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Beast From The Big East wrote:
Agree with that pick. But picking Fifita over Surgess because of less ownership is different than picking someone lesser valued as a POD and justifying it with less ownership so they are both smart picks.
In my mind you could call it optimal picking. Yes you should pick players with less ownership as if they do well you and only a select few benefit. But choosing Fifita over Surgess is smart picking. If Fifita does well then you see a greater rankings increase. But if Fifita does poorly, he still scores well. And if he gets to the point where he scores poorly (for his standards) consistently and you trade him, he is still priced high enough that he is an easy trade to a gun.
You flip that on it's head and look at someone less than Surgess like Tyson Frizell who you may back to increase points this year. If he does poorly he scores you much worse than what Fifita would if he were to do poorly. You hold out for a few weeks so you don't do anything rash and waste trades early on. If he drops close to 400k then you have to then somehow come up with 100k to get yourself that gun. Both ways you come out better than the pack if your POD goes off, but if you choose the higher priced POD then it allows you some safety net
Have said all along you need your main research first and for most but imo it's a good strategy to go with less ownership when splitting your choices assuming projection is within a few points. At this stage I think you can really only apply this to guns but going forward it should be used for trades and (c) choice
Pookus McFly
