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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 1 - fire up the spreadsheets

    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Fri Jan 28, 2022 11:55 am

    L-Jimmy wrote:Oooh! Zero dollar squad.

    Randall Clark JCook
    Welch Uto JKing KHetherington Moale
    STupou RFM Blore
    Cleary Hastings Illias
    Burton Tago Penisini
    Teddy Pappy SChricton Ramsay

    A million miles from post-TLT sensibleness where we'll end, but good enough for a bludgey Friday.

    What’s the interest in Tupouniua? Nothing much changed with his scoring last year, still had a bunch of scores 30s & below in full games without tries
    mrbrownstone
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    Post by mrbrownstone Fri Jan 28, 2022 11:55 am

    Trying to hold off on creating a squad as long as I can this year. Felt like I just ended up overthinking it and confusing myself last season.

    It's bloody tempting though. Just caught up on the rule changes/off season news and scrolled a bit through what I'd missed on here yesterday. And it's a slow Friday at work...
    Bethany_B
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    Post by Bethany_B Fri Jan 28, 2022 11:56 am

    My updated squad, $11k in the bank

    Randall
    TPJ, Angus, Cotter
    Nanai, Fifita
    Ilias, Cleary
    Burton, Momo
    Critta, Papy, Coates

    Tago, Amone, Blore, Dunster

    J. Cook, Howarth, Moale, Tass (EMGs are placeholders)
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Fri Jan 28, 2022 11:58 am

    I think I may have to try fit Capewell in I honestly think he gets 80mins the more I think about it.
    Lemmy KGB
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    Post by Lemmy KGB Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:00 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:I think I may have to try fit Capewell in I honestly think he gets 80mins the more I think about it.

    I'm sure he will
    my tv broke
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:17 pm

    mattnz wrote:3 players all in contention for the 6 jersey at Broncos, Kelly, Mam and Walters. Kevvy saying the best defender in the trials will get the role. Mam looks to be a fantasy gun. Averaged 58 in Queensland Cup last season with 13 tries in 11 games.

    Hasn't decided which position Cobbo will get yet, could be fullback, center or wing.

    https://www.nrl.com/news/2022/01/28/five-eighth-jersey-still-up-for-grabs-at-broncos/

    Will be Gamble or Kelly in round 1.
    FalconSloth
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    Post by FalconSloth Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:20 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    Will be Gamble or Kelly in round 1.
    I have heard that the word out of the broncos camp is that Mam has impressed everyone and the coaches all reckon that he could easily start round 1
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:22 pm

    FalconSloth wrote:
    I have heard that the word out of the broncos camp is that Mam has impressed everyone and the coaches all reckon that he could easily start round 1

    Yeah its possible . Still a while to go I guess. It may be a reactive move from what happened with Walsh. I'd love to see Mam. Having a solid 7 makes a big difference as well as Mam wouldn't need to do too much.

    From what I've seen/heard of training it is mainly Gamble in the "A" team

    Pretty much all the photos of training over the last few weeks have Mam in the ressies jersey.
    FalconSloth
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    Post by FalconSloth Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:34 pm

    My current draft is:
    Randall
    Uto Cotter JKing
    Blore Fermor
    Cleary Sexton
    Aitken Burton
    Nofoaluma HTF(not convinced on this pick) SCrichton

    SJ Hastings Starling RFM
    Ilias Howarth JCook Mam
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:37 pm

    Camo123 wrote:

    What’s the interest in Tupouniua? Nothing much changed with his scoring last year, still had a bunch of scores 30s & below in full games without tries

    Mostly eye test, Keary and the Rooster's early run.

    Sitial looks like a very good footballer. Good condition, good hands, good temperament, great ball runner.

    Keary put Sitili through holes at whim in the first few games last year, and with Teddy sniffing around it could be a fairly standard and fairly productive attacking lineup.

    And Roosters play Knights, Manly, Rabbits, Cowboys, Broncos, Warriors, Dragons, Bulldogs, Titans in the first 9 rounds, and could put up a cricket score against any of them.

