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    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 5

    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy on Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:01 pm

    MTBs Site - Stats, BE, Match Centre, Interchange Times, Price Predictor[/b]
    http://www.footystatistics.com/

    MTB's team builder
    http://footystatistics.com/team_planner_2020.php


    Excel links


    Milchcow's excel solver
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/kcuwhduwp4n227e/2020_Fantasy_Solver_v1.0.xlsm/file

    Milchcow's team planner
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/pj9xsl5oxf2rgwd/2020_Team_Planner_v0.1.xlsx/file

    arsen's excel
    http://www.mediafire.com/file/3tr3at0u11gg7mo/NRL_Fantasy_2020.xlsx/file

    mattnz's excel sheet
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/ez4a4ipfe11s4h5/2020_players_updated.xlsx/file

    Steve Nicholls (RNGD Analytics) excel database
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/mxuesns6qcmu9qc/RFS_2014-19_Data_%28v1.0%29.xlsm/file


    2020 BYE PLANNER

    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 5 MXmc9V9

    Player Prices  

    https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1127-2020-prices

    Price change formula

    New Price = 0.75 * old price + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

    Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

    G1 = most recent game
    G2 = game before that
    G3 = game before that
    Etc

    Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average
    Verbal Kint
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    Post by Verbal Kint on Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:04 pm

    Oh man, 2 seconds late to post some gifs
    Bethany_B
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    Post by Bethany_B on Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:14 pm

    Thoughts on RTS as a POD? I feel like he'll come out firing, all the Warriors attack goes through him
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking on Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:16 pm

    LB is back!! cheer
    No Worries
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    Post by No Worries on Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:21 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    If the Storm are leading comfortably though they may pull him off with 11-12mins left in some games.

    @Goodnight Kiwi wrote:Quite the window you have there Suspect

    lol! lol!
    pingu lives in our hearts
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    Post by pingu lives in our hearts on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:24 pm

    Does anyone have a list of the players who’s prices have been seemingly subjectively increase? The ‘fanhub tax’ ?
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:28 pm

    Titans 9's Squad: Brimson, Don, Peachey, Pearson, Sami, Boyd, Taylor, Whitbread, Rein, Stone, Cartwright, Joliffe, Arrow, Leleisiuao, Spry, Clark, Farmer, Gordon

    Cowboys 9's Squad: Bell, Clifford, Drinkwater, Dunn, Feldt, Granville, Hess, Hola, Lemuelu, Marsters, McGuire, Opacic, Robson, Russell, Tabuai-Fidow, Taulagi, Taumalolo, Wright
    lukeaye
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    Post by lukeaye on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:30 pm

    @Bethany_B wrote:Thoughts on RTS as a POD? I feel like he'll come out firing, all the Warriors attack goes through him

    Warriors will suck again, which makes his life very hard.

    I also think the fact he has had to play so many home games hurts his scoring, always so wet and slippery. If he played in Sydney or QLD, more dry home games.
    Every time I tune into a Warriors home game, it looks like he will be lucky to keep his feet planted.

    So in short, I see very little upside, and there is plenty of value down back this year.

    Rapture_NRL
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    Post by Rapture_NRL on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:31 pm

    @Bethany_B wrote:Thoughts on RTS as a POD? I feel like he'll come out firing, all the Warriors attack goes through him

    He's improved on every season he's played with the Warriors, both with consistency and with averages.

    Interestingly, when playing alongside CHT, his low scores were 32, 33, 33 and 35 (one coming back from injury). Including those scores, he averages 58.1 when playing with CHT. Slightly underpriced if CHT gets the gig


    Last edited by Rapture_NRL on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:38 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:31 pm

    @pingu lives in our hearts wrote:Does anyone have a list of the players who’s prices have been seemingly subjectively increase? The ‘fanhub tax’ ?

    mattnz's excel sheet (see above in the first post) should give you what you need there.
    Rapture_NRL
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    Post by Rapture_NRL on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:37 pm

    @lukeaye wrote:

    Warriors will suck again, which makes his life very hard.

    I also think the fact he has had to play so many home games hurts his scoring, always so wet and slippery. If he played in Sydney or QLD, more dry home games.
    Every time I tune into a Warriors home game, it looks like he will be lucky to keep his feet planted.

    So in short, I see very little upside, and there is plenty of value down back this year.


