NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 61 - Bye round debuts, and scalping tickets

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

I wouldn't be trading in anyone from a position capable of scoring sub 20 this week. Rules out centres and most WFBS

Well Burton isn't playing centre this week now is he?

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Swung back to Jones after Toohey's comments. I'll figure out a WFB in 14 or 15

Jones v Kelly is the decision i think

Mulvy wrote:

Well Burton isn't playing centre this week now is he?

To me it feels similar to trading in Teddy because he plays the Broncos. Sure you can probably expect a 60 score, but what happens next week when he plays a better team(in Burton's case is back in the centres or even dropped)

If he was 300k and you wanted to punt on a 1 week score leading to some cash generation that kind of makes sense to me. But I wouldn't be paying 500k for 1 week of an unknown score

bigbruno wrote:

Jones v Kelly is the decision i think

Jones by the length of the straight. There was nothing in Kelly's game last week that we didn't see in his first game. He is still a half for the Broncos, a position where they have already used Milford, Dearden, Croft and Gamble this year. As good as he has looked Kevvie is way too reactionary for mine

In Origin 1 2019 6 players were rested out of 34 in the next round according to Lone Scout for anyone wondering. Be interesting to see what that number is this year

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Jones by the length of the straight. There was nothing in Kelly's game last week that we didn't see in his first game. He is still a half for the Broncos, a position where they have already used Milford, Dearden, Croft and Gamble this year. As good as he has looked Kevvie is way too reactionary for mine

I'm also surprised that people think Staggs won't play six this season. We're down to 5th and 6th string halves (Kelly isn't even on a Broncos contract). they've just paid Stags 700k a year to stay, with the promise of playing 6 next year.

In a year that is now just throwing shit and seeing what sticks, almost certain he'll be at 6 soon as he has a game or two under his belt.

bigbruno wrote:

Jones v Kelly is the decision i think

Kelly's got a shit chin

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Jones by the length of the straight. There was nothing in Kelly's game last week that we didn't see in his first game. He is still a half for the Broncos, a position where they have already used Milford, Dearden, Croft and Gamble this year. As good as he has looked Kevvie is way too reactionary for mine

Croft wont be back this year, neither will Milf.

I think the only concern to Gamble and Kelly is Staggs

Kevvie seems to have calmed down on the mad rotations as well. Gamble and Kelly did orchestrate their win over the Rorters. I just have a little chimp on the shoulder telling me Kelly's going to make more than Jones and Jones won't keep the spot

my tv broke wrote:

I'm also surprised that people think Staggs won't play six this season. We're down to 5th and 6th string halves and they've paid the guy 700k a year to stay with the promise of playing 6 next year.

He might return at centre but in a year that is basically just throwing shit and seeing what sticks, almost certain he'll be at 6 soon as he has a game or two under his belt.

I agree. As a Broncs fan, who do you think partners staggs in the halves?

bigbruno wrote:

I agree. As a Broncs fan, who do you think partners staggs in the halves?

Whoever is playing the least shit football out of Gamble/Kelly/Croft/Milford, that is still a few weeks away.

Right now, I'd say Gamble.

Goodnight Kiwi wrote:Surprised to hear the OTL podcast boys are looking to be happy with about 11each this round....
suppose there are many ways to play this game, especially in the bye rounds, but seems very conservative. Going 4 trades and playing 15 here

Yep they are looking to steam home the last 6-8 rounds.

FaringdonSwirl wrote:

Incoming second minute HIA for a -2. Nothing is guaranteed!

Of course. You know what I mean though.

bigbruno wrote:@Rabbits21 you're almost talking me into Kelly > Jones now!!

Who do you think has better JS?

Well Milf has already been dropped 3 times he’s cooked and done. Croft is still injured and has been in and out also. I think Kelly has been better than both of them. Talk is Staggs will initially come in at centre as well and I think Staggs would take Gamble’ spot if he moved to the halves. My gut tells me Kelly is safe the next 4-6 weeks and can make 150k. He’s a starting halfback as well who runs as well and gets a solid amount of kick metres.

Re Jones I think he starts for 1-2 weeks and then I expect him to go back to bench with Barnett to edge but I could be wrong.

Do what feels right for you mate. I could be horribly wrong but that’s my take on it.

Better to have not as strong a squad but a bit more depth for the run home I think.

A strong 17 won’t be enough you’ll need 19 or 20 men so if a player gets suspended for 2 weeks you have the depth to cover.

So go a bit more balanced I think.

my tv broke wrote:

Whoever is playing the least shit football out of Gamble/Kelly/Croft/Milford, that is still a few weeks away.

Right now, I'd say Gamble.

Agreed, I think Staggs will get 4/5 rounds at the end of the season at 6.

Kelly seems to be more stable than Gamble scoring wise as well.

Tough one

bigbruno wrote:

Main risk for Kelly is staggs I think. The two centres seem to be locked in there currently with Herbie and Arthur’s. Gamble leads the team vocally so it’s really Kelly v Arthurs for staggs when he’s back in my opinion. If Kelly stays he will be much better value than Jones as he looks a 40-50 scorer whereas Jones may be mid 30’s at best?

I reckon Staggs comes in for Arthars initially.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

That's because they have probably max traded trying to stay relevant. I heard there are big prizes on offer for being at the top at the 50 metre mark of a 100 metre race

They haven’t they both have around 17 trades left.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

I wouldn't be trading in anyone from a position capable of scoring sub 20 this week. Rules out centres and most WFBS

People spent a lot of trades n CTR early in the year due to injuries/suspensions. Annoying but understandable

But now Peachey and Bird are playing, even Jimmy the Jet is back. Most people should have 2 playable CTRs so can just sit tight until the injuries start again

WFB is pretty low on the ground this week, but like MS says, I wouldn't trade in someone who might get 15 points this week and then never be seen again. You'd have to have a very good use for the cash generation to justify it.

Anyone else going Captain Hynes this week?

Gentlemen! Gentlemen!

I have an idea.... No trades this week

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

To me it feels similar to trading in Teddy because he plays the Broncos. Sure you can probably expect a 60 score, but what happens next week when he plays a better team(in Burton's case is back in the centres or even dropped)

If he was 300k and you wanted to punt on a 1 week score leading to some cash generation that kind of makes sense to me. But I wouldn't be paying 500k for 1 week of an unknown score

The difference with Teddy is that you could also expect good scores in future rounds. Getting him in against Broncos was about trying to predict his cheapest possible price, rather than specifically just getting him for a one-off score against a crap team.

Burton should score very well this week, but afterwards will go back to CTR where he needs tries to get his score up. (and there is always the chance he ends up dropped again for momo)