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    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 1 - Game on Mole

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:48 pm

    Also, 1on1 steals do not seem to be factored into player prices. So if you think Munster/Hodgson/whoever will be a good for that stat then it will represent value
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    Post by Camo123 Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:49 pm

    I don't really understand the Milford interest at all

    His 5/8 stats from 2019 to 2020, although there is a 20 average difference aren't all that dissimilar. The major difference is a massive drop in KM (413 to 240) which I can't really seem him regaining with Dearden gaining more experience. 2020 slight increase in errors/MT/penalties but can't really predict change
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    Post by Milchcow Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:53 pm

    Matt Lodge got a small price bump based on his 2020 stats (should have only been $377k for having played 6 games) Everyone else seems to be priced as per 2020 average with no manual adjustments
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    Post by Aardvark Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:11 pm

    @Chewie wrote:With the rule changes I would like to find out who are the best strippers in the comp... do we have any data from last season?

    Adam Elliot?
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    Post by Rabbits21 Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:13 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:I don't really understand the Milford interest at all

    His 5/8 stats from 2019 to 2020, although there is a 20 average difference aren't all that dissimilar. The major difference is a massive drop in KM (413 to 240) which I can't really seem him regaining with Dearden gaining more experience. 2020 slight increase in errors/MT/penalties but can't really predict change
    Milford will get more attacking stats surely under Walters which is why I think I’m interested. He’s on my watchlist. He only had 130 less kick metres a game last season so that’s around 7 points less. So there is still some upside there if Walters gets him going and running the ball...
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:17 pm

    Wow, we're back into it, time flies eh!

    Good to see everyone for another year. I quite like these rule changes too.
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    Post by FalconSloth Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:17 pm

    1 on 1 strips will not be a reliable stat and you won’t be able to count on any player to get one a game so unless you are using it as a tiebreak between two players it shouldn’t be taken into too much consideration IMO
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:17 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:I don't really understand the Milford interest at all

    His 5/8 stats from 2019 to 2020, although there is a 20 average difference aren't all that dissimilar. The major difference is a massive drop in KM (413 to 240) which I can't really seem him regaining with Dearden gaining more experience. 2020 slight increase in errors/MT/penalties but can't really predict change

    His price is hard to ignore with his pointing potential.
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    Post by FalconSloth Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:18 pm

    Milford is one who probably won’t go straight back to his 50+ scoring, if he does, so you can probably wait and see and swap him for one of you middle priced players which don’t work out
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    Post by FalconSloth Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:21 pm

    My problem with Milford is he used to be the fantasy player he was solely on his reliability to kick 400-500+ kick metres a game which along with a few tackles gave him a solid floor around 30 without his high amount of kick metres his floor will drop along way
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:24 pm

    @FalconSloth wrote:Milford is one who probably won’t go straight back to his 50+ scoring, if he does, so you can probably wait and see and swap him for one of you middle priced players which don’t work out

    I agree with others in that it is unlikely he will kick as much as he has in the past, but I doubt Dearden takes on all kicking, so Milford might still have reasonable numbers there. Dearden really struggled for distance/positioning last year so we will have to see how that plays out this year.

    If you start with Milford you probably need to ride it out. If you don't have him and he scores a 90 in week three after a couple of 30's, then you've probably missed the boom score anyway.

    At this point I'd prefer to give him a miss but the Broncos will pump out plenty of fluff pieces before round 1 that will suck me in, I'm sure.

    Fantasy aside, I'm still a big Milford believer, and I think he will have a good year.


    Last edited by my tv broke on Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:28 pm; edited 1 time in total
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:26 pm

    I think a lot may come down to pricing and team makeup. If there is no cash cows starting in the halves, he might be one just to punt on to allow the cash to gun up somewhere else and hope for the best.
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    Post by FalconSloth Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:28 pm

    At least at Milford price and skill level he shouldn’t drop in price
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:31 pm

    @FalconSloth wrote:At least at Milford price and skill level he shouldn’t drop in price

    If a cow pops up and Milford is mediocre it's an easy downgrade too.
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    Post by FalconSloth Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:37 pm

    What role does everyone expect Asiata to play? At 300k if he starts he would be an absolute steal
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:39 pm

    @FalconSloth wrote:What role does everyone expect Asiata to play? At 300k if he starts he would be an absolute steal

    Can't see him starting at full strength.

    Mins is anyones guess, probably 30 - 35 though. Haas Lodge Flegler & Carrigan will all get a good share and Walters has stated that he wants Pangai playing middle of the field too.

    Not so fantasy relevant but it will be rather interesting to see who Walters goes for at hooker. I would assume it is Turpin but I guess you never know.
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    Post by RandomSil Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:41 pm

    Jack Bird at a low price after injury affected years. Looking at a Second Row spot could be a decent cheapie
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:42 pm

    Why do we believe Walters will all of a sudden spark all this attack out of the Broncos??
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:45 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:Why do we believe Walters will all of a sudden spark all this attack out of the Broncos??

    Pre season hope? He was the halves coach in 2015 when Milford had a great season.

    I think we'll be better this year but end up around 10th to 12th, not expecting miracles.

    All talk is that pre season has been spent learning how to defend, so I don't really expect anything amazing out of the attack in the first month of the year. Will all be about attitude.
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:55 pm

    @Milchcow wrote:using Broncos prices as a guide, this will be the 20 most expensive players this year


    NathanCleary973000
    CameronMcInnes972000
    PayneHaas967000
    DalyCherry-Evans866000
    DamienCook856000
    JamesTedesco850000
    CameronSmith848000
    AngusCrichton833000
    JasonTaumalolo827000
    HarryGrant823000
    PatrickCarrigan807000
    RyanMatterson807000
    TohuHarris807000
    ApisaiKoroisau805000
    KalynPonga804000
    IsaahYeo781000
    MitchellMoses766000
    JakeTrbojevic746000
    TysonFrizell742000

    Think I'll be staying away from the top 3 - too much went right for them last year that makes it hard to repeat.

    Will be looking at Cook, Taumalolo, Crichton as my captaincy options. Ideally will be able to fit 2 of these in

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