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I'm looking a bit at Junior Paulo.
In 2014 he played over 50 minutes 4 times for an average of 40.
Last year he played over 50 minutes 8 times for an average of 44.
His best form last year coincided with Danny Wicks getting injured.
To end the year, parra finished with Mannah + Paulo starting and bench props of
Pauli Pauli (about 22 points in 30+ minutes but now at Newcastle)
Darcy Lussick (27 opoints in 32 minutes)
and Daniel Alvaro (47 points in 42 minutes, but that included 2 tries on his 4 late season games)
2 of those 3 now gone, but Wicks is back from injury.
David Gower played a lot of lock after Watmough went down for the year, but he may get a bench spot in the prop rotation to start the year.
Paulo's average as starting prop with Wicks on the bench is about 40, which is about what he is priced at. Paulo's late season average is also boosted by 2 tries. Take away those (and the associated line break) and I don't think he will make a tonne of money.
The message I have learnt from this is that if Daniel Alvaro can grab a 40 minute bench spot, he is underpriced by almost $100k (he scored 2 tries in his last 2 games, I've discounted these in my calculations)
