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    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part-42 Man Down!

    FaringdonSwirl
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    Post by FaringdonSwirl Tue Jun 23, 2020 2:49 pm

    @Mulvy wrote:

    You probably know this Joey, you've been around a while, but I'll post in case it helps others.

    If you intend to get both, then definitely get the low BE guy first. But BE only tells you when to buy, not who to buy. BE doesn't tell you how much money someone will make. To figure that out, you need to make a judgement on how much you think they'll average, times it by the magic number (I've been using 14000, but it's probably a little high atm) then you take a little bit off because getting to max value takes forever. You can use the price predictor on footystatistics.com, But I prefer to use Milchy's (still in the first post of this thread I think) so that I can extrapolate past three weeks and play around with different scenarios.

    So basically BE doesn't mean buy Averillo by itself. It you think Averillo will continue to score 40 and hold his spot, you buy him because in 8 weeks he will have made 200-250k.

    If you think he will score about 28, which is typical of a rookie centre, he only makes 100k, probably not worth a trade, and that's if he keeps his position.

    This is very helpful, thanks. Couldn't work out which spreadsheet you were referring to, but MTBs site has been fine for me so far.
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Tue Jun 23, 2020 2:52 pm

    @FaringdonSwirl wrote:

    This is very helpful, thanks. Couldn't work out which spreadsheet you were referring to, but MTBs site has been fine for me so far.

    I'm sure you mean more than just fine?
    It's bloody awesome!

    Beer

    Love your work @MTB
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 2:54 pm

    @Chewie wrote:

    I'm sure you mean more than just fine?
    It's bloody awesome!

    Beer

    Love your work @MTB

    Chewie Sucking Up To MTB:
    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part-42 Man Down! - Page 50 Giphy
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    Post by Guest Tue Jun 23, 2020 2:59 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    Is Niu’s BE 28 this week or 44?

    I’ve heard both, one must be incorrect.

    Should be the official 44 version. Niu is $212 in the game, but is less that $212k in the background, so has to make up his lost value first before he can then go into profit from there.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:00 pm

    @FaringdonSwirl wrote:

    This is very helpful, thanks. Couldn't work out which spreadsheet you were referring to, but MTBs site has been fine for me so far.

    Hmmm, might not be there anymore, can't really check properly now i'm on the mobile. If asked nicely the cow might help.
    FalconSloth
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    Post by FalconSloth Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:02 pm

    Where does everyone find the warriors teamlist at 3:00?
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:02 pm

    Andy V wrote:

    Should be the official 44 version. Niu is $212 in the game, but is less that $212k in the background, so has to make up his lost value first before he can then go into profit from there.

    I would be taking the gamble and getting him for points at CTR this week.
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:03 pm

    @FalconSloth wrote:Where does everyone find the warriors teamlist at 3:00?

    Either on the Warriors page or on the NRL Teamlists in the Match Centre
    FaringdonSwirl
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    Post by FaringdonSwirl Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:03 pm

    @Chewie wrote:

    I'm sure you mean more than just fine?
    It's bloody awesome!

    Beer

    Love your work @MTB

    Haha yes it is definitely awesome, have spent a lot of time on there the past couple of weeks. I do love a spreadsheet though!
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:04 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:

    I would be taking the gamble and getting him for points at CTR this week.
    It’s either him or Averillo.

    If Averillo scores low 30’s the next 3 weeks he will make something like around 120k.
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:05 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    It’s either him or Averillo.

    If Averillo scores low 30’s the next 3 weeks he will make something like around 120k.

    Averillo just looks like a 12 waiting to happen.
    Pookus McFly
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    Post by Pookus McFly Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:05 pm

    What the hell? Did the Mexicans change all their clocks again? Where’s me TLT?
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:06 pm

    @Pookus McFly wrote:What the hell? Did the Mexicans change all their clocks again? Where’s me TLT?


    TLT at 4 mate.. Warriors team normally around 3pm?
    my tv broke
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:06 pm

    @FalconSloth wrote:Where does everyone find the warriors teamlist at 3:00?

    usually its on the NRL app right on 3pm (in the matchcentre)

    not there yet - maybe kearney forgot to give hte logins to payten lol!

    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:07 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:

    usually its on the NRL app right on 3pm (in the matchcentre)

    not there yet - maybe kearney forgot to give hte logins to payten  lol!


    They probably have no clue how to even get to the log in page.
    Pookus McFly
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    Post by Pookus McFly Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:07 pm

    @StormTrooper96 wrote:


    TLT at 4 mate.. Warriors team normally around 3pm?

    I swear it’s been coming in at 3pm Queensland time the last few weeks.
    Well now it’s 3pm and I don’t want to wait an hour!

    *prepares epic tantrum*
    No Worries
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    Post by No Worries Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:07 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:Who do we think makes more cash Averillo or Niu?

    Milch explained this. Both his & MTB numbers have him at 28. But neither of their calcs take into account his actual price which apparently much lower than the $212K. So to make a profit he would need to make the difference up between his actual price and the floor of $212K before he made a profit. That was how you get the difference between 28 & 44.

    NB: Quoted your wrong post got overwhelmed by the sheer number, but you know the one I'm referring to.


    Last edited by No Worries on Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:09 pm; edited 1 time in total
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:09 pm

    @Pookus McFly wrote:

    I swear it’s been coming in at 3pm Queensland time the last few weeks.
    Well now it’s 3pm and I don’t want to wait an hour!

    *prepares epic tantrum*

    Daylight savings finished a while ago my friend
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:09 pm

    It's 3pm and I'm desperately doing everything possible to find the warriors team for this weekend. Sad, sad times.

    With so much chaos happening every week, I'm tempted to just bring in niu instead of ponga and save the other trade. Team will be decent at best but maybe holding these trades and waiting for the fallen guns in a week or two (eg taupau) is the POD way to go this year.

    Feel silly even typing this, anyone agree?
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:09 pm

    @No Worries wrote:

    Milch explained this. Both his & MTB numbers have him at 28. But neither of their calcs take into account his actual price which apparently much lower than the $212K. So to make a profit he would need to make the difference up between his actual price and the floor of $212K before he made a profit. That was how you get the difference between 28 & 44.
    I think I’ll just hold trades this week and re assess next week.

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