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    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 3

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:07 pm


    For those rushing MoFo into their team, he is currently injured too (although may be right to play round 1)
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    Post by Chewie on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:10 pm

    I'm leaning more towards Knight as opposed to Mofo
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    Post by my tv broke on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:11 pm

    @mattnz wrote:Some interesting ownership stats:
    Only 30% have Haas, thought it would be higher
    Fifita 34%
    Cook just 13% this season, way down from last
    Friend just 7%, despite his huge discount - POD
    Luai is most owned at just 37%
    James was in 20% of teams
    Holmes in 20% of teams, surprisingly high
    Tino in 17% of teams, maybe we are missing something that insiders know about him

    I'm more POD-ish than I thought, only have 6 of the top 15 owned players.

    Its not really accurate until the season kicks off.

    Eg 30% of registered teams have Haas, but there would be a heap of teams who havent selected a squad yet.

    Its all relative i guess.
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    Post by mattnz on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:14 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:

    Its not really accurate until the season kicks off.

    Eg 30% of registered teams have Haas, but there would be a heap of teams who havent selected a squad yet.

    Its all relative i guess.

    That makes sense, would expect Haas to be somewhere in the 40-50% range
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    Post by Milchcow on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:17 pm

    @my tv broke wrote:

    Its not really accurate until the season kicks off.

    Eg 30% of registered teams have Haas, but there would be a heap of teams who havent selected a squad yet.

    Its all relative i guess.

    Even after season kicks off, its never 100% accurate

    If you add up all the total selections for every player, it comes to less than 21 * number of teams

    Lots of dead teams that register but never actually complete a legal squad
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    Post by wolfking on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:23 pm

    Jesus, that's fucking horrid news for Ryan James. Just devastating.
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    Post by Rabbits21 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:29 pm

    @Milchcow wrote:
    For those rushing MoFo into their team, he is currently injured too (although may be right to play round 1)
    Doesn’t surprise me, I reckon there is definitely quite a bit of fantasy carnage to come before round 1.
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    Post by Mighty Fishes on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:32 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    Doesn’t surprise me, I reckon there is definitely quite a bit of fantasy carnage to come before round 1.

    Still got the 9s to come
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    Post by Rabbits21 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:44 pm

    Is anyone considering starting with who seems to be the forgotten man Cameron Smith?

    He’s just entered into my thoughts tonight and with Hughes at halfback he should get more kick metres Smith.

    Surely Smith still plays 70-80mins as well and I would expect the Storm to mainly still use Brandon Smith at lock.

    Are any Storm fans like Storm Trooper on here keen for Smith? (who has never really let us down in fantasy).

    To me Smith looks like the safe pick out of Cook, McInnes and Friend who all have a couple of unknowns around them for the early part of the season!
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    Post by Camo123 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:45 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    Doesn’t surprise me, I reckon there is definitely quite a bit of fantasy carnage to come before round 1.

    It wasn’t a recent injury though. Wrist surgery in off season after he played most of season with the broken wrist from memory
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    Post by Rabbits21 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:51 pm

    From round 16-25 last season Cam Smith has an average of 67.5.
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    Post by Camo123 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:53 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:Is anyone considering starting with who seems to be the forgotten man Cameron Smith?

    He’s just entered into my thoughts tonight and with Hughes at halfback he should get more kick metres Smith.

    Surely Smith still plays 70-80mins as well and I would expect the Storm to mainly still use Brandon Smith at lock.

    Are any Storm fans like Storm Trooper on here keen for Smith? (who has never really let us down in fantasy).

    To me Smith looks like the safe pick out of Cook, McInnes and Friend who all have a couple of unknowns around them for the early part of the season!

    Very safe pick will more than likely average 60+ again. I just don’t think he has as much upside as the other guns - very high floor but not as high ceiling as players like Taumalolo

    Basically I don’t think his price is going to skyrocket if you don’t pick him and you can pick him up before Origin time/during bye rounds for peaked cows
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    Post by Rabbits21 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:53 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:

    It wasn’t a recent injury though. Wrist surgery in off season after he played most of season with the broken wrist from memory
    How many minutes do you expect him to get?

    A bit concerned he may a be a little underdone the first few rounds.

    It’s a toss up between MoFo and Knight for mine as to who partners Haas.

    I’m gonna avoid Andrew Fifita, don’t trust his knee to hold up.
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    Post by Camo123 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:54 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:From round 16-25 last season Cam Smith has an average of 67.5.

    Did score 2 tries during then when he rarely scores more than 1-2 tries a season
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    Post by Camo123 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:55 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    How many minutes do you expect him to get?

    A bit concerned he may a be a little underdone the first few rounds.

    It’s a toss up between MoFo and Knight for mine as to who partners Haas.

    I’m gonna avoid Andrew Fifita, don’t trust his knee to hold up.

    Probably around 50, is capable of playing big mins though. Has an 80 min game at prop when I think Arrow got injured
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    Post by Rabbits21 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:56 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:

    Very safe pick will more than likely average 60+ again. I just don’t think he has as much upside as the other guns - very high floor but not as high ceiling as players like Taumalolo

    Basically I don’t think his price is going to skyrocket if you don’t pick him and you can pick him up before Origin time/during bye rounds for peaked cows
    Do you reckon Taumalolo is going to avg mid 60’s?

    If I recall you’re starting with Friend, he may make 80-100k Friend but I don’t expect him to average more than late 40’s if Verrills gets the 14.
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    Post by Rabbits21 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:58 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:

    Probably around 50, is capable of playing big mins though. Has an 80 min game at prop when I think Arrow got injured
    I’m thinking Knight and MoFo are gonna average around mid 40’s, very hard to split them!
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    Post by Mighty Fishes on Fri Jan 31, 2020 11:01 pm

    I’m going with cheap centres... worst position to pick
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    Post by Camo123 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 11:04 pm

    @Rabbits21 wrote:
    Do you reckon Taumalolo is going to avg mid 60’s?

    If I recall you’re starting with Friend, he may make 80-100k Friend but I don’t expect him to average more than late 40’s if Verrills gets the 14.

    Taumalolo already has average of 61, excluding injury in R2 it goes up to 64.4

    With Matt Scott and Scott Bolton retiring, Cowboys’ bench has less experience so could see him a couple of extra mins here and there

    Honestly IMO the Verrills debate is like Brittain last year with Cook but just with a better reserve. Besides R12, he only took 13 mins off Cook even with all the Origin impact


    Last edited by Camo123 on Fri Jan 31, 2020 11:06 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post by Teeth Eater on Fri Jan 31, 2020 11:05 pm

    @Camo123 wrote:

    Very safe pick will more than likely average 60+ again. I just don’t think he has as much upside as the other guns - very high floor but not as high ceiling as players like Taumalolo

    Basically I don’t think his price is going to skyrocket if you don’t pick him and you can pick him up before Origin time/during bye rounds for peaked cows

    Yeah, I'm happy to wait for Smith (and Cook). I did so last year and was happy with when I collected both. I actually personally think Smith probably has the same amount of unknowns as McInnes and Friend. I know he just keeps coming back and kills it, but surely... surely this is the year where his minutes drop a bit closer to the 60min region? He'll still do plenty in 60mins if that is the case, but I am confident his price will drop.

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