2018 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 1

Dugan no longer injury prone!

https://www.nrl.com/news/2018/01/12/im-not-injury-prone-says-dugan/

Get in my team!

White Lightning wrote:

I forget why but I read Wallace is out in round 1.

Wallace is suspended and literally 2 Titans forwards got injured every game before Origin that boosted his minutes.

White Lightning wrote:@ wackos

The Knights have been running at training a left edge of Pearce, Fitzgibbon, Moga & Ross. Does this mean Fitzgibbon is now locked to start the season? Maybe Guerra misses out & maybe Buhrer will spell Levi at hooker similar to last year when Guerra comes on.

I wouldn't say locked in, but it does seem he is getting first crack.

My guess is

11. Fitzgibbon
12. Guerra
13. Barnett

Buhrer at 9 or 14.

Unfortunately Fitzgibbon is too expensive to be really useful, and he scored a heap of tries last year which I wouldn't bank on him replicating.

Chewie wrote:Dugan no longer injury prone!

https://www.nrl.com/news/2018/01/12/im-not-injury-prone-says-dugan/

Get in my team!

If you read the article, the claim is that if you ignore the 7 injuries he has had over the past 2 years - then he is fit as a fiddle.

Lock him in Eddie.

Welshy wrote:Welshys Player Profiles



Player: Jai Arrow
Club: Gold Coast Titans
Previous Club: Brisbane Broncos
Position: 2RF
Cost: $409,000
2016 average: 23
2017 average: 28
2017 minutes average: 29
Handsomeness rating: 3.5/5 Mitch Aubbussons
Long thought of as the apparent Brisbane lock heir to the fantasy god Corey Parker, Jai Arrow instead decided to pack his bags and head on over to the Gold Coast Titans to fill their vacant 13 position. In short stints off the pine, Arrow showed the ability to be a base stat whizz collecting an average of 18 tackles and 80m, for someone who projects to be playing a far larger role at his new club, Arrow is full of fantasy delight.

Starting 2RF points average: 37 (1 game, 51 minutes)
Wrap up
A move to back to his junior club home with the prospect of playing a far larger role, should present fantasy coaches with a great opportunity to grab an early season cash cow with the potential to turn into something far more, every season presents players who go far beyond their early fantasy season expectations and Arrow has every chance to be in that bracket. I project a role of around 50-65 minutes if Arrow starts in the 13 and remains there, his base stats will keep his floor high.

Predicted 2018 avg - 35-50 points


     
4/5
Welshy Beers

35-50 seems like a wide scope of outcomes.

@Welshy

Jai Arrow
Cameron Murray
Connor Watson
JDB
Hayne
BMoz
Maloney
Matt Scott
Gurgess
Stimson
Aaron Gray
Latu
Cartwright
Hymel Hunt
Whare
Hiku

please add Eisenhuth to that list

Milchcow wrote:

I wouldn't say locked in, but it does seem he is getting first crack.

My guess is

11. Fitzgibbon
12. Guerra
13. Barnett

Buhrer at 9 or 14.

Unfortunately Fitzgibbon is too expensive to be really useful, and he scored a heap of tries last year which I wouldn't bank on him replicating.

Yeah first crack I'd say, this article seems to support that:

http://www.theherald.com.au/story/5163057/fitzgibbon-challenged-to-make-edge-his-own/?cs=2382

Milchcow wrote:
Milne averages over 40 as starting centre. If he secures the spot, he is a bargain.

wow, so he is. I hadn't actually looked at his stats, he's played more games than I thought he had.

@Welshy

Cameron Murray
Connor Watson
JDB
Hayne
BMoz
Maloney
Matt Scott
Gurgess
Stimson
Aaron Gray
Latu
Cartwright
Hymel Hunt
Whare
Hiku
Eisenhuth

I would also like to add my current McChoice McConundrum: Josh McGuire and Jordan McLean

Poor Welshy, this list is getting so long, soon his hobby will seem like work ^_^

Foggy wrote:

Welshy wrote:Welshys Player Profiles



Player: Jai Arrow
Club: Gold Coast Titans
Previous Club: Brisbane Broncos
Position: 2RF
Cost: $409,000
2016 average: 23
2017 average: 28
2017 minutes average: 29
Handsomeness rating: 3.5/5 Mitch Aubbussons
Long thought of as the apparent Brisbane lock heir to the fantasy god Corey Parker, Jai Arrow instead decided to pack his bags and head on over to the Gold Coast Titans to fill their vacant 13 position. In short stints off the pine, Arrow showed the ability to be a base stat whizz collecting an average of 18 tackles and 80m, for someone who projects to be playing a far larger role at his new club, Arrow is full of fantasy delight.

