NRL Fantasy Fanatics

A forum for discussion of NRL Fantasy / Dream Team / Supercoach as well as discussions about other sports, ex Sportal.

    The Betting Thread

    Share
    avatar
    Mighty Fishes
    Moderator

    Posts : 5573
    Reputation : 1715
    Join date : 2015-08-01
    Age : 29

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Mighty Fishes on Fri Oct 13, 2017 2:35 pm

    @Rippin and Tearin wrote:Teams named for Auckland v Canterbury. Canterbury-10.5 the play. All ABs OUT for Auckland while Canterbury get their captain back. Get on now while the TAB are yet to update.

    Edit, that line has actually come in so -10.5 on offer now , my bad.

    I have some money on 13+ still confident for me?
    avatar
    Rippin and Tearin

    Posts : 3066
    Reputation : 593
    Join date : 2016-03-09

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Rippin and Tearin on Fri Oct 13, 2017 5:30 pm

    @Mighty Fishes wrote:

    I have some money on 13+ still confident for me?

    In short I'd rather be on Cant 13+ than Auck +13.5

    BUT, Im far less confident than I was. Unfortunately I heard the team naming while driving via the sports news. What I posted above was what the bulletin said. What they didn't say was Canterbury have made a number of changes, I assume resting some first stringers.

    Im just not sure how this one plays out now.

    Fingers Crossed I guess!!
    avatar
    No Worries
    Moderator

    Posts : 5050
    Reputation : 2067
    Join date : 2015-07-31

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by No Worries on Fri Oct 13, 2017 10:16 pm

    I have Cant -12.5 and think I may have stretched it a little too far. Also notice BOP have come into favourites
    avatar
    Welshy
    Moderator

    Posts : 13468
    Reputation : 2858
    Join date : 2015-09-16
    Age : 30
    Location : Wales

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Welshy on Sat Oct 14, 2017 12:39 am

    5 fold NFL acca for the weekend

    Pats -9.5
    Packers -3
    Bucs -1
    Chiefs -4
    Raiders -3.5
    avatar
    Rippin and Tearin

    Posts : 3066
    Reputation : 593
    Join date : 2016-03-09

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Rippin and Tearin on Sat Oct 14, 2017 6:46 am

    Canterbury loss was a bit disappointing. Depending on the line you took, they were actually covering with only a few minutes to go. Then a Canterbury charge down saw the ball fall kindly for Auckland who then went on to score and the bet was lost.

    As for BOP, I has hoped for better odds on Waikato. Its probably a stay away game. Both teams a lot to play for; BOP a home semi, Waikato to stave off relegation.

    avatar
    Mighty Fishes
    Moderator

    Posts : 5573
    Reputation : 1715
    Join date : 2015-08-01
    Age : 29

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Mighty Fishes on Sun Oct 15, 2017 11:30 pm

    Awful weekend on the punt. I think I'm going to give myself a break
    avatar
    Rippin and Tearin

    Posts : 3066
    Reputation : 593
    Join date : 2016-03-09

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Rippin and Tearin on Mon Oct 16, 2017 11:11 am

    @Mighty Fishes wrote:Awful weekend on the punt. I think I'm going to give myself a break

    I broke even.

    Was a funny weekend of Rugby the least of which were the two games that got tipped on their heads when red cards got dished out seemingly galvanising the teams who lost players who then went on to win and win well.

    Big learning for me in this round was take the overs in games where teams are playing for nothing:
    Taranaki v Harbour combined for 97
    Manawatu HB combined for 67
    Counties Tasman combined for 82

    I think Im done for a bit too.

    I have Canterbury at just under evens and Taranaki at $4.25 to ride out the premiership with - I think that will cash.

    I also have a long shot of Canterbury/Otago double (placed pre-season) but that would take some incredible luck - might be something I can hedge on later though.

