NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 68

Watson has a BE of 50 and his 31 last week is his best score at fullback this year.
Signs aren't promising. Even if he scores 50 this week I think his BE will be 50+ next week too.

He wasn't in my plans, but I'm looking at Burns as a potential option. He makes a good 18th man option with Ponga who can shift up into the halves if need be.

Just not sure he's worth the trade when I was keeping Lomax for the same purpose.

DaGold wrote:Whilst you're here pain just thought I'd say sorry for knocking you out the eliminator in your first matchup..

Shots fired!

I basically need Watson to miss his BE (around 50) by no more than Jurbo misses his (around 65) for my plans to work out. 

So it seems I'm hoping Jurbo plays limited minutes after Origin or Watson scores a couple of tries. The other possibility, which would probably help Watson's score, is him playing half and Mann fullback with Pearce not backing up.

Firm advocate of not playing matchups, but Watson is playing the Dogs

Really want to wait on trades this round. I can make trades this round With 2k left over. I’ll be filthy if I wait and can’t afford next week.

Welshy wrote:Firm advocate of not playing matchups, but Watson is playing the Dogs

So trade in some Dogs?

Welshy wrote:Firm advocate of not playing matchups, but Watson is playing the Dogs

Dogs have conceded an average of 49.4 points to fullbacks in the last 5 weeks
Those 5 fullbacks have a combined average of 35.5
So going off the last 5 matches, Dogs make fullbacks score 39% more points

WT Winfield wrote:
So trade in some Dogs?

Don't fucking make me gif some Baha Men!!!

Ben Marlin wrote:
Dogs have conceded an average of 49.4 points to fullbacks in the last 5 weeks
Those 5 fullbacks have a combined average of 35.5
So going off the last 5 matches, Dogs make fullbacks score 39% more points

This isnt really an accurate representation when Manu scored 98.

Watson will be up for a big game. Blamed himself for the loss last week.

Pain wrote:Watson will be up for a big game.  Blamed himself for the loss last week.  

Watson is the type of player who will have a 25 minute period where he is in everyone, sparking everything and scoring tries. Hoping that 25 minutes is about 30 and he makes 50 points from it, then can just coast of return metres.

StormTrooper96 wrote:
Watson is the type of player who will have a 25 minute period where he is in everyone, sparking everything and scoring tries. Hoping that 25 minutes is about 30 and he makes 50 points from it, then can just coast of return metres.

For sure. And then I'll end up holding him a week too long after Cook scores 20 and plays like a busted.

What’s the likelihood that Munster is rested? Can’t afford to have any outs this week but I’ll still probably cop some. Bummer

my tv broke wrote:

This isnt really an accurate representation when Manu scored 98.

I just had a look for the whole season over 15 games
Bulldogs have conceded 641 points to fullbacks for an average of 42.7
The averages for all of those fullbacks is only 36.2
Based on these stats, fullbacks score 17.96% more points when playing against the Bulldogs

I think I am trading Watson to Burns and playing him this week to cover TED. Scoring potential feels like a coinflip and cash wise I am better off. Want Burns as 19th man so makes sense and could net me a few extra points.

Ponga for prez wrote:What’s the likelihood that Munster is rested? Can’t afford to have any outs this week but I’ll still probably cop some. Bummer

No halves anywhere in the squad other than if Hughes moves to 6 and pappy starts but very unlikely.

Ponga for prez wrote:What’s the likelihood that Munster is rested? Can’t afford to have any outs this week but I’ll still probably cop some. Bummer

You're only going to get armchair critics making baseless assumptions here but probably not this week. It'll be Smith's 400th and the Sharks generally give them tough games so Bellamy is probably going to want all hands on deck.

They are ahead of the Roosters in 2nd place by a good 3 wins so he's highly likely to be rested at some point but maybe not this week.

DaGold wrote:I think I am trading Watson to Burns and playing him this week to cover TED.  Scoring potential feels like a coinflip and cash wise I am better off.  Want Burns as 19th man so makes sense and could net me a few extra points.

Watson has averaged 19 from his 3 games at fullback this year
Burns has averaged 50.7 from his 3 games at centre this year

I am confident that Burns will outscore Watson for the rest of the season and the trade gives you an extra 189k

I like the trade

Oh damn I'm changing my mind again on getting Burns in which would only leave me with one trade after my final gun is in.

Burns is a good scorer, DPP and if a HLF goes down, Ponga can go there while Burns covers.

I know just one trade for like 6 rounds is stupid as but if I keep the extra trade my 18th man is going to be Robson or Mann lol

Shit though what if there's an injury crisis and I can't trade the guns out for good replacements. Damn this week is going to put the nail in the coffin of my season.