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    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 89 - Finals Fantasy 2020 End of Days

    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo on Mon Oct 19, 2020 12:28 pm

    @BCT05 wrote:

    Yep same, got on them at the start of the finals too so will be adding to that. Based on form this season the odds should be reversed imo

    Agreed. Effectively saying Panthers win that match only 9 out of 20.
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    Post by my tv broke on Mon Oct 19, 2020 12:32 pm

    I guess I'm the opposite, I think Storm are great value. I won't be betting on it though, I've learnt that betting on finals matches takes away from my general enjoyment of the game. I don't really care who wins, I guess I'd probably prefer it if Panthers did.
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 12:52 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:I guess I'm the opposite, I think Storm are great value. I won't be betting on it though, I've learnt that betting on finals matches takes away from my general enjoyment of the game. I don't really care who wins, I guess I'd probably prefer it if Panthers did.

    Either side at 1-12 are great odds in my opinion. Panthers $3.10 and Storm $2.80.

    Hypothetically, you chuck $50 on each ($100 total) you are bound to win money. I can't see either team blowing out.

    Storm win you're up $40, Panthers win you're up $55.

    Cam Smith CC into $4.50... My mate got on at $10 a few weeks back.

    Cam Smith and Dustin Martin $20 for Clive Churchill and Norm Medallist double is looking great value!
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:09 pm

    This is the Daly M Leader Board after R12

    Grant 13
    Smith 12
    Gutherson 12
    Taumalolo 11
    Cleary 11
    Wighton 10
    Marshall 9
    Dufty 9
    Trbojevic 9

    Looks to be Smith v Cleary*... Could come down to the wire? Smith missing a couple games late doesn't help.

    *I personally think he should lose 6 points. Doesn't matter that the suspension came off the field.


    Last edited by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:18 pm; edited 1 time in total
    danseels1985
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    Post by danseels1985 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:15 pm

    If the NRL(and the Storm) allow Smith to lose what is likely to be his last ever game then to quote Vossy “ you can take me now I have seen it all!” His name is probably already on the CC medal that’s how confident I am that Storm win
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:19 pm

    @danseels1985 wrote:If the NRL(and the Storm) allow Smith to lose what is likely to be his last ever game then to quote Vossy “ you can take me now I have seen it all!” His name is probably already on the CC medal that’s how confident I am that Storm win

    See and this ticks me off because no matter what if Storm win or Smith get the CC medal it'll all be about how it only happened cause Smith's last game, etc. and won't be anything to do with him or Storm actually beating the Panthers.
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    Post by my tv broke on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:46 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:

    See and this ticks me off because no matter what if Storm win or Smith get the CC medal it'll all be about how it only happened cause Smith's last game, etc. and won't be anything to do with him or Storm actually beating the Panthers.

    Same as when thurston won it in 2015.
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    Post by No Worries on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:54 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:

    See and this ticks me off because no matter what if Storm win or Smith get the CC medal it'll all be about how it only happened cause Smith's last game, etc. and won't be anything to do with him or Storm actually beating the Panthers.

    What's that saying "truth hurts".

    Those Daly M numbers would have been before they decided to give Cleary back his points for being suspended. That would put him on 14
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    Post by my tv broke on Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:56 pm

    @No Worries wrote:

    What's that saying "truth hurts".

    Those Daly M numbers would have been before they decided to give Cleary back his points for being suspended. That would put him on 14

    This actually annoys me but only because I had a bet on cleary to win daly M in pre season, $50 at 26-1, but sportsbet voided it when the season went on break.. i otherwise, do not care bounce
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 2:09 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:

    Same as when thurston won it in 2015.

    Really? I honestly don't remember that. Mind you, I probably didn't notice.
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    Post by Camo123 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 2:12 pm

    @No Worries wrote:

    What's that saying "truth hurts".

    Those Daly M numbers would have been before they decided to give Cleary back his points for being suspended. That would put him on 14

    17 actually, 3 points per every week suspended

    Cleary is going to absolutely sweep it. Smith was out for 3 weeks with shoulder injury.

    Out of that list before it went behind closed doors, Wighton will probably be closest because after Hodgson injury he carried Raiders

    But almost all others were dropped/injured/lost form
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 2:20 pm

    @No Worries wrote:

    What's that saying "truth hurts".

    Those Daly M numbers would have been before they decided to give Cleary back his points for being suspended. That would put him on 14

    I was actually reading into this earlier. They decided to strip him of 6 points around mid-August (after R12) – would’ve put him on 5 points, and then Panthers (Brian Fletcher) kicked a stink and his points were reinstated around mid-September.

    So no as of R12 he has 11 points.

    As per Yahoo Sports: Cleary was sitting just two points behind Dally M leader Harry Grant when voting went behind closed doors. But the NRL announced they forgot to subtract three points from his tally for every week he was suspended [after he started accumulating points], per Dally M rules
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser on Mon Oct 19, 2020 2:58 pm

    Just watch the actual grand final, that will tell u if it is gifted to anyone. That's all tinfoil hat stuff for mine. Panthers will win, better all year. Storm highly deserved to be in the GF dont get me wrong.
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    Post by White Lightning on Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:00 pm

    To me when they stripped Cleary of his DM points that was appropriate & no way should he of got them reinstated. He blatantly flouted the rules then lied twice so they reward him by giving his DM points back.
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    Post by Camo123 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:16 pm

    There's precedent that off-field indiscretions are excluded from Dally M

    Although it didn't put NRL in jeopardy, Haas didn't co-operate with integrity unit at start of 2019 and got 4 week suspension which didn't exclude him from Dally M

    It'd throw a bit of subjectivity in if one off field case cost Cleary Dally M whereas Haas was still eligible last year (I know Cleary's actions were more harmful to game)
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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:27 pm

    Ado-Carr - "It'll probably be my last week with Storm"
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    Post by Camo123 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:30 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:Ado-Carr - "It'll probably be my last week with Storm"

    Apparently Storm are looking at George Jennings

    Will be interesting to see how Storm adapt going from JAC/Vunivalu to ??/Lumelume

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    Post by StormTrooper96 on Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:45 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:

    Apparently Storm are looking at George Jennings

    Will be interesting to see how Storm adapt going from JAC/Vunivalu to ??/Lumelume


    I though he already signed? Also thought Suli was backflipping.

    I think after all these years of "Storm will start to slide down", next year we will struggle.

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    Post by my tv broke on Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:51 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:

    Really? I honestly don't remember that. Mind you, I probably didn't notice.

    Yeah, other than 2015 for obvious reasons, i wouldnt have a clue who has won the clive churchill in any other year.

    Thurston was probably not in the top 3 best players on ground in that GF

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    Post by WT Winfield on Mon Oct 19, 2020 4:04 pm

    @Revraiser wrote:Just watch the actual grand final, that will tell u if it is gifted to anyone. That's all tinfoil hat stuff for mine. Panthers will win, better all year. Storm highly deserved to be in the GF dont get me wrong.

    Yeah a week before the game and the excuses already started about refereeing, Storm favouritism and Cam Smith bias. No wonder the odds are favouring Storm quite a bit.

    Pretty close to even money for me. Storm slight favourites because of experience, but Panthers good value on current odds.

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