    Mostly Im sitting back now and watching the NFL and MLB unfold to see if any of my season bets will come through!

    avatar
    Revraiser

    Posts : 4700
    Reputation : 963
    Join date : 2015-10-21
    Location : Sydney

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Revraiser on Mon Oct 16, 2017 12:24 pm

    What a nail biter a double was i took, Bears into Chargers ! Didnt post it as my posted bets lose lol
    avatar
    Rippin and Tearin

    Posts : 3066
    Reputation : 593
    Join date : 2016-03-09

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Rippin and Tearin on Thu Oct 19, 2017 12:25 pm

    @Rippin and Tearin wrote:Also, for value betters, and those with access to the NZ Tab. The dumb bastards there are again miles behind the times.

    NYY @ $8 to win the AL is crazy value. They are more like half that on most bookies after making several big moves before the trade deadline. KC @ $26 is also fantastic value.


    Hey guys, Just in case anyone followed me on this one @ $8 for the conference - or took the Yankees to win the whole thing @ $15.

    First, yeah, $8 was a bloody steel, but still a win away so perhaps its worth hedging. Houston could easily win the next two so at the very least (odds depending) I'll be hedging to guarantee a small return.


    avatar
    Honeysett
    Moderator

    Posts : 5509
    Reputation : 1892
    Join date : 2015-09-28
    Age : 31
    Location : Scarborough

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Honeysett on Thu Oct 19, 2017 5:24 pm

    Fuck you Dallas.

    Last leg of the multi ended up looking like Haywards.

    They were the shortest odds I had as well.
    avatar
    Revraiser

    Posts : 4700
    Reputation : 963
    Join date : 2015-10-21
    Location : Sydney

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Revraiser on Sat Oct 28, 2017 9:29 pm

    Valencia tonight in the La Liga look specials. Kicks iff soon though. Im taking Valencia to score 3+ goals @ $3.50

    Canterbury saluted today for R&T. WD lad
    avatar
    No Worries
    Moderator

    Posts : 5050
    Reputation : 2067
    Join date : 2015-07-31

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by No Worries on Sun Oct 29, 2017 8:24 am

    I won pretty much fuck all on Winx, is that the horse's name ?? But got a bonus bet.

    Waiting for @Moose to tell me how he bought a new house on the winnings
    avatar
    Moose

    Posts : 2205
    Reputation : 1274
    Join date : 2017-05-19

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Moose on Sun Oct 29, 2017 2:25 pm

    @No Worries wrote:I won pretty  much fuck all on Winx, is that the horse's name ?? But got a bonus bet.

    Waiting for @Moose  to tell me how he bought a new house on the winnings  
    I have been looking at property in Nicaragua.

    Sounds like your wife isn't paying you much attention at home. Might be time you save some of your winnings for a down payment on a new place.
    avatar
    No Worries
    Moderator

    Posts : 5050
    Reputation : 2067
    Join date : 2015-07-31

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by No Worries on Mon Oct 30, 2017 12:52 pm

    I did get a nice return on Lebanon 1-12 @ $3.30.

    You might me right should look into Beirut property prices.
    avatar
    Mighty Fishes
    Moderator

    Posts : 5573
    Reputation : 1715
    Join date : 2015-08-01
    Age : 29

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Mighty Fishes on Mon Oct 30, 2017 2:17 pm

    @No Worries wrote:I did get a nice return on Lebanon 1-12 @ $3.30.

    You might me right should look into Beirut property prices.

    I started the weekend with $62.51 placed several bets over the weekend and this morning I have $63.78 in my account. So without bragging too much I cleaned up!
    avatar
    Rippin and Tearin

    Posts : 3066
    Reputation : 593
    Join date : 2016-03-09

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Rippin and Tearin on Wed Nov 01, 2017 10:21 am

    @Revraiser wrote:Valencia tonight in the La Liga look specials. Kicks iff soon though. Im taking Valencia to score 3+ goals @ $3.50

    Canterbury saluted today for R&T. WD lad

    Thanks mate, yeah good payout in the end as I'd pretty much been betting on them to win the title each week I made a profit.

