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    Nrl Fantasy 2021 Part 45 - Back for more backs

    Jumping Marlin
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    Post by Jumping Marlin Wed May 05, 2021 6:47 pm

    As a bridge to Lomax, I assume Mbye is a no go on the basis that when Talau returns he’s likely back to bench?
    Jumping Marlin
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    Post by Jumping Marlin Wed May 05, 2021 6:51 pm

    @mattnz wrote:Ash Taylor dropped for "form and fitness" reasons, Tanah Boyd comes in.
    Haha. Article on nrl.com has Taylor as one of three contenders for Qld #6. Lol Lol Lol
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Wed May 05, 2021 6:52 pm

    @Jumping Marlin wrote:
    Haha.  Article on nrl.com has Taylor as one of three contenders for Qld #6.  Lol Lol Lol

    How is there even a shortlist? Munster, Munster and Munster.
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Wed May 05, 2021 6:53 pm

    @Jumping Marlin wrote:Quick update on the overly complex centre analysis from earlier.  Thx for the feedback.  

    As R&T articulated nicely - very subjective, and good as a gut feeling check!!

    A few updates based on feedback:
    > Added Momo
    > Put in two rows for Momo & Burton.  Different Ratings for job security when we know more next week
    > Injury risk: while most are at a 10, I think that's OK.  Only wanted to penalise the really injury prone.
    > Job security / team quality:  Have used the full scale now.
    > Player quality: question was why Cini and Lomax both got a 10.  The challenge here was that the projected 2021 average was already a heavily weighted (20% of score) criteria to player quality. My intent was to penalise players who score better in fantasy than what they are like in IRL.  I kind of feel like this is probably already captured in job security anyway. So I ended up changing the weighting of this category to 0%.  
    > Also, a suggestion that value for money is more important (especially earlier in the season), so a cut with a 30% weighting also shown.

    Base Table:
    Nrl Fantasy 2021 Part 45 - Back for more backs - Page 18 Centre12

    More Weight to Value for Money:
    Nrl Fantasy 2021 Part 45 - Back for more backs - Page 18 Centre14

    I think this is cool, and really useful. @MTB, if you were ever thinking of going even crazier than you already are on your website, I would suggesting something like this. I would set up the tool so that the weightings could be user controlled - so if you wanted to mostly weight on value you could, or on expected points, you could do that too. Then, for the data that goes into the projections, to make things simpler, I would make them objective only. So you'd have to exclude a bunch of columns.

    Imagine how cool it would be though if you site had a tool which essentially could generate (and rank) a short list of trade in options, based on the user preference for the type of player (value vs scoring etc) that people wanted.

    Just a thought Smile

    And nice stuff Marin and thanks for recalculating based on diff weightings... Smile
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Wed May 05, 2021 6:53 pm

    @Welshy wrote:

    Only every a gun when he was GK as well, won't have that at Titans either

    Fog should be even more appealing with Boyd shouldn't he? Taylor was taking some KM

    Yes, I think you're right on both counts.

    Taylor was pretty variable, some 0KM games, some minimal 50KM games, and a couple of near 200KM games.
    The only time Boyd had decent KM was when Fogarty was off for the last half hour.

    Maybe worth a few points in KM, it may also put more of the attack through him?
    WT2K
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    Post by WT2K Wed May 05, 2021 6:54 pm

    @Jumping Marlin wrote:
    Haha.  Article on nrl.com has Taylor as one of three contenders for Qld #6.  Lol Lol Lol

    That writer needs sacking.
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 7:03 pm

    Selections for this week are tough.

    Think I’ll need a CTR in case Momo doesn’t find a way back into the team. Welp the one thing I didn’t want to do was spend there


    Last edited by Liverpool_Bulldog on Wed May 05, 2021 7:04 pm; edited 1 time in total
    bigbruno
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    Post by bigbruno Wed May 05, 2021 7:03 pm

    POD trade this week

    TU: Mann
    TD: Fog

    Reasons for both have been mentioned over the last few days pages.
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Wed May 05, 2021 7:04 pm

    @Goodnight Kiwi wrote:

    Yeah, think I’d hold too Shady. How many trades you got?
    TPJ move is most interesting for me. But is pretty pricey now and ‘May’ play oranges

    20 trades left after making the Hampton to Fogarty or Mann (now considering Mann) trade bounce
    WT2K
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    Post by WT2K Wed May 05, 2021 7:05 pm

    @Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Selections for this week are tough.

    Think I’ll need a CTR in case Momo doesn’t find a way back into the team. Welp the one thing I didn’t want to do was spend there
    Crichton?
    Khany
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    Post by Khany Wed May 05, 2021 7:05 pm

    A stint in rugby wouldn't be the worst thing to happen to Milf.
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed May 05, 2021 7:06 pm

    How long are Green and Pearce out for?
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Wed May 05, 2021 7:06 pm

    @Welshy wrote:How long are Green and Pearce out for?

    Blake Green (ribs, round 12)
    Mitchell Pearce (pectoral, round 14-16)
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Wed May 05, 2021 7:07 pm

    @Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    Round 15 is a 4 trade round aswell isn’t it. So you’d get 12 trades between those rounds
    Aha more trades...good. and maybe an extra 2 doordash trades for good measure?
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 7:08 pm

    @Welshy wrote:How long are Green and Pearce out for?
    According to casualty ward:

    Green, Round 12
    Pearce, Round 14-16

    Means Mann for 4 rounds before Green comes back. Now I’m not so keen
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 7:08 pm

    @Chewie wrote:
    Aha more trades...good. and maybe an extra 2 doordash trades for good measure?
    Haha what a fiasco that was
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 7:09 pm

    @WT2K wrote:
    Crichton?
    Yeah I’m starting to lean that way. Isnt overly glamourous though is it
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Wed May 05, 2021 7:10 pm

    @Shady2K wrote:

    Blake Green (ribs, round 12)
    Mitchell Pearce (pectoral, round 14-16)

    @Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    According to casualty ward:

    Green, Round 12
    Pearce, Round 14-16

    Means Mann for 4 rounds before Green comes back. Now I’m not so keen

    If Mann can find some bulk KM he's the better option than Fog in short term because his has plenty of TB points and a far busier defender

    Fog better long term option especially if Boyd hangs around
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 7:15 pm

    @Welshy wrote:



    If Mann can find some bulk KM he's the better option than Fog in short term because his has plenty of TB points and a far busier defender

    Fog better long term option especially if Boyd hangs around
    Would be pretty rough to get gun output from Mann all for Green to come back in Round 13 and ruin it all

    Although just had to check and he has a 3 game average of 66 with Green in the team and playing 80 minutes. So all is not lost at all until Pearce comes back but by then he will be moved to a round 17 gun


    Last edited by Liverpool_Bulldog on Wed May 05, 2021 7:19 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Wed May 05, 2021 7:16 pm

    @Welshy wrote:



    If Mann can find some bulk KM he's the better option than Fog in short term because his has plenty of TB points and a far busier defender

    Fog better long term option especially if Boyd hangs around

    Just looking at rounds 6-9, Green averaged 384km and Mann averaged 214km. That's some Cleary level km that Mann can take on and beast until at least Round 12

    Crossland has kicked twice in his NRL career - one game for 41km and one game for 24km

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