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    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 33 - Was that the best round in the world? No it was just a tribute!

    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:25 pm

    Teeth Eater wrote:

    Agree with all this. I'll hold Riki, and I'll hope Milford dropping is brief. The Niu thing just annoys me. The only other scenario I could come up with today - as unlikely as it seems - is that Arthars has been that amazing in reserve grade that he made himself a must pick? Sounds very unlikely, but I don't understand the Niu dropping otherwise.

    Arthurs has played two games. One at fb, and last weekend on the wing.. so er, not sure and doubt it. Stats dont indicate either were big games

    Edit doesnt rate a mention in the match report from the weekend..
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    Post by wolfking Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:40 pm

    GreenMachine wrote:Word of wisdom around the Broncs news if i may...

    They are about to get beaten by 40+ Somewhat protecting some of these guys we own, as they won’t be in a big losing side

    I knee-jerked out Turpin and really regret it

    If you can hold in your 18-21, Milf, RiKi and Niu I recommend doing so for week or 3

    Just remember how premium a player like Milf or RiKi could be in R13

    Niu not as much but his DPP is very handy. 

    I’m tempted to drop RiKi immediately, but he’s low lush BE and doesn’t get you much for his money, in a really tricky and premium position this year. A hold until at least the dust settles, Schuster gets his DPP and R13 picture is clearer


    Caveat to the above is assuming you can bring in a Crichton and someone into your side to not field 16! Appreciate Riki and Niu are more likely to cause selection headaches than Milf, given abundance of bench-worthy halves

    All sound advice but if they can be upgraded to get points now, then I think there's justification to trade. What if you hold and come round 13 they are dropped again? No one knows. Jeb doesn't know what day it is and this could go on all year. I'd like to hold for a week but only 47K to upgrade Milf to Fog is almost too good to pass up. Riki I'm inclined to hold and Niu is just my backup, but tempted to get Hampton for him.
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:40 pm

    Depending on what happens with the Broncos, Riki (494k, BE 24) to Sitili (529k, BE 66) looks a nice trade next week, even with the bye implications.
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    Post by Guest Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:43 pm

    Erin Moleman wrote:

    Zac cini is meant to be good isn’t he ?

    Better chance him debuting on the wing over centre. I could be very wrong but can't see it happening this week.
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    Post by EJ24 Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:44 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    If you are using ownership percentage as a reason to trade a player in then keep in mind that everyone on this site with a bankroll is looking to get Haas in over the next couple of weeks, so that ownership is going to go up (I assume its not just this site that wants him either). Not sure at what ownership level he would become less desirable to you, but its something you might want to keep in mind.

    Mostly getting him for his points potential and him playing round 13.

    I do see that ownership percentage going up but I think a lot of people will go without him for a couple of weeks and then struggle to get him after he goes huge.

    We've seen how hard it's been for the coaches that didn't start with Cleary to try to get him in. Haas could be a similar problem in that regard.
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:46 pm


    Just looking at stats

    Last round was the highest scoring round ever, with 10812 points scored over 8 games.

    Rounds 3, 4 and 2 were the 5th, 6th and 7th highest ever

    Round 1 was way down the list at 15th highest ever

    This is almost entirely down to the new turnover stat. Without the ~400 extra points a week from TOs, scores would be a touch down on last year (but still massively high compared to everything prior to round 3, 2020)
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:50 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Just looking at stats

    Last round was the highest scoring round ever, with 10812 points scored over 8 games.

    Rounds 3, 4 and 2 were the 5th, 6th and 7th highest ever

    Round 1 was way down the list at 15th highest ever

    This is almost entirely down to the new turnover stat. Without the ~400 extra points a week from TOs, scores would be a touch down on last year (but still massively high compared to everything prior to round 3, 2020)

    So, with 272 players per round, TOs account for an average extra of one and a half points per player, or an extra 25 points per scoring 17.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:54 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Just looking at stats

    Last round was the highest scoring round ever, with 10812 points scored over 8 games.

    Rounds 3, 4 and 2 were the 5th, 6th and 7th highest ever

    Round 1 was way down the list at 15th highest ever

    This is almost entirely down to the new turnover stat. Without the ~400 extra points a week from TOs, scores would be a touch down on last year (but still massively high compared to everything prior to round 3, 2020)

    What does that mean for MNs both now and moving forward?
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 12, 2021 9:54 pm

    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 33 - Was that the best round in the world? No it was just a tribute! - Page 27 R611
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:04 pm

    robelgordo wrote:

    Henson Park

    Was going to go the Dragons game on Sunday, but dropping $80 on the family to sit in the family section of the hill with no beers while my kids don't actually watch the game isn't appealing. Or over $100 for a seated area with beers but having to trying and contain them in a seated section.

