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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 23 - Flegler is the real moreton bay bug

    Shumway
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    Post by Shumway Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:31 am

    Loomer wrote:

    Burton scored same as Cleary in team that got thrashed

    So do you reckon Cleary owners should trade to Burton to free up the extra $400k and get the same point going forward?
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:38 am

    Shumway wrote:

    So do you reckon Cleary owners should trade to Burton to free up the extra $400k and get the same point going forward?

    Not who you are responded too, but I wouldn't trade out Cleary or Burton if I held them

    I have neither but I'll be looking to trade both of them in over the next month or so.

    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:38 am

    robelgordo wrote:

    He’s the 15th highest averaging EDG this season, but 3 are under an injury cloud, and 1 is suspended, so I also make it exactly 10 better picks than him lol

    Ipap - 100k more expensive but no doubt a keeper. If cash wasn't a concern this would be the no brainer pick
    Curran - Similar price range and firmly on the radar. Closing in on the time where job security is a concern with Tohu due back in a few weeks
    Wilton - Job security a concern with both Graham due back and Talakai performing better
    Frizell - Proven over many years to be just below keeper level. Origin certainty. Started strong last year before tappering off as well
    Fermor - Unsustainable try scoring streak. Base similar to 2021 starts but front loaded the tries
    Tago - Is a centre averaging 1 try and 1 turnover per game. Inflated tackle count first 2 weeks
    TPJ - On the radar for ~50k less
    Arrow - Looks closer to a 40 point guy than 50 point guy with minutes decreasing last 2 weeks
    Butcher - Temporary starter with fantasy pedigree. If he holds the spot I might regret not taking the risk
    CHN - Many years of history show he is a below 50 scorer at EDG
    Nikora - Slight increase in base but not enough to warrant keeper territory
    Hudson Young - Proven fantasy scorer when starting. Whitehead move to middle might make him live up to potential. Too much of a gamble for me but wouldn't be surprised if he was top 5 end of season
    Fifita - Career average of 60 as a starting second rower. Boosted by lots of tries last season but has averaged mid to high 50s every other year

    Some other guys might have been better than Fifita to start the year but moving forward they are either too expensive (Ipap), have poor job security (Wilton, Butcher) or have proven not to score as well (Frizell, Fermor, CHN, Nikora). Only others in contention IMO are Curran, TPJ and Hudson Young for those that like a punt
    SoylentGreen
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    Post by SoylentGreen Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:43 am

    Was Jaxson Paulo injured?
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:44 am

    SoylentGreen wrote:Was Jaxson Paulo injured?

    Yep, HIA ruled him out
    Moanaman
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    Post by Moanaman Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:46 am

    That banner is Fire!!!!
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:52 am


    FYI Liverpool_Bulldog is responsible for the banner, send love and upvotes his way
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:55 am

    Milchcow wrote:
    FYI Liverpool_Bulldog is responsible for the banner, send love and upvotes his way

    LB page 51 party??????
    Mr Snrub
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    Post by Mr Snrub Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:57 am

    Shumway wrote:

    So do you reckon Cleary owners should trade to Burton to free up the extra $400k and get the same point going forward?

    They're not suggesting that. It's just that Cleary might not be an urgent trade to tear your team apart for when he probably stands to lose a decent amount of cash.
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:57 am

    That banner is sick
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:57 am

    Just on Arrow keep in mind that he did play 20mins at centre last week, if he just stayed in middle he probs scores 55 I don’t think he’s a sell yet. We have an easier run coming too could be good for his scoring. I think he’s a hold another week.
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:58 am

    wolfking wrote:

    LB page 51 party??????

    can do
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:59 am

    Yay Sexton lost a point now on 25. Fmd
    BCT05
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    Post by BCT05 Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:01 am

    It's tricky with Cleary, I tend to just want to get him in this week for peace of mind. Could definitely wait for him to ideally lose more cash but he could of course go huge this week also. Not sure I want to take the risk waiting
    mrbrownstone
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    Post by mrbrownstone Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:03 am

    Feel like it's reactionary in the extreme to want to get rid of DiFi this early. Hasn't even crossed my mind. He'll come right, always has these little runs in him.

    In 2019, his first 4 starts in the second row saw scores of: 43, 49, 36, 59. 4-round average of 46.75, went on to average 57.

    In 2020, he had a 4 game stretch of 65, 48, 41, 30. 4 round average of 46, still averaged 55 for the year.

    Last year, he had a 4 game stretch of 43, 69, 26, and 30. 4-round average of 42, still averaged 66.6 for the year.

    Currently has a 4-round average of 46, history suggests he'll score a few tries and end up averaging mid 50s at least. Patience.
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:05 am

    mrbrownstone wrote:Feel like it's reactionary in the extreme to want to get rid of DiFi this early. Hasn't even crossed my mind. He'll come right, always has these little runs in him.

    In 2019, his first 4 starts in the second row saw scores of: 43, 49, 36, 59. 4-round average of 46.75, went on to average 57.

    In 2020, he had a 4 game stretch of 65, 48, 41, 30. 4 round average of 46, still averaged 55 for the year.

    Last year, he had a 4 game stretch of 43, 69, 26, and 30. 4-round average of 42, still averaged 66.6 for the year.

    Currently has a 4-round average of 46, history suggests he'll score a few tries and end up averaging mid 50s at least. Patience.

    Yeah he's a hold for me
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:05 am

    Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:Yay Sexton lost a point now on 25. Fmd

    Naturally, 25 is the new 17
    Just ask Tuilagi, Leo Thompson, Erin Clarke, Old Fifita and now Sexy
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    Post by Chewie Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:06 am

    easytiger wrote:

    Naturally, 25 is the new 17
    Just ask Tuilagi, Leo Thompson, Erin Clarke, Old Fifita and now Sexy

    yep I've got 4 of those
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    Post by Chewie Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:09 am

    Everyone has Papy on here right?
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    Post by easytiger Mon Apr 04, 2022 11:09 am

    Yeah, Fifita is almost certainly a hold at this point.
    I'm not sure he's a buy just yet.

    If he say drops down to about $720k, that probably puts him priced at a mid 50's average, which is what he has averaged in 2 of the last 3 years.

    Maybe, he'll bounce back to last years numbers, or maybe the rule tweaks are allowing teams to be more organised around their oppositions key attacking targets (e.g. Fifita, Turbo).

    As the game starts to open up more, those key guys likely become more fantasy relevant.

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