NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 47

Okay so a run down on my season:

Rank
Rd 2 2,651
Rd 4 12,327
Rd 9 5,904

Sharp fall and slow rise back up. I'll be happy to get back into the top 2000. Injuries have effed me up and bought Farah and RTS recently which now seem unwise with timing etc.

Bit stuck for trades. Who do I trade in as a cash out so I can bring a gun in? Should I get Smith? I've got 20 trades and $145k

Cook
Tolman Haas
Arrow Murray Lawrie
Munster Morgan
Nikora Xerri
Ponga CNK RTS

Farah Rein Burr Garner

Bird Burns Dearden Herbert

Cold on ARey because I think he plays Origin now.

Ponga to halves, Teddy in?
ARey in?
Smith in?
Fifita in? (Cash still to lose)

Rippin and Tearin wrote:

Interesting!

So correct me if Im wrong, but given the formula for pricing uses the MN as a multiplier on the most recent 5 games, if the MN is decreasing (and does so in a similar way every year) this means, all else equal, prices rises are now smaller than they otherwise would beat the start of the year, for any given series of scores.

Eg I just plugged Youngs scores in. He makes $65k this week (up $73k overall) if the MN had been stable at 15,000 whereas his actual rise this week was $58k (up $59 overall).

If you want to see the effect. Bailey Simonsson, Lachlan Lam and Liam Martin all scored 28 points in their first game if the year, in rounds 1, 2, and 3 respectively.

They went up $16k, $15k and $14k.

Magic number has been relatively stable since round 4, so price rises from here on in should be about the same (bye rounds will be really low as the salary on the field per game takes a big drop due to origin players all being out)

StormTrooper96 wrote:

BE of 48 which he has only cracked twice this year (68 Rd1, 50 Rd4) I can only see him losing money.

(Sold him a few weeks ago)

he wont lose enough money by round 13 to really make him a priority trade imo... unless you have no other issues in your team he is a hold for now.

my tv broke wrote:Thought this might happen

Adam Jackson
@AdamJackson_9
James Roberts still not back training with Broncos NRL squad, despite Jack Bird injury. Shibasaki training in the centres and Isaako recalled to the wing.
@9NewsQueensland

my tv broke wrote:Thought this might happen

Adam Jackson
@AdamJackson_9
James Roberts still not back training with Broncos NRL squad, despite Jack Bird injury. Shibasaki training in the centres and Isaako recalled to the wing.
@9NewsQueensland

Something is going on off the field. Did Roberts knock Siebold out or something.

White Lightning wrote:All Origin players want to back up for their clubs after origin & origin players have said they prefer their club game within 1-2 days post origin as their bodies feel good. It's when the club game is 3-4 days post origin that their bodies start feeling it & that's when they feel the bumps & bruises. The affect on the body from origin & how player's feel physically is backed up by science as well as they've done studies into this.

Yep, this is the feedback from a few of the players, and as you say Science agrees.

Keary should never play origin, end of story. A Blues jersey isn't a pay check, it's a way of life. Fuck that banana loving cane toad right off.

White Lightning wrote:

Something is going on off the field. Did Roberts knock Siebold out or something.

Nah, definitely a hamstring strain, had to get carried off.

my tv broke wrote:

I don't think Siebold wants him at the club due to general attitude. Broncos have basically said they will let him go if someone wants him.

I've read some comments in various forums that apparently Roberts doesn't like Siebold but it's all rumour.

Mr peanutbutter wrote:Moving up the ranks. Up to 1309 after going as low as 5000 around a month ago when everyone and their dog got over 1k. Score for the week was 944. Only thing i regret is switching Mahoney to Sivo last minute instead of playing Young but still happy with my score overall.

Only trade ive made so far this week is my dumbass move of CHT to A.Taylor... Waiting to hear the word on Hughes before deciding if i double trade this week but have $550k itb so can get anyone for him. Just tryna not burn through trades so tryna find good r12 options. thinking Wighton or Walker.

The Mahoney switch could have been a master stroke. I never considered switching him out as still expected 65 minutes for a 50.

I think Fittler picks ARey. He's been in form all season and he's already got a good relationship with Cook so it makes sense. Seems silly to pick an out form player due to incumbency. If that was his perogative, he wouldn't have blooded 11 new players last year

No Worries wrote:

Nah, definitely a hamstring strain, had to get carried off.

I forgot Roberts is a piss head & from that picture not a very good one.

No Worries wrote:Keary should never play origin, end of story. A Blues jersey isn't a pay check, it's a way of life. Fuck that banana loving cane toad right off.

Agreed, he should never play for NSW. Some gems from 2014:

Keary has met with NRL head of football Todd Greenberg and wrote a formal letter to the NRL outlining why he should be deemed eligible for Queensland.

Meninga said “Luke wants to play for Queensland, he’s a passionate Queenslander."

No Worries wrote:

Nah, definitely a hamstring strain, had to get carried off.

Pretty shit someone took this photo and then leaked it. It's interesting how sensationalized media is in Oz. Hope whoever it was gets socially outcast

Reklaw wrote:

Rippin and Tearin wrote:

Are you 2nd overall? Fantastic effort if you are!!

I like the trades, but would love to see your full squad before commenting further.

For now haha, there isn't much in it at the top. Just a few points between second and 50th. First bye round should hurt me.

Have $469k ITB too, so inclined to spend. Maybe Kapow + a gun half is the better play. Chase the remaining 500k needed for final team post origin.

Team is:

Cook
Fifi Haas
Murray Arrow Lolo
Arey Carty
Nikora Xerri
RTS Ponga CNK

Rein Twal Tolman Lawrie
Burr Dearden Sivo Lomax

Have you made up your mind on strategy? As in finish final team ASAP or fill positions for Bye points? I reckon I’d be tempted to gather best team as early as possible?