2018 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 5

Another draft if any mone is keen.

Tonight at 845 NZ time, 2 spots left

Dttragic2016 wrote:Reposting as I didnt get a response:
Thoughts on Merrin, Munster and Jo Manu? Also what are people expecting from Watson?

And are you conscious of having too many origin players? Got 2 or 3 atm and conscious of adding to that myself.

Merrin - usually a slow starter points wise & best to buy after origin but reports that he is training the house down. If you want to be conservative pass on but if you're a risk taker then take the plunge.
Munster - he is a gun & a great running half & is busy in defense so he gets 20 odd tackles, a few tb's & high run metres per game. He isn't cheap though & plays origin
Joseph Manu - could be a good pod with the Roosters early draw which should see a lot of tries scored. I think he's on Cronk's side so he could benefit.

I have Smith & Tedesco as origin players but I don't see any problem having 3-4 because there is plenty of time to trade a couple out.
I don't have Watson in my team atm because I think Pearce will get most of the ball & Watson will be living off the scraps but he is cheap so he will be a useful enabler for dearer players & should score 30 odd points which is ok.

Nofzilla wrote:A couple of decisions to settle.
JLeilua V Inglis
NAS and 228 player V Connor Watson and Kane Evans (Evans will be emergency 18)

Thanks in advance

I would go with GI's track record of fantasy scores

Although NAS looks promising as a player, I don't think he'll go up by much fantasy wise.
Watson should do OK as a cash cow and I think will be of better fantasy value. I don't expect too much from Evans... but I could be wrong

Since the airCroft seems to have taken off can someone post what average he is priced at? ($558k)

code delta wrote:Since the airCroft seems to have taken off can someone post what average he is priced at? ($558k)

38 points

That's economy rates for a business class seat

Chewie wrote:

38 points

That's economy rates for a business class seat

How do you calculate that Chewie. What's the magic number. Cheers.

Mark Gasnier just said Leilua is in genuine competition with Tariq Sims for starting 2nd row spot.

I assume he has some sort of inside knowledge at the Dragons to not be talking complete shite

Magic number is around 14640

Use 15,000 for in the head calculations, its close enough.

White Lightning wrote:

Yes that is correct. Milchy has previously made the point that forced drop outs aren't reflected in the prices of all halves since it is a new scoring category in 2018.

Never though of it like that. Could be a case for stacking the 14-21 with people who will force line drop outs when playing rather than hookers. Anyone made a team like this yet?

GreenMachine wrote:

Cheers Arch... dropped Graham to Brom and got myself Gagai for Fat Hayne

Thats actually a really good shout.

Buramada wrote:

Never though of it like that. Could be a case for stacking the 14-21 with people who will force line drop outs when playing rather than hookers. Anyone made a team like this yet?

For an extra 2-3 points per player? Other people are underpriced by more.

Milchcow wrote:Magic number is around 14640

Use 15,000 for in the head calculations, its close enough.

Thanks Milchy

White Lightning wrote:

Forced drop outs 2017
Widdop 162
Green 150
Moses 126
A-Rey 126
Townsend 126
A. Taylor 126
DCE 114
Norman 114
Morgan 102
Cleary 96
SJ 96
Milford 96
Frawley 78
B. Hunt 78
Cronk 72
Keary 72
Moylan 72
Pearce 66

Forced drop out are usually from teams that struggle to score tries. The top teams don't have to rely on them because they score tries more easily so don't have to rely that much on repeat sets.

Thats why there isn't a single raider on that list... not because our halves are woeful at getting repeat sets

Ok first look at the raiders halves hooker merry-go-round and forward rotation lucky dip, coming up!

Sims doing himself no favours

Not sure if this team is too top heavy in the forwards as it means I can't squeeze in Tedesco as this team is right on the cap. Opinions please lads:

Smith
Fifita Bromwich
Brown Murray RFM
Croft Cartwright
Milne Hiku
CWalker Ponga Katoa

Lichaa
NAS
Arrow
Lodge

Garvey
Croker
Magoulias
Kennar

Lichaa first (dubious) try scorer. Williams starting half Austin bench.

Lichaa

Don't like him but Klemmer is playing very well so far, plenty of strong runs early

Also refs seem super quick to blow the whistle if there is a hand anywhere near the ball once a player gets up, not sure if its been the same in other games