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    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 57 - Lead with your chin

    SoylentGreen
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    Post by SoylentGreen Tue May 25, 2021 10:53 am

    Anyone want to take a punt at a full-strength Broncos forward pack minutes moving forward? I figure that there's value there somewhere, but not sure where.
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue May 25, 2021 10:59 am

    Doesn’t Lodge know fantasy coaches want him to play next week and then move to a Round 17 playing team after that match!
    ytsb
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    Post by ytsb Tue May 25, 2021 11:00 am

    My team is very quickly becoming middie city. With current R12 trades my bench is Fog, MC9, Starling, Laurie, Schuster, Fleg, Peachy, Leniu.


    Last edited by ytsb on Tue May 25, 2021 11:04 am; edited 1 time in total
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    ynot

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    Post by ynot Tue May 25, 2021 11:04 am

    @ytsb wrote:My team is very quickly becoming MID city. With current R12 trades my bench is Fog, MC9, Starling, Laurie, Schuster, Fleg, Peachy, Leniu.

    Lucky, I will need to trade in a MID if Crichton doesn't get off.
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Tue May 25, 2021 11:05 am

    Woah, I didn't realise Mahoney was so cheap at 695.

    Origin threat looms, but still a tempting pickup at that price point.
    Mr Snrub
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    Post by Mr Snrub Tue May 25, 2021 11:09 am

    @Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

    Was wondering this yesterday. You reckon Fog is the best option in like the 650-750k price range? Was thinking of picking him up for Grant in my h2h team

    Well doing my stats research I found the interesting stat with the Fog is he doesn't have any scores in the 50 range.

    Playing 70+ minutes has two scores in the 30's, one 48 and seven 60+ scores. Has a sub-par score in him but seems like the kind of guy who could nab you a H2H win.
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Tue May 25, 2021 11:10 am

    @Mulvy wrote:



    Also, even though a high score will lower someone's BE, it eventually has to rise as the players' price goes up, no? ie the higher price the higher the score needed to maintain it. So high scores initially lower a BE but then have to go up. For example, Nicho Hynes scored a banner and has a BE of negative 19. Cleary scored a banner and has a BE of 62.

    Or B2B banners even...

    Speaking of B2B banners.

    I've done some high-tech scientific projections that are based on science:

    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 57 - Lead with your chin  - Page 4 Beans10

    As you can see from the science, beans will score in the range of 124 to 126 points this week.


    *If you put the C on Beans this week, please don't @ me - it's purely a scientific hypothesis that hasn't taken into account chin size or fixtures
    The Pascoe Fiasco
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    Post by The Pascoe Fiasco Tue May 25, 2021 11:12 am

    All of those people sweating on Angus, surely we have nothing to worry about. 1) he plays for the Roosters and 2) he’s locked into origin! That’s how it works isn’t it?
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Tue May 25, 2021 11:14 am

    @Chewie wrote:
    Fog is a great pick up, will score 60+ points most weeks with Tanah Boyd as his halves partner.

    Yeah thought so mate. How long is Ash Taylor out for? Would be hoping Tanah stays there for as long as possible if I get Fog
    ytsb
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    Post by ytsb Tue May 25, 2021 11:14 am

    It's looking like 15 R13 players for me and 15 trades left to get in AFB, Lolo, Harris, Haas, D.fifi, Pappy as well as miscellaneous opportunities and injuries. Not planning on having many R17 players. Provided base price cashouts appear it's looking good.

    R13 fellas

    HOOK: Brailey, MC9
    MID: Fleg, Watson, Leniu,
    EDGE: Matterson, TPJ
    HALF: Fog, Moses
    CENTRE: Burton, S.Crichton, Peachy
    WFB: Hynes, Laurie

    Final trade-out: Welch --> ~580k + 79k

    EDIT: I don't want to bring in the Fleg really so will think on it. Kind of need cashouts rather than a player priced at 32 who may or may not make 150k for my team


    Last edited by ytsb on Tue May 25, 2021 11:17 am; edited 1 time in total
    WT2K
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    Post by WT2K Tue May 25, 2021 11:15 am