    I am tossing up the Teddy/STupou pairing. Could easily go CNK/TPJ and still be making a good call.

    Will watch the trials, and if the Roosters look as scary good on the paddock as they do on paper I'll buy in.
    Snatchpato
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    Post by Snatchpato Fri Jan 28, 2022 1:38 pm

    FalconSloth wrote:My current draft is:
    Randall
    Uto  Cotter  JKing
    Blore  Fermor
    Cleary  Sexton
    Aitken  Burton
    Nofoaluma  HTF(not convinced on this pick)  SCrichton

    SJ  Hastings  Starling  RFM
    Ilias  Howarth  JCook  Mam
    No Papy?
    bigbruno
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    Post by bigbruno Fri Jan 28, 2022 1:54 pm

    I feel Hastings and Ilais are likely to be this years Lam & Chad...

    One ways good, one was nothing short of disappointment.
    FalconSloth
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    Post by FalconSloth Fri Jan 28, 2022 1:55 pm

    Snatchpato wrote:
    No Papy?
    Priced at 51 with an average of 57.6 and that is with 4.6 TBs/game which brings would bring his average down to only 1 point above his price and not enough cheapies to bring him in at the moment.
    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 28, 2022 2:01 pm

    FalconSloth wrote:
    Priced at 51 with an average of 57.6 and that is with 4.6 TBs/game which brings would bring his average down to only 1 point above his price and not enough cheapies to bring him in at the moment.
    Games at fullback, where he wasn't injured, he averaged over 70 last season.
    Snatchpato
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    Post by Snatchpato Fri Jan 28, 2022 2:01 pm

    bigbruno wrote:I feel Hastings and Ilais are likely to be this years Lam & Chad...

    One ways good, one was nothing short of disappointment.
    Hypothetically, if this were a guaranteed outcome, do you:

    a) get both
    b) gamble on the right one
    c) get neither
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Fri Jan 28, 2022 2:02 pm

    FalconSloth wrote:
    Priced at 51 with an average of 57.6 and that is with 4.6 TBs/game which brings would bring his average down to only 1 point above his price and not enough cheapies to bring him in at the moment.

    Remove the game where he got concussed after 13 minutes, and the few games where he was eased back via the interchange and you get an average at Fullback of 70.8.

    I'm not saying he will average 70 this year, but he's one of the few players priced over 50 that have genuine upside.
    Plus he'll be wildly popular, so in combination, that's not really worth the risk of not having him.
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Fri Jan 28, 2022 2:18 pm

    Snatchpato wrote:
    Hypothetically, if this were a guaranteed outcome, do you:

    a) get both
    b) gamble on the right one
    c) get neither


    Monty hall says choose 1, don't get a goat, change your mind, then win a car.

    Hope that helped.
    t43597
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    Post by t43597 Fri Jan 28, 2022 2:23 pm

    Starling
    Haas TPJ Uto
    Aitken RFM
    Cleary Hastings
    Burton Tago
    Pap Crichton Coates

    Randall Blore Suaalii Ilias
    Ese'ese Moeroa Howarth Tass

    7k itb. Very much cookie cutter but i like it
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Fri Jan 28, 2022 2:31 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:I think I may have to try fit Capewell in I honestly think he gets 80mins the more I think about it.
    Lemmy KGB wrote:
    I'm sure he will


    Curse of small samples strikes again. In the 5 games last year in which he played over 70 mins and didn't score a try, Capers averaged 34.

    Include tries (fewer on offer at teh doncs) and its 45.5 (for small sample 8 games).

    Extend through all 2RF games since 2020, adjust via ppm for 50min+ games (shudder at bad stats) then you get an average of 52.6 (48 without tries)

    Priced around 40, in signing the great Kaper Caper you're essentially hoping for somewhere between those last two.

    But he's in a worse team. And will play Origin.

    Personally I'm not tempted, but understand the theoretical interest.

    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 28, 2022 3:04 pm

    Looks like the updated Fantasy App is now available

      Current date/time is Sun May 22, 2022 10:56 am