    Whereas $30 at Henson at the gate, beer available and an empty hill for the kids to run around on, can bring a footy onto the field at half and full time, just seems more fun.

    Last year aside, I normally try and get to 2-3 games there a season, might do a few more this year.

    EDIT: didn't realise there were two more pages including a more succinct answer when I responded! As you were.

    Great response, send this to the nrl..... 

    Didnt see any other succinct responses or sarcasm on display ? 
    Enjoy mate, sounds like a gr8 day
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:06 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    So, with 272 players per round, TOs account for an average extra of one and a half points per player, or an extra 25 points per scoring 17.

    Essentially, yes.
    A touch less because average is 95 TOs per round not the 100 I rounded up to. but close enough

    But after 5 rounds, there are 24 players who are averaging 1 TO per game or more
    Last year there were 0 players who managed that, based on stats we were provided.
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    Post by Welshy Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:08 pm

    Milchcow wrote:
    Spoiler:

    These still bring a tear to the eye on release.
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:08 pm


    Top turnovers

    Jackson Topine 2.0
    Adam Elliott 1.8
    Hudson Young 1.5
    Nathan Cleary 1.5
    Jack Wighton 1.4
    Jack Bird 1.3
    Jayden Brailey 1.2
    Ben Hampton 1.0
    Paul Momirovski 1.0
    Michael Morgan 1.0
    Corey Norman 1.0
    Daine Laurie 1.0
    Michael Chee-Kam 1.0
    Adam Keighran 1.0
    Apisai Koroisau 1.0
    Ben Hunt 1.0
    Ryan Sutton 1.0
    Morgan Harper 1.0
    Dean Britt 1.0
    Braydon Trindall 1.0
    Bradman Best 1.0
    Ashley Taylor 1.0
    Kalyn Ponga 1.0
    Josh McGuire 1.0
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:10 pm

    Mulvy wrote:

    What does that mean for MNs both now and moving forward?

    Magic Number progression from rounds 1-5

    13236
    12686
    12331
    12472
    12206

    I think it will hover around 12000-12500 for most of the season

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    Post by Milchcow Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:11 pm

    Welshy wrote:

    These still bring a tear to the eye on release.

    It brings a tear to my eye having to scroll through the whole picture twice in 1 page, so I hid your one behind a spoiler.

    But I'm happy to see my work is still appreciated
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:12 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    Magic Number progression from rounds 1-5

    13236
    12686
    12331
    12472
    12206

    I think it will hover around 12000-12500 for most of the season


    Thanks
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    Post by Revraiser Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:13 pm

    my tv broke wrote:I dont know if it is useful to anyone but there is now a little button in the header of footystatistics.com that drops down a list of rnd 13 / rnd 17 games.. for easy reference

    This is to cute, awesome.

    I literally pictured a drink or coke can being dispensed as I read ur post, like as though that's what will come next!

    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 33 - Was that the best round in the world? No it was just a tribute! - Page 27 Giphy
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    Post by Ponga Yeo the Mann Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:19 pm

    Chucky wrote:Anyone with Knights info, Ponga yeo the mann where are you?
    Klemmer two weeks ago looked badly injured but plays the following week, plays good minutes (61) but only scores 35.
    Only 683k, plays rd 13, probably doesn’t play origin.
    Any ongoing knee issue to be worried about?

    Playing with injections through some minorish cartilage damage in his knee. I’d avoid personally. Not sure if the upside is worth the risk
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    Post by Revraiser Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:23 pm

    GreenMachine wrote:Off topic momentarily but for anyone who loves their NFL fantasy and wants to up ante with some real money buy-ins for season long, not that daily nonsense...

    https://lobby.apexfantasyleagues.com/index.php?company=2&page=lobby

    Apex site is for money in/out management. They otherwise use a site called MyFantasyLeague for the game which I’m finding really feature and info rich even if graphically not as good as NFL.com or Yahoo/ESPN

    Note - I’ve zero affiliation with this mob, but got some nice prizes last year and slightly addicted!! Minimum buy in is $75 so it’s aimed at semi-serious punters 

    Not by invitation only but If a friend referral helps you get signed up, then feel free to use my name or email;
    Heath Cram heathaacram@gmail.com

    Tell me more GM, pm me if u have a moment. 

    What do u mean yearly and not daily ?


    Last edited by Revraiser on Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:41 pm; edited 1 time in total
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:24 pm

    Revraiser wrote:

    Great response, send this to the nrl..... 

    Didnt see any other succinct responses or sarcasm on display ? 
    Enjoy mate, sounds like a gr8 day

    Cheers mate. There was no sarcasm. Just wrote my little essay then realised someone had already said it’s Henson Park at 3pm Saturday.

      Current date/time is Fri Mar 29, 2024 11:54 am