    He averaged 51 regardless. Warriors sucking won't be an issue. Them sucking is probably an advantage as he's forces to create
    White Lightning
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    Post by White Lightning on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:52 pm

    @ Rapture - I'd rather go Ponga over RTS because he'll be gk plus the Knights play the Warriors (h) in round 1 so Ponga will go boom.
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    Post by WT2K on Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:58 pm

    With John Bateman’s recent shoulder surgery being fit for Rd1 is a best-case scenario, but there are fears he is more likely to miss several weeks (reports of up to 5wks via @Super_Couch). Bateman himself is aiming for a Rd1 return at this stage.
    https://twitter.com/nrlphysio/status/1226731889773252610?s=19
    pingu lives in our hearts
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    Post by pingu lives in our hearts on Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:00 pm

    @Mulvy wrote:

    mattnz's excel sheet (see above in the first post) should give you what you need there.

    Ok thanks
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    Post by my tv broke on Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:09 pm

    Unless I've effed something up, list of players who have received the highest fanhub tax:

    Blayke Brailey 137550
    Aidan Guerra 76050
    Shaun Johnson 64350
    Peni Terepo 57550
    Joseph Tapine 54350
    Jamayne Isaako 53400
    Daniel Alvaro 51900
    Herman Ese'ese 51300
    Ryan Papenhuyzen 46100
    Coen Hess 43250
    Raymond Faitala-Mariner 38950
    Ben Hampton 36950
    Jaydn Su'A 33550
    Ashley Taylor 32450
    Blake Ferguson 31750
    Isaah Yeo 30700
    Apisai Koroisau 30450
    Tino Faasuamaleaui 30300
    Waqa Blake 29850
    Robert Jennings 29200
    Damien Cook 28850
    Sione Katoa 28800
    Reuben Garrick 27300
    Jazz Tevaga 26650
    Nick Cotric 26450
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    Post by WT2K on Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:19 pm

    Warriors 9s Squad: Leeson Ah Mau, Rocco Berry, Jackson Frei, Blake Green, Chanel Harris-Tavita, Temple Kalepo, Adam Keighran, Edward Kosi, Sam Lisone, Ken Maumalo, Taane Milne, Agnatius Paasi, Isaiah Papalli (c), Hayze Perham, Leivaha Pulu, Selesitino Ravutaumada, Jamayne Taunoa-Brown, Paul Turner
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms on Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:22 pm

    Haven't thrown up a draft for a while so this is what I'm currently on

    Cook
    McGuire, Knight/Mofo/Merrin
    Taumalolo, Lowe, Su'a
    Moses, Mann
    Best, Watkins
    Papenhuyzen, Brimson, Nuff

    Friend, Koroisau, Brailey, Stimson

    Grant, Luai, Nuff, Nuff

    Currently I have Saab, Musgrove and Kepaoa filling those spots but TLT dependent
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy on Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:56 pm

    @multiple.scoregasms wrote:Haven't thrown up a draft for a while so this is what I'm currently on

    Cook
    McGuire, Knight/Mofo/Merrin
    Taumalolo, Lowe, Su'a
    Moses, Mann
    Best, Watkins
    Papenhuyzen, Brimson, Nuff

    Friend, Koroisau, Brailey, Stimson

    Grant, Luai, Nuff, Nuff

    Currently I have Saab, Musgrove and Kepaoa filling those spots but TLT dependent

    Nicely balanced I say. Haven't seen many Cook teams but I think he'll score just as well this year. I have four out of five of your guns. You could put Grant up to starting to fund a midrange upgrade but not sure it would really help that much tbh. I'd still prefer Lomax over either of your centres, but you know that already.
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms on Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:58 pm

    @Mulvy wrote:

    Nicely balanced I say. Haven't seen many Cook teams but I think he'll score just as well this year. I have four out of five of your guns. You could put Grant up to starting to fund a midrange upgrade but not sure it would really help that much tbh. I'd still prefer Lomax over either of your centres, but you know that already.

    Yep the extra cash from Watkins instead of Lomax funded the upgrade to McGuire so now I only need to find one FRF
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    Post by Rapture_NRL on Mon Feb 10, 2020 5:00 pm

    @White Lightning wrote:@ Rapture - I'd rather go Ponga over RTS because he'll be gk plus the Knights play the Warriors (h) in round 1 so Ponga will go boom.

    Can't really go wrong with either but RTS doesn't play origin so he'll play an extra 2 games at least

      Current date/time is Thu Apr 09, 2020 3:51 am