Starting 2RF points average: 37 (1 game, 51 minutes)
Wrap up
A move to back to his junior club home with the prospect of playing a far larger role, should present fantasy coaches with a great opportunity to grab an early season cash cow with the potential to turn into something far more, every season presents players who go far beyond their early fantasy season expectations and Arrow has every chance to be in that bracket. I project a role of around 50-65 minutes if Arrow starts in the 13 and remains there, his base stats will keep his floor high.

Predicted 2018 avg - 35-50 points


     
4/5
Welshy Beers

35-50 seems like a wide scope of outcomes.

Coincidentally, the number of alts some posters have had on here and Sportal sits somewhere in that range as well.

mulvy wrote:

Milchcow wrote:
Milne averages over 40 as starting centre. If he secures the spot, he is a bargain.

wow, so he is. I hadn't actually looked at his stats, he's played more games than I thought he had.

How many tries and TB's were in that? It looks impressive and I can't wait to see what he can do for us, but like you say Mulvy, it's a rough old first couple of months for the Tigers.

SI wrote:

Coincidentally, the number of alts some posters have had on here and Sportal sits somewhere in that range as well.

Am I the only that has a different username than I did at Sportal?

Foggy wrote:

SI wrote:

Coincidentally, the number of alts some posters have had on here and Sportal sits somewhere in that range as well.

Am I the only that has a different username than I did at Sportal?

Nope.

Is Anthony Gelling any good?

Foggy wrote:

35-50 seems like a wide scope of outcomes.

Well yes, much like his role

Welshys Player Profiles



Player: Connor Watson
Club: Newcastle Knights
Previous Club: Sydney Roosters
Position: HLF/HK
Cost: $404,000
2016 average: 27
2017 average: 27
2017 minutes average: 42
Handsomeness rating: 3/5 Mitch Aubbussons

Watson played an ever changing role with the Roosters last year, playing small minutes off the interchange mainly (13 games) sometimes spelling Jake Friend, sometimes coming into the backline to inject something different, he played 6 full matches, 4 at fullback where he really shone and 2 in the halves in place of Pearce who funnily enough followed him to Newcastle. Whilst his role has not yet been seen Watson figures to get first crack at the 6 shirt for the Knights alongside Pearce, where if he remains he should be able to crank out a decent average, his real value could come if star recruit Kayln Ponga is shifted into the centres, and Watson nabs the 1 shirt and Lamb/Cogger get the wheel in the 6 alongside Pearce.

Adjusted points average when playing over 40 minutes: 44 (9 games)
Average starting half: 27.5 (2 games)
Average starting fullback: 49.5 (4 games)
High score: R14 interchange hooker (77 minutes) 74
Low Score when playing 80 minutes: R12 (5/8th) 19

Wrap up
A pre season move to the ever evolving Knights looked set to turn Watson into a decent fantasy option but the addition of Pearce and the reluctance to give up on Lamb and Cogger has cast some doubt on Watsons position in his new club. If he plays in the 6 I would expect his score to pretty much mirror Luke Keary, he just doesn’t kick the ball enough to get the consistent base stats all gun fantasy halves get, so his floor could potentially be low on a poor attacking day at the office, whilst unlikely with Ponga around, if Watson shifts to fullback his value could really take off, his talent will elevate him to a bigger role at the knights but its tough to judge his true position and thus fantasy value at Newcastle this early in the season.
predicted 2018 avg - 35-45 points



3/5 Welshy beers

I'm sure my team will change 1000 times before the season proper but what does everyone think of my first draft team with 6k remaining

Smith
RCG Evans
Harris Murray Cartwright
Moses Croker
Milne Hiku
Tedesco Ponga Gray

JBrom
Lichaa
JGraham
Arrow
Watson
Kikau
Garvey
Brimson

Obviously a lot of variables but I'm interested to hear what people think. @Welshy loving the player profiles too mate

danseels1985 wrote:I'm sure my team will change 1000 times before the season proper but what does everyone think of my first draft team with 6k remaining

Smith
RCG Evans
Harris Murray Cartwright
Moses Croker
Milne Hiku
Tedesco Ponga Gray

JBrom
Lichaa
JGraham
Arrow
Watson
Kikau
Garvey
Brimson

Obviously a lot of variables but I'm interested to hear what people think. @Welshy loving the player profiles too mate

With the new rules on fantasy interchange I for one am happy that we will see a few different tactics and team set ups to begin the season, that interchange is nice mate, I'm going to create some teams today with the same thought process