NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 78 - I can see Cleary now Mitch Rein has gone

Stupid question - but are all the games taking place in the order listed this weekend? There have been no lats minute reschedules with the covid bubble

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Hmm that’s interesting. Thoughts on these trades?

Brailey > Smith
Fog > DCE
Moses > Murray
Hynes > Cleary

Leaves me 3 trades

What would your final team be?

Cleary + DCE beats Moses and Fog

Smith beats Hynes (if dropped)

Murray either matches or betters Brailey so looks good to me

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Hmm that’s interesting. Thoughts on these trades?

Brailey > Smith
Fog > DCE
Moses > Murray
Hynes > Cleary

Leaves me 3 trades

I like them.

Milchcow wrote:
Stupid question - but are all the games taking place in the order listed this weekend? There have been no lats minute reschedules with the covid bubble

Yeah i heard Vlandys say that the draw is the draw so apart from the location and 10-15 mins starting time difference for double headers i wouldn't expect major changes.

StormTrooper96 wrote:https://www.nrl.com/news/2021/07/21/robinsons-tough-news-for-morris-praise-for-smith/

For those looking for a cheap centre. Billy Smith is 282K and sounds like he has the spot over Morris now.

This is absolutely click bait. "Morris has played a lot of games in a row and is down on his usual form". "He is down a bit of his standards so needs a rest, get back to training and back to working on what he needs to do".

Morris will be starting back at centre by round 22

Tossing up for 17th man this week
TU: AFB
TD: SJ

6 trades left, 525k in the bank

Brailey
Crichton, IPap, Haas
Matterson, Fifita
Hunt, SJ
Avo, Bird
Walsh, Turbo, Teddy

CHN, Watson, Hynes, Verrills

Schoupp, Moses, Tolman, Roberts

6 trades isn't a lot but it's more than a few coaches have so I think I should use one to get Mahoney or Murray in. I'm inclined to hold Moses and even Tolman to be honest. Former could be back next week and the latter is only a week out. Inclined to get rid of Roberts and just assess which two of the 600k range players I use to get Cleary in.

Could also take the hit for the week playing Verrills and hope Cleary is back next week.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

This is absolutely click bait. "Morris has played a lot of games in a row and is down on his usual form". "He is down a bit of his standards so needs a rest, get back to training and back to working on what he needs to do".

Morris will be starting back at centre by round 22

Well there you go. I'm at work so didn't watch the video

Could also just be a nice way to say he is dropped.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

This is absolutely click bait. "Morris has played a lot of games in a row and is down on his usual form". "He is down a bit of his standards so needs a rest, get back to training and back to working on what he needs to do".

Morris will be starting back at centre by round 22

I believe it's more like, Morris is getting old and we want to give Billy a bit more experience in 1st grade.

But yeah, expect Morris to be back in the not to distant future

Is Murray worth the $75k premium over AFB?

StormTrooper96 wrote:

What would your final team be?

Cleary + DCE beats Moses and Fog

Smith beats Hynes (if dropped)

Murray either matches or betters Brailey so looks good to me

Final team would be something like

Mahoney
Haas, Murray, Lodge
Fifita, Schuster
Cleary, DCE
Olam, Burton
Teddy, Pappy, Mitchell

SJ, Radley, Walsh, Schuster
Arey, Watson, Smith, Verrills

With 3 trades for the last 5 weeks, but some good depth

Instead of Billy I could also do Schoup

If I am in R2 of the eliminator does that mean I don't start until next week?

StormTrooper96 wrote:If I am in R2 of the eliminator does that mean I don't start until next week?

Bang on

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Final team would be something like

Mahoney
Haas, Murray, Lodge
Fifita, Schuster
Cleary, DCE
Olam, Burton
Teddy, Pappy, Mitchell

SJ, Radley, Walsh, Schuster
Arey, Watson, Smith, Verrills

With 3 trades for the last 5 weeks, but some good depth

Instead of Billy I could also do Schoup

You have Schuster in edge and on the bench

Daveboy wrote:

You have Schuster in edge and on the bench

Exchange one for Wilton

StormTrooper96 wrote:If I am in R2 of the eliminator does that mean I don't start until next week?

subtle brag

StormTrooper96 wrote:If I am in R2 of the eliminator does that mean I don't start until next week?

Yes, you have played every game this season and we need to make sure you are fresh heading into the finals. Have a week off

I'm starting to lean towards selling Moses this week.

Aside from uncertainty as to whether he is back next week (2.5 weeks after injury, with a reported typical recovery time of 3-5 weeks) and it being a pain management issue - he's never particularly struck me as a high-pain threshold guy (I may be wrong/jaded on that one).

But the other thing that motivates me a little is;
Moses when the Eels win: 64.5 (based on his PPM in wins)
Moses when the Eels lose: 47

I recall it was a similar story the last couple of years as well.

Moses upcoming fixtures:
Roosters (should W)
Rabbitohs (50/50?)
Sea Eagles (possible L)
Cowboys (W - no offence Cowboys)
Storm (likely L)
Panthers (likely L)

If there's any additional risk of being rested early, or even a drop in performance due to the injury then he could be a bit of an underperformer (I just recall his ongoing ankle-related issue last year).
It's probably a bit of a luxury trade still - if he ends up averaging 40's it's not the end of the world - but there's a real temptation to turn him into DCE

easytiger wrote:I'm starting to lean towards selling Moses this week.

Aside from uncertainty as to whether he is back next week (2.5 weeks after injury, with a reported typical recovery time of 3-5 weeks) and it being a pain management issue - he's never particularly struck me as a high-pain threshold guy (I may be wrong/jaded on that one).

But the other thing that motivates me a little is;
Moses when the Eels win: 64.5 (based on his PPM in wins)
Moses when the Eels lose: 47

I recall it was a similar story the last couple of years as well.

Moses upcoming fixtures:
Roosters (should W)
Rabbitohs (50/50?)
Sea Eagles (possible L)
Cowboys (W - no offence Cowboys)
Storm (likely L)
Panthers (likely L)

If there's any additional risk of being rested early, or even a drop in performance due to the injury then he could be a bit of an underperformer (I just recall his ongoing ankle-related issue last year).
It's probably a bit of a luxury trade still - if he ends up averaging 40's it's not the end of the world - but there's a real temptation to turn him into DCE

Based on the uncertainty, I'm probably going to sell him too but I think last year was a calf injury early/mid season which restricted his kicking (both goal and general play) so had an impact on his scoring. He still was the dominant kicker but from memory they shared it around a bit more (Gutho & Brown were kicking a bit more)