Zigged when you should of zigged and came up trumps!
Did you captain him?
Great work mate
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GreenSchist wrote:Rd 9
Overall Rank/Score = 3/8329
Round Rank/Score = 917/973
CAPTAIN: Hynes (95 Points)
Squad Value = $13.20M
Trades Remaining: 17
973 points for the week, in large part due to my last minute trade to bring in Hynes and captain him. Made the move as I didn't trust Cleary as Captain due to his lingering injury and the forecast wet weather.
Worked out well and managed to survive having Haas on the bench.
I'm managing to hold steady at the top, with this being my 5th consecutive week inside the Top 5. Shout out to both ET and Booze who are both doing fantastically well right there behind me. The only negative is that I continue to burn through my trades, with none banked and that's not looking to change this week either.
Gonna try lose some dead weight and offload Couchman. Forecasting my bye plans, both Sele and Walsh are likely trade outs by Round 13, so I'm pulling the trigger early to enable JDB. Tossed up between him and Bird last week, with the intention of grabbing the other before 13, and potentially mad the wrong call. Not costly, correcting that now. Sele out is a big call but I'm happy with it. No doubt will go against the consensus but I just can't hold him through Origin as I need the roster spot and with him looking more likely for Origin (and Ponga less so) sacrifices need to be made. He also becomes surplus to requirements with my intention to bring in Bula.
OUT: Couch, Sele, Walsh
IN: JDB, Tatola, Bula
A Hosking to Hopgood trade for Round 13 is the only remaining trade I have planned before Origin, which will leave me at 13 remaining. Not ideal but I am comfortable with where my team is at. Being smarter with my trade post Origin should leave me in good stead for a strong run home.
Current team (pre trades):
Haas, Ford, Sele
Hynes (C), Cleary
Manu, Bula, Tedesco
Preston, SJ, Walsh, B.Smith,
Couchman, S.Luke, Oloapu, Miller
Cheers mate!Contrastinghobby wrote:
Good looking team, can't argue with any of this based on how you are running this year
Maybe the Tatola trade given his injury troubles but he is an upgrade on playing sele so worth the gamble
GreenSchist wrote:As mentioned above, Couch and Walsh are likely outs this week. I think Bula is one lock but getting cold feet on JDB post TLT.
Obviously a lot of uncertainty around Origin selections atm, with Horse, Hopgood, JDB all being thrown around as potential options. A low BE for all three guys means the time is ripe to bring them in. These trades may appear sideways but they are critical to my bye planning. As such, I have a few options.
Walsh + Preston—> (Two of) JDB/Horse/Hopgood
Walsh + Hosking —> (Two of) JDB/Horse/Hopgood (with an eye to bring in Tatola in the future)
So is it Option 1 or 2, and which 2 of Hopgood, Horse and JDB to bring in.
I’m usually quite confident with my trades but genuinely stuck on this one and would greatly appreciate peoples 2c.
GarethEllisismyDad wrote:Firstly I see no chance of Hopgood horse or jdb playing origin, so I wouldn’t worry about that
Hopgood has the highest ceiling, best bye schedule, playing all the major byes, and has dual, so he is the primo option
So that leave jdb vs horsbruh, I have been super surprised that both of these players have been getting such huge minutes, if I had to guess I’d say horse is the one who’s longer minutes is likely to continue, just because the lock role lends itself to big mins and dragons prop woes mean de belin will spend much time there
Jdb has the less spectacular scoring, and is more consistent, horsbruh might have the occasional error strewn or lower one, but has the higher ceiling of the two,
I think horse has more money to make and is cheaper right now so that entices me
They are similar so go with whichever one you like watching most, I’m trading in horse this week and have slight preference to him over jdb, but there’s nothing in the data that I can see that makes him better, I think I might be influenced by the fact that Canberra are the better team and have an slightly easier schedule, so will win more games (it’s hard for de belin to get points standing behind his posts)
One final thing is hooks days are numbered, what will the new coach do when he comes in and dragons seasons implodes, Ricky is somewhat untrustworthy but horses last 3 games have been pretty consistent
Who to trade out? Hosking or Preston
Both have high break evens, both average well, Hosking is less owned in the top teams, 77% to 93%, Hosking plays for the better team, but bulldogs have shown they are capable on their day and have an easier 3 game schedule,
I own both and will face this conundrum in a couple of rds
I think the fact Hosking plays for panthers would lead me to keep him, though I do get a nagging job security issue with him, garner and Martin still exist and salmon seems to be spelling one of the 2nd rowers every game, maybe it’s hoskings turn this week
Preston might go gang busters in the next 3 games
Flip a coin, who do you prefer, I’d slightly head toward trading Preston out, it’s razor thin
mrbrownstone wrote:I prefer selling Preston to Hosking and JDB at prop rather than lock has me a bit spooked.
His career average at lock (54.1 in 62.9 mins) is a lot better than his career numbers at prop (45.6 in 54.4 mins). I can't see him continuing to play 80 with Su'a and Bird also eating up big mins.
I'd agree with the above and rank them Hopgood, Hors, JDB in that order.
Although given our respective ranks you should probably trust your gut and do the opposite of whatever I say
StuDogg101 wrote:Fwiw it's worth I'd sell Preston over Hosking too, but as mrbownstone mentioned, our comparative ranks make any advice seem silly but even so, option 1 with Horse and Hoppy looks good to me
Yes, it does. I have more confidence in him maintaining a 65-70 min role going forward tho, than I do think Davey or Greig have big minute roles in them. Time will tell whether it’s a value move but I’m happy taking it as a by planning move only, even if he makes no money. I really can’t see him dropping down from where he is priced atm. He’s valued at about mid 40’s, and as a young rookie, I think it’s just taken BA time to figure out how to best utilise him going forward.Shady2K wrote:Does Hopgood not scare you with Eels forward lottery? Guess he’s a better chance of minutes with RCG injured?
Yes, it does. I have more confidence in him maintaining a 65-70 min role going forward tho, than I do think Davey or Greig have big minute roles in them. Time will tell whether it’s a value move but I’m happy taking it as a by planning move only, even if he makes no money. I really can’t see him dropping down from where he is priced atm. He’s valued at about mid 40’s, and as a young rookie, I think it’s just taken BA time to figure out how to best utilise him going forward.