    So with the ITM cup done, the Super Rugby Squads have just been announced and I reckon it's pretty clear who to bet on this year:

    Rules of Super Rugby Betting as it stands:

    1) never bet on a SA team unless it's a full strength LIONs team
    2) never bet on an OZ team
    3) Never bet on the Blues.

    So basically that boils down to 4 teams worth having a look at:

    Highlanders - new coach, a very good guy, chatted with him a bit a couple weeks back and was very impressed. They've brought in several new players, BUT, while I think they will make the playoffs and be good to bet on during the year, I don't think they can win it.

    Chiefs - in short, they have lost way too many key players: TKB and Cruden he main ones, but also Lowe, Leith and a couple others. I don't think they have filled those holes well enough, so I put them in a similar boat to the Highlanders in that they may be good to bet on, on a game-by-game basis, but they won't win the title and may not even make the playoffs this year.

    Hurricanes - Basically the same core group of players as last year but with improvement. I think they are a very good shot at winning the title this year - waiting for the odds to come out but I'll likely be on them to win.

    Crusaders - AS with the Canes, same core group + improvements. They will be the favourites I suspect but worth every Penny.

    If I can back the Canes and Crusaders to win and effectively get odds of $2 if either win I'll be a happy man. I think the key is to take both though to cover for injuries, and be sensible about the timing with which you add to those bets as the season progresses. These teams will likely lose a few games during the season as they have tough draws playing NZ team regularly and inevitably rest and rotate which may result in unexpected losses. Back them heavily when these losses eventuate as that is when you will find value but trust that at the business end of the season these two teams will get the job done!
    avatar
    Rippin and Tearin

    Posts : 3066
    Reputation : 593
    Join date : 2016-03-09

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by Rippin and Tearin on Wed Nov 01, 2017 6:22 pm

    Odds are out in NZ and both the Crusaders and Hurricanes are paying $4.5.

    Im gonna start by putting 6 units Canterbury and 4 Canes as I think $4.5 is overs for the Crusaders.

    That gives 2.7 x money invested if Crusaders win & 1.8 x if Hurricanes win.

    That feels about right to me. I seriously don't see another contender for this trophy outside of these two and the Lions. So I'll take my chances with this. Feels like a strong bet to me.

    At any stage in the season you can get either of these two teams at over $4.5 load up I reckon!
    avatar
    SI
    Moderator

    Posts : 12570
    Reputation : 2930
    Join date : 2015-08-03

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by SI on Sun Nov 05, 2017 12:03 pm

    Have been on Who Shot TheBarman the last couple of years.  I'll be throwing something decent on the place at $16.  Has got to be one of the best roughie chances I can remember.

    Watching all 3 of his Cup runs again shows how good he is.  3rd in 2014; got stopped in his tracks in 2015 when in with a chance; came flying home from dead last last year for 5th from barrier 20.

    Same barrier and likes circling the field anyway so I was actually happy he drew wide to blow his price out.  Got something small on him a few weeks ago at $67 before his MV Cup win, he then halved his price.  Barrier draw has him back out to that  Very Happy  

    Obviously needs some luck at the jump and make history being a 9 year old, but I don't actually need him to win at those place odds!

    Part time punter nowadays, so who are we on lads?
    avatar
    SI
    Moderator

    Posts : 12570
    Reputation : 2930
    Join date : 2015-08-03

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by SI on Sun Nov 05, 2017 9:49 pm

    SCRATCHED! Lol Glad my early All In was only $40.

    avatar
    code delta

    Posts : 1831
    Reputation : 750
    Join date : 2016-05-05

    Re: The Betting Thread

    Post by code delta on Mon Nov 06, 2017 5:24 pm

    @SI wrote:

    Part time punter nowadays, so who are we on lads?

    Can you let us know what you'll be on so we avoid Very Happy

    Winks wins the Cox Plate in race record time so I'll be on the horse that was half a length away from her.
    Also a small bet on Cismontane at odds.

      Current date/time is Sun Sep 23, 2018 11:16 pm