Updated tryscorer + draftstars info on https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl
Personal thoughts on value tryscorers for today:
Guler @ 67 on SB. Great up and coming player in a strong Raiders pack in good form. Great value according to model odds and can be found on $71-76 on SB as they change their odds.
Frizzell @ 41 on Pointsbet. Way better odds than other sites, great value bet according to model odds & hopefully Ponga can dish up a nice pass for him to get over early!
Arrow @ $81 on TAB. Almost double the odds as on other sites & our model odds + Rabbits strong favourites up against a weakened Dragons team. Best value play of the week according to our model.
Keaon Koloa @ $3.75 on SB + Playup- similar logic to Arrow re weakened Dragons team. Plays left edge and then middle, been in great form too.
Tariq Sims @ $16 on TAB. Usually don't like middle forwards for strong outsider teams for ATS, however he's priced at 16 here where most sites have him less than 7 and our model has him at 14. Most importantly, there's a chance he plays part of the game on the edge, late mail on DT says they expect him to play on the edge. Would be the value play ATS bet of the weekend if he does.
Jahrome Hughes @2.83 on Topsport - one of our model's favourites most weeks, up against a weakened Panthers team.