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Random wrote:
HOK: Can you fill me on Brailey, will he be sharing minutes with someone. His name has floated around a fair bit, but has the upcoming Sharks trial suggested something?
FRF: Matagi looks set to play a large amount of minutes but if you look closer at his stats he is uninspiring. He scores decently in short stints. However longer stints he doesn't actually improve on that score. Last season he had a 60 minute game and a 41 minute game as his highest games in terms of minutes and scored 27 points both times. His average PPM in games he played 35 minutes or more is 0.59 PPM. He is priced at 22 points, which means he would need at least 40 minutes to even maintain his price. He just doesn't inspire confidence. So unless you have seen him being busy during the trials, and want to bet his overall workload improves with his minutes. Then I would avoid him. Kaufusi could pick up some alright minutes but he still isn't going to be starting most likely and doesn't look to be a great option. Last year he played 40 minutes or more 6 times and he scored above 30 points on 4 occasions. However 3 of those occasions also included tries. In fact his PPM when not scoring a try last season was 0.68 which isn't bad, but it is boosted by short stints where he is fresh and simply there to make an impact. If it takes a similar hit (As most players do) in larger stints (Due to either burning out, or conserving more) he is likely to struggle to hit a 30-35 point average. While that means he can make you money the improvement is so little that it will take him quite awhile to do it. Meanwhile you are investing an extra $60k (Over a rookie) for someone who barely struggles to make your side. Better investments elsewhere, or take a punt on a Rookie.
2RF: J. Trbojevic could be a decent PoD to start the year with. I am also not sold on Afoa because I am not sure how he maintains his starting position in a full strength Warriors pack. With minutes he looks like he could be a gun. However he is a heavy investment to bet on.
HLF: SO you are picking up two Rookie hookers from the same team? I am not saying there is an issue with that but if Mortimer gets back in favour it could be. However two cashcows this year would be decent to have.
CTR: Gagai is great and can bust out massive scores but can be inconsistent. I don't necessarily say you shouldn't pick him. But if you can jump him to a more consistent gun when he peaks you should be good.
WFB: Gutherson has potential to be a great option this year. It is just not yet decided as to how much Norman will impact on his scores. Now the lack of KM shouldn't be too much of an issue as he scored well without them. The only issue is if he can remain as consistent with his attacking stats to keep him scoring well. Although he does do some defending averaging around 20 tackles when playing Five-Eight. So that will definitely help out. Just keep in mind the impact that Norman may have if the attack is run through him a lot more than Gutherson.
Overall: I would rather not see the two Sharks Hookers personally, but you may know more than I do. Other than that, there are a few guys with questionmarks that you could look at safer bets to start the year. But everyone you picked has an upside so I wouldn't stress too hard about it.
Thanks Random,
I expect Brailey to be the Sharks starting hooker in Round One, but I could be wrong. He is a quality player and could be a much better cash cow than someone say like King, even of not playing full minutes. Perhaps Kaufusi could be in line to start over KBrom. It is a wait and see, as you say better choice than Matagi. Maybe it is my one-eyedness as a Eels supporter that is letting me down.
Nu Brown and Brailey are likely to share minutes, he is bottom priced and I think will rise in value. I will wait to see if any other bottom prices halves rear their head. NPR who will rise somewhat until a better offer comes by. I think either Maloney or Townsend to be given a rest in the game as well. Perhaps Frown is just a placeholder. I am quite happy with Taylor and Lamb and don't need to use the NPRs.
I keep on looking at Gagai's scores at centre rather than fullback last year. He could be around 8-10 points undervalued based on that. Centre is a generally inconsistent position. Gagai could be a good value POD, especially when you consider so many people are running Idris who has potential, but I am thinking will underperform significantly, then everyone will be wishing they had more coin for the centre positions. I am also expecting big things from D. Walker.
I am expecting also to see Guth score very well. Also has goal kicking in an attacking team He is always heavily involved and is probably more creative in attack than Norman. I think the will work together well and both Guth and Normal will score well and consistently
Coming from a few years of NBA/NFL draft leagues so am forcing myself to unlearn and relearn fantasy as I know it!
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