He's probably going to like 10 mins max with Mahoney starting

Camo123 wrote:

It said it was a meniscus clean out surgery and he should be fine by R2

Probably impacts those looking at Bird the most because you’d have to take gamble on him being named with no prior evidence and not missing R2 in addition to R1 bye

Bird was only attractive if they were going to play him at lock (average 55), not at 6 (average 42).

Rabbits21 wrote:Is anyone because of their early byes considering running with none of Cleary or Hynes and running Murray as Captain with a Tapine, Robson and Burton combo?

It’s not totally crazy, since you get one extra game out of Murray over Cleary (and very slightly cheaper). This is based purely on averages though. At the end of the day (barring injuries, Tic Toc or spear tackles) choosing one or the other won’t ruin your season. It really depends on the other 20 players you choose! I’ll go Cleary and dodge that horrendous opening 5-6 rounds that Souths have. Any chance Murray gets rested v Dolphins Rd 7? Since cash generation is key to start with I can only see Hynes losing a bit of cash in those opening rounds so he’s an avoid for me. That is a terrible draw 3 bad, two good, the bye, two bad, three good, then the bye again. How anyone can get two out of the three into a GOOD Rd 1 team is beyond me.

L-Jimmy wrote:

I'm thinking about a similarly shite back 5 and backups, but Thompson over HTF.

They will all need trading by midseason, but enable guns elsewhere

I have Hammer currently in my latest draft as he is DPP and close to 40percent owned. But I hope cheaper options become available. I can’t justify spending 500k on Suaali with the Roosters having a bye in round 4 anyway. Currently I have

Hammer Thompson
Miller (should avg 38-40, 9-11 pts value) Savage Perham

MyYfH8sSC wrote:
It’s not totally crazy, since you get one extra game out of Murray over Cleary (and very slightly cheaper). This is based purely on averages though. At the end of the day (barring injuries, Tic Toc or spear tackles) choosing one or the other won’t ruin your season. It really depends on the other 20 players you choose! I’ll go Cleary and dodge that horrendous opening 5-6 rounds that Souths have. Any chance Murray gets rested v Dolphins Rd 7? Since cash generation is key to start with I can only see Hynes losing a bit of cash in those opening rounds so he’s an avoid for me.  That is a terrible draw 3 bad, two good, the bye, two bad, three good, then the bye again. How anyone can get two out of the three into a GOOD Rd 1 team is beyond me.

Agree you can’t have a balanced team with both Hynes and Cleary.

I have gone cold on Hastings too I just worry on the Knights struggling and he’s never avg 52-55 before I don’t think over half a season. I’m warming to Burton alongside Cleary with Tapine and Robson. Robson in 30 odd games over 70mins avg is about 58 as well and I think he will be the 3rd best hooker scorer for the year.

MyYfH8sSC wrote:
It’s not totally crazy, since you get one extra game out of Murray over Cleary (and very slightly cheaper). This is based purely on averages though. At the end of the day (barring injuries, Tic Toc or spear tackles) choosing one or the other won’t ruin your season. It really depends on the other 20 players you choose! I’ll go Cleary and dodge that horrendous opening 5-6 rounds that Souths have. Any chance Murray gets rested v Dolphins Rd 7? Since cash generation is key to start with I can only see Hynes losing a bit of cash in those opening rounds so he’s an avoid for me.  That is a terrible draw 3 bad, two good, the bye, two bad, three good, then the bye again. How anyone can get two out of the three into a GOOD Rd 1 team is beyond me.

Why would Murray get rested v Dolphins? Are you expecting them to be a complete shambles? If anything I can see their defensive efforts to be pretty solid - scoring points may take some time.

Rabbits21 wrote:
Agree you can’t have a balanced team with both Hynes and Cleary.

I have gone cold on Hastings too I just worry on the Knights struggling and he’s never avg 52-55 before I don’t think over half a season. I’m warming to Burton alongside Cleary with Tapine and Robson. Robson in 30 odd games over 70mins avg is about 58 as well and I think he will be the 3rd best hooker scorer for the year.

That Knights draw is pretty good, and they play round 13! Barry Toohey reported Hastings won’t be GK! If that is true then he definitely goes to Burton.

mickspicks wrote:

Why would Murray get rested v Dolphins? Are you expecting them to be a complete shambles? If anything I can see their defensive efforts to be pretty solid - scoring points may take some time.

I am actually. Perhaps rested is a bit harsh, but perhaps a very early shower if you prefer.

MyYfH8sSC wrote:
I am actually. Perhaps rested is a bit harsh, but perhaps a very early shower if you prefer.

imo won't happen early on because forwards need match fitness & the more you play the quicker you attain it...if it happens it's during/post origin

Trying to come up with a team name that encompasses my dislike for PVL and how I want him nowhere near the game or making any decisions around it's future but also a low chance of him Elon-Musk style personally permabanning my NRL account/being sued for defamtion, ie; I can't use "Peter V'Landys is a corrupt Murdoch stooge" but maybe "PVL is selling the game out for his own interests" might be OK? Thoughts?

filthridden wrote:Trying to come up with a team name that encompasses my dislike for PVL and how I want him nowhere near the game or making any decisions around it's future but also a low chance of him Elon-Musk style personally permabanning my NRL account/being sued for defamtion, ie; I can't use "Peter V'Landys is a corrupt Murdoch stooge" but maybe "PVL is selling the game out for his own interests" might be OK? Thoughts?

PVL is a self-interested prick, I agree. But then what did we expect from someone out of the professional animal cruelty / human addiction misery game?

You could be tempted to throw shade with a Fine Cotton or Show Jumping Killers reference, or just do what I do and write his name in the dirt with a stick, then take a slash.

Is this useful for byes?



Black = Byes
Pale yellow is team plays, but Origin reps unavailable

Green is where if you buy a player in that team you get 5+ games before a bye happens e.g. at R14 it's Panthers, Storm, Roosters
Not sure if 5 games is a good number, would be happy to tweaking my highly advanced coding*
Also you obviously want to use judgment rather than rule players in/out solely based on approaching byes

Some quick takeaways, many of which I'm sure have already come up in the last 30-40 pages I haven't read:
- Eels are the only team to not play in an Origin round, but they still miss 2 games in the Origin period
- Panthers, Storm, Roosters, Broncos and Titans miss 2 Origin rounds, but the first 3 have 5 games running from R14-18, so are actually very handy to navigate that period
- Warriors and Dolphins are the only teams with 1 bye during the R13-20 period, which covers the Origin big bye weeks and the 3 medium bye weeks immediately after each state game
- Rabbitohs and Broncos have the latest 1st bye (R16). Titans have their 3rd and last bye the same week!
- Aside from Titans, Tigers and Sharks finish early (R17)




*I coloured the cells in Excel

filthridden wrote:Trying to come up with a team name that encompasses my dislike for PVL and how I want him nowhere near the game or making any decisions around it's future but also a low chance of him Elon-Musk style personally permabanning my NRL account/being sued for defamtion, ie; I can't use "Peter V'Landys is a corrupt Murdoch stooge" but maybe "PVL is selling the game out for his own interests" might be OK? Thoughts?

Peter not V Dandy?

I'd like to point out I spent 30 mins on a Friday arvo making a chart about byes but I haven't even looked at player prices yet. Pretty sure that doesn't make sense.

Probably been talked about lots but it feels like the round 27 bye should have gone to a team that was unlikely to make the 8. A week off is such a huge boost going into the finals.