    EARLY MAIL: Melbourne star Cameron Munster (foot) OUT of Broncos-Storm on Thursday. He will miss a month of footy before Origin I at the MCG if he is fit to play. Harry Grant (hammy) at long odds for Origin. https://twitter.com/travismeyn/status/1396990699329912833?s=19
    Mr Snrub
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    Post by Mr Snrub Tue May 25, 2021 11:22 am

    @Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

    Yeah thought so mate. How long is Ash Taylor out for? Would be hoping Tanah stays there for as long as possible if I get Fog

    Isn't Ash kind of half injured, half dropped for form. If the Titans can keep getting wins I don't see them changing the team too much and I think they've got a good chance against the Sharks this week.
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue May 25, 2021 11:22 am

    Is Burton worth buying this week?

    Edit: Just looked at the fixtures Cool
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    Post by mrbrownstone Tue May 25, 2021 11:22 am

    @WT2K wrote:EARLY MAIL: Melbourne star Cameron Munster (foot) OUT of Broncos-Storm on Thursday. He will miss a month of footy before Origin I at the MCG if he is fit to play. Harry Grant (hammy) at long odds for Origin. https://twitter.com/travismeyn/status/1396990699329912833?s=19

    Surely Hynes stocks rise even more. Sounds like there will be plenty of opportunities in the spine between injuries, Origin, and resting.

    I wouldn't even be surprised if he ends up in a Burton-like role in the centres, because you can't leave him out even when the first choice spine is fit.
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Tue May 25, 2021 11:23 am

    @Mr Snrub wrote:

    Isn't Ash kind of half injured, half dropped for form. If the Titans can keep getting wins I don't see them changing the team too much and I think they've got a good chance against the Sharks this week.  

    Yeah idek what his 'injury' is. Probs abit of both
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Tue May 25, 2021 11:25 am

    @ytsb wrote:My team is very quickly becoming middie city. With current R12 trades my bench is Fog, MC9, Starling, Laurie, Schuster, Fleg, Peachy, Leniu.

    I think you could comfortably promote Fog, MC9, Schuster, Peachey to keeper status, potentially Starling depending on role. Take Schuster for example averaging 51 and covers two postions. You could do worse for a final team 17th/18th/19th man.
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue May 25, 2021 11:26 am

    Trades this week looking something like this depending on team lists

    Stefano > Burton
    Simpkin > Flegler

    Will see how it pans out
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Tue May 25, 2021 11:27 am

    @easytiger wrote:

    Or B2B banners even...

    Speaking of B2B banners.

    I've done some high-tech scientific projections that are based on science:

    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 57 - Lead with your chin  - Page 4 Beans10

    As you can see from the science, beans will score in the range of 124 to 126 points this week.


    *If you put the C on Beans this week, please don't @ me - it's purely a scientific hypothesis that hasn't taken into account chin size or fixtures

    Yeah it's hard to disagree with science. study
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Tue May 25, 2021 11:28 am

    @my tv broke wrote:I don't know if mentioned but Barry Toohey seems to think Lodge will be at Newy within two weeks.

    Lodge has sold his Brisbane home according to Dobbo.

    Things looking good for Flegler owners
    Surely the Broncos have a mid season forward signing in mind though considering Carrigan is out and if Lodge goes with no cover that’s lunacy!?

    Oh and I just checked your team you’re recovering nicely as I knew you would you’ll charge soon. It was fun being ahead of you whilst it lasted lol!

    Edit: why only 38mins for Flegler last week compared to 50mins week prior?


    Last edited by Rabbits21 on Tue May 25, 2021 11:30 am; edited 1 time in total
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue May 25, 2021 11:28 am

    @Mulvy wrote:

    I think you could comfortably promote Fog, MC9, Schuster, Peachey to keeper status, potentially Starling depending on role. Take Schuster for example averaging 51 and covers two postions. You could do worse for a final team 17th/18th/19th man.

    I think these guys will be sufficient in favour of saving trades.

    If this crackdown continues we will probably see huge moves for anyone with trades in hamd in the last couple weeks of the year.


      Current date/time is Thu Jun 24, 2021 9:34 pm